and a happy thanks giving to all of you i spent a good 6 hours watching sports today thank god for espn 360 and annoying family................. still sittin around even for the day............ ive jsut been ****ing around and after a $20 deposit on monday im 17-9 (+$57.75) betting around 5-10$ per game.... so far this site has been straight since thats way better than i ever did on my own. thanks again guys and hopefully once MLB season rolls around my bankroll will be big enough to tail ragiche all the way to the BANK SONNNNNNNNNN..... PS... do you have to pay taxes on winnings??? legally?
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kings!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! lets do it!!!!!!!!!!!!! you guys are like psychics of some sort.Comment -
oh well. still up mad much... gonna start stickin with dex and ragComment -
DE,
How do you type those signature of yours that long ( below of your post ). As for me it can't go through all of my stats. Teach me how on this one how you do it. I only know how to post.Comment -
I don't need that too much recognition.It will give too much pressure on me because it will go through my head that i'm that good and wants to give you winners.I don't want that, i prefer as a simple capper who's willing to contribute ,and also capping this games is fun because there's no pressure involved.I'm already happy that some of my games helps you and to those who are viewing this thread.Comment -
On a quick note rag....I sometime have trouble to stuff much info into the signature box too, as I think only certain amount of characters can fit into there.
The easiest way is copy my entire signature and paste into your......then modify it. Hope it works bro.
You back to work today yet....?
Just posting this hope not to jinx my luck or anything.....but in NCAAB, I went something like 13-3 in the last 3 days, mostly taking dogs in 1H.
If the dog's 1H are cashed, favorites 2H also cashing at good rate too. But I don't keep track of this, and only playing those that scores are close at haft, and favorite teams giving less than original line.
For example, A giving 12 for whole game. I'll take B + 6.5 or 7 in 1H. If 1H play cashed, and team A are down a little bit (preferred), and 2H line is A-9 or so, I'll play A on 2H. If giving more than 12, I don't bother.
Again, those plays/trends are something I just noticed in the last few days, and make good money out of it, I did not capping any teams.
I noticed few criteria that potentially make a play more solid, but I have to keep tracking them for the next few days.
GL all, hope all making good money to buy x-mas gifts for you and yours.
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Hope you all had a good Thanksgiving. Tonight I like Kings -4.5 against the Nets. The Kings finally ended their 4-game losing streak and they will want to make up for it tonight against the poor Nets. Plus the Kings have been doing well at home (5-2).
I am tempted to play Suns -9.5 against the Timberwolves but I'm not as sure about that one. I'm going to wait and see if the line improves to -9 or better.Comment -
I think along the same line as you Leto.
11/25
Sac -4.5
Suns -9.5
Thunder -5Comment -
I didn't look into this game closely, but on the surface I don't really Sac in this matchup.
Nets is a winless 0-15 team, came to Sac tonight looking for its first win.
But everyone on earth thinking/knowing this should be an easy win for Sac at home, more than 70% on Sac.....why on earth the books drop the line to -4 +103 from -5.5.
Here is where I think this is the true RLM game, when it first open at Sac -5.5 public pretty much split (50-50, 60-40 etc), however when books drop to 4.5, public has been sturdy pounding Sac.
I do like Nets and Nets ML here.
GL on whatever you choose.
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Friday 27
Play #1
Nets +4 $306 to win $300
Nets ML +165 $100 to win $165
Toledo 1st Half +8 -110 $165 to win $150
Creighton 1st Half +3½ $165 to win $150
Texas A&M 1st Half +5 -115 $172 to win $150Comment -
"Comment -
"Comment -
Add,
Tulsa -16 $105 to win $100
Nebraska -10 $315 to win $300
I post to keep my record, not for someone tailing.....I really suck at footballComment -
11/27
Pistons -3.5 ( 5x )
Only 1 play for me tonight as i'm still at work ,gonna be home late. No time to cap.BOL
Hope it helps.
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11/25
Mavs -2
Hawks - 5
Suns -9.5
Thunder -5
Kings -4.5Comment -
I only play Nets so can't wish you luck there, otherwise, bet of luck today Diesel.Comment -
I got hot tonight. Hopefully, I can take this hot streak into the weekend on some CFB. My preliminary thoughts on the lines for NBA tomorrow are: Mavs, Utah, and Magic. But i still need to do some research.Comment -
Kings ended up winning and covering but I'm still wondering why the books had it at just -4. Maybe they're betting on the fact that the Nets have to win a game sooner or later...
The Nets didn't even do well today, it was just the Kings playing horribly giving up 19 turnovers.Comment -
The pistons didn't get it done for me last night.Another money burner day for me again.I just saw this post as i was too busy yesterday at work. I see that the nets will get it's 1st win on Dec.2 against the mavs,I projected this game that the mavs will be a -6 to -8 pt. favorite. I'll definately be waiting on this day not only i'll be playing the sides but also the money line as well.I didn't look into this game closely, but on the surface I don't really Sac in this matchup.
Nets is a winless 0-15 team, came to Sac tonight looking for its first win.
But everyone on earth thinking/knowing this should be an easy win for Sac at home, more than 70% on Sac.....why on earth the books drop the line to -4 +103 from -5.5.
Here is where I think this is the true RLM game, when it first open at Sac -5.5 public pretty much split (50-50, 60-40 etc), however when books drop to 4.5, public has been sturdy pounding Sac.
I do like Nets and Nets ML here.
