Jay Edgar NBA, Friday 03.23.07

[Jay Edgar]

Through Thursday 03.22.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Thursday, 0-3, -3.00u
(MEM, DET, SAC)
YTD 264-489, +44.37u
(since the ASB: 55-124, -21.34u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 1-2, -1.10u
YTD 393-347 (.531) +28.65u
(since the ASB: 85-90 (.486) -9.50u)

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 HOU 68
2 DAL 66
3 DET 66
4 CLE 62
5 SAN 61
6 GS 61
7 DEN 60
8 UTH 59
9 MIA 56
10 ATL 53
11 WAS 53
12 PHX 52
13 LAC 50
14 CHI 50
15 MIL 50
16 ORL 48
17 NOK 48
18 SEA 47
19 CHA 47
20 BOS 46
21 NJ 46
22 TOR 44
23 POR 42
24 IND 41
25 NY 40
26 MIN 40
27 PHI 37
28 SAC 37
29 LAX 34
30 MEM 32

EDGAR LINES FOR 03.23.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

ORL 4.5/167 over NJ

IND 1.0/108 over MIA

TOR 3.9/160 over DEN

PHI 2.6/128 over CHA

ATL 6.4/241 over POR

DAL 1.8/122 over BOS

CLE 8.6/361 over NY

SAN 5.3/185 over DET

NOK 7.2/281 over LAX

SEA 3.7/153 over MIN

LAC 2.4/125 over UTH

GS 5.8/205 over WAS



STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

NJ +200, ORL -140

MIA +127, IND +110

DEN +191, TOR -134

CHA +152, PHI -108

POR +298, ATL -198

DAL -103, BOS +144

NY +471, CLE -286

DET +224, SAN -155

LAX +353, NOK -228

MIN +183, SEA -128

UTH +149, LAC -106

WAS +250, GS -170

[Jay Edgar]

53% ATS against the closing number over 750 plays should feel great.

But not coming from where we were, which was 55.8% ATS against the closing number over the first 550 plays.

Season can't end soon enough. Time for a break.

GAP TEAM ATS ML
5 ORL WIN 100
6 DET WIN -100
7 IND WIN 116
9 NY LOSS -100
9 CHA LOSS -100
14 LAC WIN 128
18 NOK LOSS -133
25 BOS LOSS -100

Through Friday 03.23.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Friday, 3-5, -1.89u
(ORL, IND, CHA, BOS, NY, DET, NOK, LAC)
YTD 267-494, +42.48u
(since the ASB: 58-129, -23.23u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Friday, 4-4, -0.20u
YTD 397-351 (.531) +28.45u
(since the ASB: 89-94 (.461) -9.70u)