Nba road system 2009-10

[SOLAMAN]

NBA ROAD SYSTEM

This will be my 7th year with the nba road system ... halves/ats. The record for the previous 6 seasons .....609 series wins and 5 losses.

2008- 09 ... 127 series wins and 1 loss
2007- 08 ... 90 series wins and 2 losses
2006- 07... 83 series wins and 1 loss
2005- 06 ... 108 series wins and 1 loss
2004- 05 ... 99 series wins and 0 loss
2003- 04 ... 102 series wins and 0 loss

I have tried various systems over the years with full games and with mixed results. The half system has been more consistent.

My first attempt with the road system started with full games and I noticed that losses with full games would have been wins with halves. The success with halves over full games comes to this one point......it is more difficult to lose 5 consecutive halves than 5 consecutive games.

Recommendation: I see more and more chase systems on sports forums and this type of wagering is not for everyone and I understand the negative comments. You need the right mindset to do this. Risking 20 to 40 units to win 1 unit is not good for a weak heart. I recommend 150 to 200 units for my system. If you are not willing to risk it then forget it!!!


MY NEXT POST.... THE NBA ROAD SYSTEM HALVES EXPLANATION

[SOLAMAN]

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 09 - 10)

THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves with the last half being optional of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games. (see below for more details)*
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Any series that starts before the christmas break must conclude by dec. 22 or it is a no play.
6. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
7. NO PLAYS THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.
8. Optional: If a cover is made on the first 2 plays of a series and the next 2 games of the series are back to back then a restart can be made.
9. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... optional

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, SEA

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

LINE VERIFICATION ( VEGAS INSIDER)

MY NEXT POST.... THE SCHEDULE FOR NOVEMBER

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system
halves / ats
nov. 2009

1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)

2. Tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7), sa (11/9)

3. Den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18)

10. Lac @ okc (11/15), no (11/17), mem (11/18)

11. Cha @ orl (11/16), phil (11/18), mil (11/20)

12. Det @ por (11/18), ut (11/21), pho (11/22)

13. Sac @ dal (11/20), hou (11/21), mem (11/23)

14. Phi @ cle (11/21), was (11/24), bos (11/25)

15. Mil @ sa (11/23), no (11/25), okc (11/27)

16. Ny @ lal (11/24), sac (11/25), den (11/27)

17. Nj @ por (11/25), sac(11/27), lal (11/29)

18. Dal @ hou (11/25), ind (11/27), cle (11/28)

19. Orl @ atl (11/26), mil (11/28), ny (11/29)

20. Mem @ lac (11/29), ut (11/30). Mn (12/2)

21. Pho @ tor (11/29), ny (12/1), cle (12/2)

[vinny808]

I'm liking it so far. Please, post your plays, and maybe i'll try it out.

[Stealinhome]

I like this I do some thing similar I will be following BOL

[thebestthereis]

[SOLAMAN]

NBA ROAD SYSTEM / HALVES / ATS

START OF THE SEASON: (11/06)

PHO @ BOS (1/6)*

TOR @ NO (1/6)*

*(X/X) first play of six with the sixth play being optional.
If the 1st play does not cover the 2nd half will be the
second play of the series.

VERIFICATION OF LINES:

We will use vegas insider for verification. My actual lines at times may differ but for the purpose of thread, we will use the best line one hour prior to tip off from the listed offshore books for the first half and the opening line if needed for the second half. This is done to prevent any accusations of false lines. You can verify any line for any game for the entire season at vegas insider. Go to vegas insider - nba - scores - line movement - offshore.

[Stealinhome]

a

[Jasonal_98]

Solaman,

I like this and will be trying it. It looks like your worst year was 06-07. Do you happen to know what your final unit tally was that season?

Thanks for sharing this. I've been looking for a good NBA system.

[Blargh]

Assuming even odds you'd lose 63 units in a 6 game chase loss. If you got -110 everytime, you'd lose 85 units per 6 game chase loss.
So it was a was a 30-80 unit loss in 07-08 depending on the odds he got for the chase.
Assuming taking the middle of even odds and -110 odds for a 6game chase loss (a 74 unit chase loss cost), he should be up approx 239 units in the past six years. Almost an average of 40 units per year.
How are the chase wins distributed? How many B, C, D, E and F bets?

[SOLAMAN]

Yesterday results: (11/06)

pho @ bos ... No cover ...moves to the 3rd play of the series
tor @ no ....no cover...moves to the 3rd play of the series

today's play (11/07)
tor @ dal (3/6) 1h
den @ atl (1/6) 1h

comments: I will give updates at various times but i have furnished the schedule for every play for november. Rough start last night!