GL on whatever you choose.Comment -
From my reading, those games fit into RLM like that has an average winning percent around 65% + long term, but they don't winning every game. I think the books (and me) gamble on yesterday NETS' game, and LOST
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I didn't lay big on that game yesterday, and I was extremely busy (at work) close to tip off, so I couldn't watch the line movement at last few minutes prior tip off, as this will tell a lot whether the RLM has true value or not.
Few weeks back (check in Dexter's thread), when Phoenix played Sixers, line came out Phoenix -2.5 with 80+ public on Phoenix. The line then fluctuate back and forth, Sixers become favorite by 1.5, then goes back to EVEN prior tip off (depend to books).
Here's the insight from my observations, every time books moved the line, they get more money from the "sharp" bettors on Sixers (% on Sixer went from 20% when opened to about 45% or something before tip off). So, created the RLM, books actually fooling sharp bettor, and they (books) got their book balanced. Phoenix won and covered.
The bottom line is if you like to play RLM, you will have to do as much homework as you would spend to capping a game (but not by stats and trends). Linemaker never let you pickup a PATTERN.
But I am officially nutless now
Thank you all for sharing ideas and picks.
GL today.Comment -
Legends closed it at -4.5 for the Kings, 5Dimes kept it at -4. The other game I was thinking about playing was the Suns vs Timberwolves, but I stayed away because I didn't like the -9.5, wanted it to go down a little. Legends kept it at -9.5 for the Suns, 5Dimes kept it at -9.From my reading, those games fit into RLM like that has an average winning percent around 65% + long term, but they don't winning every game. I think the books (and me) gamble on yesterday NETS' game, and LOST.
I didn't lay big on that game yesterday, and I was extremely busy (at work) close to tip off, so I couldn't watch the line movement at last few minutes prior tip off, as this will tell a lot whether the RLM has true value or not.
Few weeks back (check in Dexter's thread), when Phoenix played Sixers, line came out Phoenix -2.5 with 80+ public on Phoenix. The line then fluctuate back and forth, Sixers become favorite by 1.5, then goes back to EVEN prior tip off (depend to books).
Here's the insight from my observations, every time books moved the line, they get more money from the "sharp" bettors on Sixers (% on Sixer went from 20% when opened to about 45% or something before tip off). So, created the RLM, books actually fooling sharp bettor, and they (books) got their book balanced. Phoenix won and covered.
The bottom line is if you like to play RLM, you will have to do as much homework as you would spend to capping a game (but not by stats and trends). Linemaker never let you pickup a PATTERN.
But I am officially nutless now
Thank you all for sharing ideas and picks.
GL today.Comment -
11/28
Mavs +7
Utah -4 (i got this line yesteday, but it has moved since then)
Orlando -6.5
I really like Orlando a lot. Milwaukee isnt playing well in general (fatigue?), this is their first home game after a bad road trip and they will be on a back to back. Additionally, Bogut and Mbah A Moute will be out again, which will leave them undermanned in the middle vs. howard/gortat/bass leading to high & shots for those guys and in turn plenty of open look for shooters on the outside. Anyway, i picture a blowout for this game. GL to you guys.Comment -
Have been lousy in last couple of days....hope to turn things around.
Saturday 28
NCCF:
NC state +6 $210 to win $200
Ucon/cuse UNDER 44.5 $210 to win $200
Oklahoma -7 $260 to win $200
Wish me luck today.
Watching football and study NBA time.....Comment -
I was tempted on playing the OSU ML.....but there has to be something i am missing......
I bet it.
OSU ML +260
I figure that simply being without their starting center will be good enough for a fumble snap and multiple other eff ups.
ESPN "Oklahoma will be without center Ben Habern, who had surgery Saturday after he broke his left leg against Tech and is expected to be out for three months. He's the third starting offensive lineman to suffer a season-ending injury for the Sooners, who already lost Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford to a shoulder injury and tight end Jermaine Gresham following knee surgery.Stoops said middle linebacker Ryan Reynolds was also "doubtful" for Saturday's game with a strained hamstring."Comment -
you should fade me as I am pretty bad in football.Comment -
11/28
*NCAABB*
Villanova -14 ( 2x )
NC Greensboro ML [+100] ( 1.5x )
Wichita St. +2.5 ( 1.5x )
Pacific +2.5 ( 1.5x )
Louisville -3 ( 1.5x )
Delaware +15.5 ( 1.5x )
Boston College +3 ( 1.5x )
GL guys. Hope these plays helps.
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11/28
*NHL*
Capitals ML ( 1.5x )
DET/STL Under 5.5 ( 2x )
Wild ML ( 1.5x )
CAL/CBJ Over 5.5 ( 2x )
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11/28
*NBA*
Jazz -5 ( 2x )
POR/UTAH Under 190 ( 2x )
That's all guys. All plays are booked and there's no turning back. BOL to all of you today.
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GL today Rag.
In NBA I like Jazz, Magic and OVER Cavs/Mavs....not much time to look into detail as I am heading to work
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Diesel...your card look solid man.
BOL all,Comment -
This one is to all of you
. And of course including me. Wishing to have a profitable harvest today.
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Tonight I'm playing Magic -5.5, and Lakers -8. The Bucks are still without Bogut and that's going to kill them tonight against Magic. Lakers should have an easy time tonight against the Warriors. gl everyoneComment -
ragiche if you dont mind me askin why the Wild ML? im intriguedComment
. Keep them comming