Trying a new system

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  • chris440
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-21-09
    • 280

    #1
    Trying a new system
    If im not 50% or higher an 7 days i will stop betting these

    Phoenix -2
    Knicks +5.5
    Twolves +6.5
    Clippers +2
  • chris440
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-21-09
    • 280

    #2
    system is 2-2 50% so far here is todays
    charlotte +4
    portland -6.5
    rockets +6.5
    Comment
    • chris440
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-21-09
      • 280

      #3
      Day 3
      System has been re evaluated lets see how this goes
      3-4 so far

      I am not betting these picks because i just changed the system and have to see if it is going to work

      Warriors +5.5
      Toronto -5.5
      Orlando -1
      Spurs +1.5
      Comment
      • chris440
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-21-09
        • 280

        #4
        2-2 not sure what is wrong. 5-6 all together.
        4 more days to go.
        system plays for tomorrow

        cleveland -1.5
        phoenix +7.5
        Comment
        • PASS IT ON
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-04-09
          • 453

          #5
          whats the system???
          Comment
          • chris440
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-21-09
            • 280

            #6
            Lots of different statistics added up into one formula to predict the exact scores of what the teams should score
            Comment
            • PASS IT ON
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-04-09
              • 453

              #7
              u should add the under\over to your bets aswell, maybe they will produce more winners???
              Comment
              • chris440
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-21-09
                • 280

                #8
                yeah, still looking into that one. hopefully will figure it out soon
                Comment
                • chris440
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-21-09
                  • 280

                  #9
                  6-7 so far with 3 days more

                  todays picks

                  76ers -3
                  orlando -15.5
                  warriors +4
                  atlanta +9
                  sacramento +5
                  denver -4
                  Comment
                  • BruthaMan
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-20-09
                    • 178

                    #10
                    Originally posted by chris440
                    6-7 so far with 3 days more

                    todays picks

                    76ers -3
                    orlando -15.5
                    warriors +4
                    atlanta +9
                    sacramento +5
                    denver -4

                    bol ...... working on a new system myself
                    Comment
                    • chris440
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-21-09
                      • 280

                      #11
                      thank you bro. let me know how your system is working out?
                      added system play
                      toronto -1.5
                      Comment
                      • chris440
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 280

                        #12
                        6-1. doing better
                        12-8 now with 2 more days
                        will have system plays early tomrrow
                        Comment
                        • chris440
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-21-09
                          • 280

                          #13
                          november 14 system plays

                          indiana +7
                          portland -3
                          utah +13.5
                          miami -13
                          philly +7
                          minessota +9
                          golden state +8
                          spurs -8
                          Comment
                          • chris440
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-21-09
                            • 280

                            #14
                            system went 5-3 yesterday
                            thats 17-11

                            today had 1 play
                            clippers +5.5
                            Comment
                            • PASS IT ON
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-04-09
                              • 453

                              #15
                              well done yesterday
                              Comment
                              • chris440
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-21-09
                                • 280

                                #16
                                Thanks bro
                                system now 18-11
                                tomorrows picks will be posted early in the morning
                                Comment
                                • chris440
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-21-09
                                  • 280

                                  #17
                                  todays system picks

                                  atlanta -3.5
                                  bucks -1.5
                                  Comment
                                  • PASS IT ON
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-04-09
                                    • 453

                                    #18
                                    1-1.

                                    i think u should do this system for the entire season then decide if your gonna put your money on it, so far it looks good, but maybe it can be made better by changing a few little things??? i dunno.

                                    have u worked out if its worth doing ur system for under over bets????
                                    Comment
                                    • chris440
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-21-09
                                      • 280

                                      #19
                                      19-12

                                      Thanks for the input. yeah, I'm gonna try this for the whole season and am going to adjust it a little bit to make it better.
                                      I am still working on the over/under for this. I will let you know

                                      Nov 17 plays. Lots of underdogs
                                      warriors +15.5
                                      new jersey +3.5
                                      OKC +4.5
                                      Clippers +2
                                      Phoenix +2.5
                                      Sacramento -1
                                      Comment
                                      • chris440
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-21-09
                                        • 280

                                        #20
                                        3-3 yesterday. so 22-15

                                        todays picks
                                        atl -7.5
                                        philly -3
                                        pacers -6.5
                                        thunder +12.5
                                        warriors +16.5
                                        clippers +5
                                        houston -5.5
                                        bucks -10
                                        toronto +9
                                        mavs -1.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Fizz
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 11-06-09
                                          • 92

                                          #21
                                          I'm definitely not a pro but working through a system myself (for better or worse ).

