Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 04.07.07

[Jay Edgar]

THROUGH FRIDAY 04.06.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Friday, 3-7, -0.68u
(PHI, BOS, WAS, NOK, MEM, POR, NJ, SAC, DEN, SEA)
YTD 293-550, +54.87u
(since the ASB: 84-185, -10.84u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Friday, 6-3-1, +2.85u
YTD 445-384 (.537) +41.80u
(since the ASB: 137-127 (.519) +3.65u)

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 69
2 CHI 66
3 LAC 66
4 PHX 63
5 TOR 59
6 DET 59
7 DEN 56
8 DAL 54
9 CLE 53
10 CHA 53
11 MIA 52
12 GS 52
13 IND 51
14 LAX 51
15 UTH 49
16 NJ 48
17 NOK 48
18 PHI 46
19 ORL 46
20 POR 46
21 HOU 45
22 BOS 44
23 WAS 43
24 SAC 43
25 SEA 42
26 MEM 37
27 ATL 37
28 MIN 36
29 MIL 35
30 NY 35


EDGAR LINES FOR 04.07.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

IND 6.0/211 over BOS

ORL 6.1/219 over MEM

NJ 5.8/206 over WAS

NOK 1.5/109 over MIN

SAN 6.9/260 over GS

MIL 5.6/197 over NY

UTH 5.3/186 over SEA

DAL 4.9/176 over POR

LAC 7.6/308 over DEN


5%-OFF MARKER

BOS +258, IND -175

MEM +268, ORL -184

WAS +250, NJ -171

NOK +108, MIN +129

GS +324, SAN -213

NY +227, MIL -156

SEA +224, UTH -155

POR+212, DAL -147

DEN +393, LAC -249

[fearless]

DEN +393, LAC -249

The Clippers would have to be about -600 for Denver to be +393.

Denver's gonna have some momentum going their way after today's game against Dallas. The players were jumping up and down and running off the court after the game. Iverson and Anthony were awesome down the stretch. This team's a little scary right now but the Clippers are playing great. Also, the Clippers have won 8 out of the last 10 games between the teams. Tough game.

[Jay Edgar]

Agree.
And actually, the Pinny line would be DEN +393, LAC -433

More likely it will open at something like DEN +165, LAC -175. The method play will surely be the Clippers -- a rare pick of a true favorite.

[imgv94]

I like Denver +5 tomorrow.. I'm cold so you will win..

[fearless]

I like Denver +5 tomorrow.. I'm cold so you will win..

Jay Edgar is talking about the money line and you're talking about the point spread. You could both win.

[Jay Edgar]

% TEAM ATS ML
11 LAC LOSS -191
11 MIL LOSS -123
13 GS LOSS -100
16 WAS WIN -100
17 SEA WIN 425
17 BOS WIN -100
24 MEM LOSS -100
26 NOK WIN 270
31 POR WIN -100


THROUGH SATURDAY 04.07.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Saturday, 2-7, -1.19u
(BOS, MEM, WAS, NOK, GS, MIL, SEA, POR, LAC)
YTD 295-557, +53.68u
(since the ASB: 86-192, -12.03u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Saturday, 5-4, +0.80u
YTD 450-388 (.537) +42.60u
(since the ASB: 142-131 (.520) +4.45u)