Roag's NBA Regular Season Thread

[Ace_of_Spades]

Man, Basketball can be cruel at times. Sixers up 12 or something at the half and can't win it from there. Had i seen Pavy's post, things may have been different.

[RoagBettor]

Every sport is cruel. The Suns are for real, it will be hard to bet against them no matter who they play this year.

[RoagBettor]

I've been having great success betting 1Q's, 1H's and 2H's instead of full games. I think I'm going to stick with that approach for a few days and see where I'm at in a week or so.

[SexyMit]

Well then I'm going to keep an eye out on those plays!

[BebeRebozo]

So do I

[cap10]

pts to ponder

home tm has won 6 str8 in den;chi series
okc has won 3 str8 vs sac;; q is when will sac crash and burn w/o kmar?
hou is 4-11 ats in dallas
char is 3-0 at home
what are the wiz up to anyway;; got no read on this tm
por has won 7 str8 vs mem;; all the same i still lean den hou por sac char ats

[KiDBaZkiT]

pts to ponder

home tm has won 6 str8 in den;chi series
okc has won 3 str8 vs sac;; q is when will sac crash and burn w/o kmar?
hou is 4-11 ats in dallas
char is 3-0 at home
what are the wiz up to anyway;; got no read on this tm
por has won 7 str8 vs mem;; all the same i still lean den hou por sac char ats

The Wiz were doin great til Mike Miller got hurt, he really made them a better ball club, you could see against phoenix they were missin him bad, especially his outside shooting.

[cap10]

roag

do u lean on tms that are overdue more or tms that have strong trends;; im always torn between;;

eg see den ch above; ; den is due to pound someone but bulls are tough at home and home tm has won 6 str8

[cap10]

over to the nasty nfl for a min;; i usually follow tulley the tout;;; this week i dont and he goes 8-0 ats;; i saw he was on tenn over sf and passed;; dang;; my bad /sf was comeing of a tough game in indy and were due to be flat

[RoagBettor]

roag

do u lean on tms that are overdue more or tms that have strong trends;; im always torn between;;

eg see den ch above; ; den is due to pound someone but bulls are tough at home and home tm has won 6 str8

Bulls suck. I think Denver routs them tonight.

I like betting against teams that are due for a loss. You could see that Orlando, Boston and Denver were struggling in their games prior to getting beat; that's when I think we need to take the points with the dog.

[cap10]

i guess the best bet is if u have an overdue tm PLUS a trend like norleans yest;; the were due to pound someone AND had beat lac like 9 str8;;

[RoagBettor]

i guess the best bet is if u have an overdue tm PLUS a trend like norleans yest;; the were due to pound someone AND had beat lac like 9 str8;;

Right. My strategy going forward is to play less games and find the ones where the dog is due to win and the big favorite is due to lose. Put a decent bet on the spread and a small bet on the ML.

And I'll play more 2H's than 1Q's or 1H's; I really like to see how a team is performing and how the refs are calling a game, then bet the 2H accordingly. It's been good so far the last few days doing that.

And of course, take the Knicks 2H when they are down by 18+ at the half!

[cap10]

i hear u roag;;

looking over at scores and odds the sharp money seems to be on the following tms ats;;( unless i am misreading something) ie;;lines are not moving even tho most public money is on one side but sharp is on the opposite side;;;

sharps like ats;;

char
wash
den
mem
hou
sac

i like em all except mem and wash has me worried(but very overdue) but will play this 6t parlay anyway
gl
after obvserving a little more line movement i also like this 6t
char,mia,den,mem,hou,okc// gl

[SportsTerminator]

Fade Knicks 1Q = $$$

[RoagBettor]

1H Magic -1.5
1H Denver -1

[PeePee]

1H Magic -1.5
1H Denver -1

Your plays, Roag? Heard your 1H been $. I'm tailing...

[RoagBettor]

I'm also on Magic and Denver 1Q, both teams can't afford to fall behind early if they want to get these road wins.

[PeePee]

Isn't Rashad Lewis back today for Orl?

[SportsTerminator]

"Rashard Lewis is still suspended, and key reserve Ryan Anderson will be out again with an ankle injury. Vince Carter will supposedly be a gametime decision"

[cs11787]

Whats up Roag?! I see you are taking Orlando 1H. That doesnt mean you like them to win the game do you? I actually like Charlotte and the points at home. The last time the books set a line that seemed low for Orlando on the road they got blown out by my hometown Thunder! Haha.

[RoagBettor]

Hey cs! I think Orlando and Denver come out with everything they have in the 1H tonight. Not sure Orlando can hold on because of the injuries but I think Denver will beat the Bulls.

[cs11787]

Im on Denver tonight also. They cant possibly go 3 games in a row without scoring over 100 pts can they? That is not like Denver. Lol. I heard Kenyon Martin is out and the line continues to climb to 3 at some places. I think thats strange.

[RoagBettor]

Official Plays:

1Q Magic -1
1Q Nuggets -1
1H Magic -1.5
1H Nuggets -1

Each bet $55 to win $50

[mebaran]

Really liking the Denver 1Q and 1H picks, Roag. The Bulls really hinge on whether or not Rose is all there or not.

[HustleGetPaid]

Official Plays:

1Q Magic -1
1Q Nuggets -1
1H Magic -1.5
1H Nuggets -1

Each bet $55 to win $50

Like all those plays, best of luck!!!

[RoagBettor]

Orlando 1Q cashes!

[PeePee]

1 down, 3 to go... Yes, I tailed you on all 4.


Thinking about my Rockets tonight. Any thought, Roag?

[RoagBettor]

Tough call on the Rockets. I don't think they'll match up well with Dallas but you know the Rockets are going to play hard, so it's a no play for me at least for the 1H and game. Maybe something in the 2H.

[RoagBettor]

Orlando 1H cashes! 2-0 so far. C'mon Denver!

[ztballer]

tailed you on 1Q ORL, 1H ORL

Thanks Roag!

[RoagBettor]

Adding Rockets 1Q +2

[PeePee]

Adding Rockets 1Q -2

+2 you mean.

[RoagBettor]

Oops! Thanks for catching that!

[RoagBettor]

Denver shooting 4-16, geez! Not looking good.

[RoagBettor]

Denver 1Q cashes! 3-0!