[SOLAMAN]

Assuming even odds you'd lose 63 units in a 6 game chase loss. If you got -110 everytime, you'd lose 85 units per 6 game chase loss.
So it was a was a 30-80 unit loss in 07-08 depending on the odds he got for the chase.
Assuming taking the middle of even odds and -110 odds for a 6game chase loss (a 74 unit chase loss cost), he should be up approx 239 units in the past six years. Almost an average of 40 units per year.
How are the chase wins distributed? How many B, C, D, E and F bets?

NBA ROAD SYSTEM / HALVES

Refer to my explanation....This is basically a 5 play chase with 6th play being optional.

The first 3 years ... NO SERIES WENT TO THE 6TH PLAY ... Won 361.65 units over the last 6 years for an average of 60.27 units per year with no losing seasons.

THE OPTIONAL 6TH PLAY: I will usually stop the series after 5 plays but I will consider the 6th play. All my loses were after 5 plays except one time. The last 3 years I went for it 5 times and lost the 6th play only once and that was last season.The season 2007-08, one of the losses would have covered on the 6th play.

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system update thru 11/09
halves / ats

series record : 4 - 0
series pending: 0
total units:.........4

summary:

1st play of series........2
2nd play of series........0
3rd play of series........1
4th play of series........0
5th play of series........1
6th play of series........0
loss.............................0

comments: See schedule for the next plays. Since i have not back tested
the optional b2b half plays, i will only paper trade. I plan to research this further. Phoenix proves to be back as a road warrior but it finally covered last night!.

I will give updates at various times. I have furnished the schedule for november above. Example ... We have a play tonight (11/10) okc @ sac.. If 1st half does not cover the 2nd play of the series will be the 2nd half.

Line verification: Vegas insider

[Stealinhome]

Good work man I like your style dude

[PacmanJr_00]

sac +1.5 against okc was a winner last night in the 1H

[SOLAMAN]

JUST FOR THE RECORD.... LAST SEASON TOTALS

2008-09
1# ............. 1st half / gm 1.............. 64 series wins
#2 ............. 2nd half / gm 1 ............ 30 series wins
#3 ............. 1st half / gm 2 ............. 19 series wins
#4 ............. 2nd half / gm 2 ............ 10 series wins
#5 ............ 1st half / gm 3 ...............4 series wins
#6..............2nd half/ gm 3................0 series win (1 LOSS)

TOTAL SERIES WINS 127 AND 1 LOSS

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system update thru 11/11
halves / ats

series record : 6 - 0
series pending: 0
total units:.........6
summary:

1st play of series........4
2nd play of series........0
3rd play of series........1
4th play of series........0
5th play of series........1
6th play of series........0
loss............................0

optional b2b ...1 - 0

comments: No plays today but 2 tomorrow and 1 optional play.
(see schedule)

[Stealinhome]

This has been great to follow yesterday I couldn't make the second half bets yesterday I was in the movies and my theater had no cell coverage. Oh well we will make up for that!

[CNega]

Solaman I'd like to thank you. I had two first-half plays, Blazers @ -1.5 and Warriors @ 4.5, and they both won! It's just not something I'm used to seeing haha.

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system update thru 11/14

series record 9 - 0
pending: 0
total units:.........9
summary:

1st play of series.........4
2nd play of series........2
3rd play of series........1
4th play of series.........1
5th play of series.........1
6th play of series.........0
loss..............................0

optional b2b series ...1 - 1

schedule summary thru 11/14


1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)......win (5/6)

2.tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7),sa (11/9).............win (3/6)

3.den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)......win (1/6)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)......win (1/6)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)....win (1/6)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)......win (1/6)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)......win (2/6)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16).....win (4/6)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18).....win (2/6)

comments: See schedule for next play

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system update thru 11/17
series record 10 - 0
pending: 1
total units:.........10

summary:

1st play of series.........4
2nd play of series........2
3rd play of series........2
4th play of series.........1
5th play of series.........1
6th play of series.........0
loss..................................0

optional b2b series record 3 - 1

1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)......win (5/6)

2.tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7),sa (11/9).............win (3/6)

3.den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)......win (1/6)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)......win (1/6)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)....win (1/6)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)......win (1/6)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)......win (2/6)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16).....win (4/6)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18).....win (2/6)

10. Lac @ okc (11/15), no (11/17), mem (11/18)...win (3/6)

11. Cha @ orl (11/16), phil (11/18), mil (11/20)....pending


comments: Two plays today (11/18). See schedule....cha @ phil (1h) is either (2/6) or (3/6) depending if you had the previous gm (2h) as a push or not.