                                          Do you feel confident that those teams will win? You're playing 10 out of 12 games. Do you think those lines are way off? I'm kind of wondering what were your score predictions for Phil/Char, Hou/Minn, Nj/Mil?

                                          Also, if you're predicting the scores don't you like any of the over/unders? How much different must your spread from the actual spread be to play it? As in, if you predict Atlanta wins by 8 do you play it? 9? 10? 11? I like +5 so if I projected Atlanta winning by 12.5 I would take them and feel good about it.

                                          Just some thoughts. I'll take anything you found helpful in creating your system.
                                          Comment
                                          • chris440
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-21-09
                                            • 280

                                            #22
                                            Confident, not sure. If its a system play i will bet on it.
                                            philly/char 85-100
                                            houston/minn 103-82
                                            nets/bucks 82-111

                                            If atlanta is favored by 8, i will play it if the system said they will win by 15. so 7 extra points
                                            I am still working on this system, theirs a lot more work to be done. I hope to get 66% on a weekly basis

                                            anyways 5-5 today
                                            24-17 total
                                            Comment
                                            • TGoat
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-07-09
                                              • 612

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by chris440

                                              I am still working on this system, theirs a lot more work to be done. I hope to get 66% on a weekly basis
                                              I'm curious where you come up with this 66% number? The best handicappers in the world are thrilled to get 55-57%.

                                              66% is a great benchmark, but it's unrealistic and unsustainable over time in my opinion.

                                              Why? Here's one reason: a series of losses does more to bring you down than a series of wins does to push your percentages up.

                                              Let's say you're at 33-17, 66%. Now you lose five in a row, which puts you at 60%. Now let's say you win five in a row. You go back up to 63%. The trend toward equilibrium is down.

                                              It's like the old stock market adage. If you buy a stock at $100 and it falls to $50, you've lost 50%. But in order to get even the stock has to appreciate 100%.

                                              That being said, I hope you are able to achieve your goals.
                                              Comment
                                              • chris440
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 02-21-09
                                                • 280

                                                #24
                                                Thanks for info Tgoat

                                                Todays picks
                                                suns -8
                                                lakers -9.5
                                                Comment
                                                • chris440
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-21-09
                                                  • 280

                                                  #25
                                                  no time to get in bets yesterday.
                                                  currently 25-18

                                                  todays picks
                                                  philly +10.5
                                                  atlanta -4.5
                                                  bucks +3.5
                                                  wizards +7.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • alittlemoresound
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-14-08
                                                    • 472

                                                    #26
                                                    nice man im on to this system...

                                                    PHIL ATL MIL SAC WASH DEN UTAH PORT

                                                    in an 8 team TEASER

                                                    i bought a $5 ticket in a small time casino in the big LV

                                                    lets cash baby!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chris440
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-21-09
                                                      • 280

                                                      #27
                                                      2-2 again yesterday.
                                                      27-20 total now
                                                      late picks today
                                                      hornets +10
                                                      suns -10
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DuncHen22
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-20-09
                                                        • 1079

                                                        #28
                                                        nice work yesterday
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KiDBaZkiT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-20-09
                                                          • 14962

                                                          #29
                                                          Someone else tryin to crack a system.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PASS IT ON
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 10-04-09
                                                            • 453

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                                                            Someone else tryin to crack a system.
                                                            doing well so far, be good to see it continue throughout the season

                                                            Comment
                                                            • chris440
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-21-09
                                                              • 280

                                                              #31
                                                              ok 29-20 right now
                                                              no time for bets yesterday
                                                              today i have
                                                              golden state +13
                                                              thunder +8
                                                              toronto -5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jerm3462
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-09-09
                                                                • 4454

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by chris440
                                                                ok 29-20 right now
                                                                no time for bets yesterday
                                                                today i have
                                                                golden state +13
                                                                thunder +8
                                                                toronto -5
                                                                NICE JOB, 3 for 3 Tuesday Night.
                                                                Look foward to your picks on Wednesday.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • chris440
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 02-21-09
                                                                  • 280

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Jerm3462
                                                                  NICE JOB, 3 for 3 Tuesday Night. Look foward to your picks on Wednesday.
                                                                  Thanks bro, I will hopefully have picks before gametime. been real busy lately
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chris440
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-21-09
                                                                    • 280

                                                                    #34
                                                                    32-20
                                                                    have 1 pick today
                                                                    atl -3.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • whatsgood5
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 10-13-09
                                                                      • 15359

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Wow, very impressive system whatever it is. I'll tail ya on the Hawks tonight, GL
                                                                      Comment
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