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system update thru 11/18
series record 12 - 0
pending: 0
total units:.........12

summary:

1st play of series........5
2nd play of series........2
3rd play of series........3
4th play of series........1
5th play of series........1
6th play of series........0
loss.............................0

optional b2b series record 3 - 1

comments: Next play 11/20 ....sac @ dal (1h) (1/6) (see schedule)

yesterday results 11/18
cha @ phi 1h/ats....win (3/6)
det @ por 1h/ats....win (1/6)

line verification...vegas insider

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system
halves / ats
nov. 2009

completed schedule thru 11/18

1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)......win (5/6)

2.tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7),sa (11/9).............win (3/6)

3.den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)......win (1/6)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)......win (1/6)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)....win (1/6)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)......win (1/6)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)......win (2/6)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16).....win (4/6)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18).....win (2/6)

10. Lac @ okc (11/15), no (11/17), mem (11/18)...win (3/6)

11. Cha @ orl (11/16), phil (11/18), mil (11/20)....win (3/6)

12. Det @ por (11/18), ut (11/21), pho (11/22).....win (1/6)

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system
halves / ats
nov. 2009

1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)......win (5/6)

2.tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7),sa (11/9).............win (3/6)

3.den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)......win (1/6)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)......win (1/6)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)....win (1/6)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)......win (1/6)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)......win (2/6)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16).....win (4/6)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18).....win (2/6)

10. Lac @ okc (11/15), no (11/17), mem (11/18)...win (3/6)

11. Cha @ orl (11/16), phil (11/18), mil (11/20)....win (3/6)

12. Det @ por (11/18), ut (11/21), pho (11/22).....win (1/6)

13. Sac @ dal (11/20), hou (11/21), mem (11/23)...win (3/6)

14. Phi @ cle (11/21), was (11/24), bos (11/25)......pending

15. Mil @ sa (11/23), no (11/25), okc (11/27)

16. Ny @ lal (11/24), sac (11/25), den (11/27)

17. Nj @ por (11/25), sac(11/27), lal (11/29)

18. Dal @ hou (11/25), ind (11/27), cle (11/28)

19. Orl @ atl (11/26), mil (11/28), ny (11/29)

20. Mem @ lac (11/29), ut (11/30). Mn (12/2)

21. Pho @ tor (11/29), ny (12/1), cle (12/2)

[PacmanJr_00]

Mil won last night 2/6

Quick question, if you have a chance, how come the NJ series doesn't start tonight since they are on the road?

[SOLAMAN]

Mil won last night 2/6

Quick question, if you have a chance, how come the NJ series doesn't start tonight since they are on the road?

See post #2 of this thread for explanation.

Since a play does not start until the last 3 games of a series, it starts on 11/25.
The mentioned series is a 4 game series.

[PacmanJr_00]

Understood. Missed the last 3 games of a series tidbit. Thank you for your time.

[SOLAMAN]

.



Nba road system
halves / ats
nov. 2009

1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)......win (5/6)

2.tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7),sa (11/9).............win (3/6)

3.den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)......win (1/6)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)......win (1/6)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)....win (1/6)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)......win (1/6)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)......win (2/6)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16).....win (4/6)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18).....win (2/6)

10. Lac @ okc (11/15), no (11/17), mem (11/18)...win (3/6)

11. Cha @ orl (11/16), phil (11/18), mil (11/20)....win (3/6)

12. Det @ por (11/18), ut (11/21), pho (11/22).....win (1/6)

13. Sac @ dal (11/20), hou (11/21), mem (11/23)...win (3/6)

14. Phi @ cle (11/21), was (11/24), bos (11/25)......pending

15. Mil @ sa (11/23), no (11/25), okc (11/27).......win (2/6)

16. Ny @ lal (11/24), sac (11/25), den (11/27)......win (1/6)

17. Nj @ por (11/25), sac(11/27), lal (11/29)

18. Dal @ hou (11/25), ind (11/27), cle (11/28)

19. Orl @ atl (11/26), mil (11/28), ny (11/29)

20. Mem @ lac (11/29), ut (11/30). Mn (12/2)

21. Pho @ tor (11/29), ny (12/1), cle (12/2)

comments: There are 3 plays today (11/25). Last night, phi @ was (2h) was a push so the next play ...phi @ bos (1h) will be (4/5).

Line verification: Vegas insider /offshore

[jj28]

i tried this for the first time yesterday, and they the boston 1st half and 2nd half lost. i must be bad luck. i put big too. damn.

[netinfo]

i tried this for the first time yesterday, and they the boston 1st half and 2nd half lost. i must be bad luck. i put big too. damn.

You played Boston? The play was on Philadelphia. From SOLAMAN's schedule:

14. Phi @ cle (11/21), was (11/24), bos (11/25)

Today, the play is:

19. Orl @ atl (11/26), mil (11/28), ny (11/29)

netinfo

[netinfo]

Ignore my previous post. I see that you guys are playing the home team. From SOLAMAN's rules:

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.

So, for today, the play is:

19. Orl @ atl (11/26), mil (11/28), ny (11/29)

netinfo

[Hawk007]

(2) GM 3's today:
Play on Ind
Play on Sac

GL!

[Mexes]

SOLAMAN your system looks pretty impressing. i just decided to try it out.

Did New Jersey win both halves ats @Denver?

If this is the case I will start with IND & SAC today

thx in advance for presenting your system

Edit: i just saw that the nets-nuggets game is uninteresting for the system

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system
halves / ats
nov. 2009

1. Pho @ bos (11/6), was (11/8), phi (11/9)......win (5/6)

2.tor @ no (11/6), dal (11/7),sa (11/9).............win (3/6)

3.den @ atl (11/7), chi (11/10), mil (11/11)......win (1/6)

4. No @ lal (11/8), lac (11/9), pho (11/11)......win (1/6)

5. Okc @ sac (11/10), lac (11/11), sa (11/14)....win (1/6)

6. Ut @ bos (11/11), phi (11/13), cle (11/14)......win (1/6)

7. Dal @ mn (11/13), det (11/15), mil (11/16)......win (2/6)

8. Por @ no (11/13), cha (11/14), atl (11/16).....win (4/6)

9. Gs @ mil (11/14), cle (11/17), bos (11/18).....win (2/6)

10. Lac @ okc (11/15), no (11/17), mem (11/18)...win (3/6)

11. Cha @ orl (11/16), phil (11/18), mil (11/20)....win (3/6)

12. Det @ por (11/18), ut (11/21), pho (11/22).....win (1/6)

13. Sac @ dal (11/20), hou (11/21), mem (11/23)...win (3/6)

14. Phi @ cle (11/21), was (11/24), bos (11/25)......lost (0/5)

15. Mil @ sa (11/23), no (11/25), okc (11/27).......win (2/6)

16. Ny @ lal (11/24), sac (11/25), den (11/27)......win (1/6)

17. Nj @ por (11/25), sac(11/27), lal (11/29)........win (3/6)

18. Dal @ hou (11/25), ind (11/27), cle (11/28)......win (5/6)

19. Orl @ atl (11/26), mil (11/28), ny (11/29).........win (1/6)

20. Mem @ lac (11/29), ut (11/30). Mn (12/2)

21. Pho @ tor (11/29), ny (12/1), cle (12/2)

22. Phi @ dal (11/30), okc (12/2), cha (12/5)

comments: One of slowest start ever with this system, it is not that i have never suffered a lost in november but 3 series have made it to the 5th play of a series in the first month. Note: Phi series added starting 11/30. If interested, i will post the dec schedule by the first of the month.

Line verification: Vegas insider /offshore

[SOLAMAN]

Nba road system
halves / ats
dec 2009

bos @ cha(12/1), sa (12/3), okc (12/4)

hou @ lac (12/2), gs (12/3), por (12/5)

tor @ atl (12/2), was (12/4), chi (12/5)

ind @ sac (12/2), ut (12/4), lac (12/5)

mia @ den (12/3), lal (12/4), sac (12/6)

cle @ mil (12/6), mem (12/8), hou (12/9)

den @ phi (12/7), cha (12/8), det (12/10)

orl @ lac (12/8), ut (12/10), pho (12/11)

por @ ind (12/9), cle (12/11), mil (12/12)

bos @ was (12/10), chi (12/12), mem (12/14)

nj @ ind (12/11), atl (12/13), cle (12/15)

mn @ lal (12/11), sac (12/12), ut (12/14)

gs @ chi (12/11), det (12/12), phi (12/14)

sa @ lac (12/13), pho (12/15), gs (12/16)

det @ hou (12/15), no (12/16), okc (12/18)

was @ sac (12/16), gs (12/18), pho (12/19)

lal @ mil (12/16), nj (12/19), det (12/20)

sac @ mn (12/18), mil (12/19), chi (12/21)

bos @ lac (12/27), gs (12/28), pho (12/30)

ny @ det (12/29), nj (12/30), atl (1/1)

phi @ sac (12/30), lac (12/31), den (1/3)

cha @ tor (12/30), mia (1/2), cle (1/3)

dal @ hou (12/31), sac (1/2), lal (1/3)