Jay Edgar NBA, Monday 03.19.07

[Jay Edgar]

Through Sunday 03.18.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Sunday, 1-4, -2.78u
(NY, DET, LAC, PHI, MIN)
YTD 258-473, +45.91u
(since the ASB: 49-108, -19.80u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Sunday, 2-2, -0.10u
YTD 384-334 (.535) +33.30u
(since the ASB: 76-77 (.497) -4.85u)


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 CLE 69
2 HOU 66
3 SAN 64
4 DET 64
5 DAL 62
6 GS 60
7 UTH 60
8 CHI 59
9 DEN 59
10 MIA 57
11 MIL 54
12 BOS 53
13 WAS 51
14 PHX 51
15 SAC 49
16 ORL 48
17 NY 48
18 ATL 47
19 NJ 47
20 SEA 47
21 LAC 46
22 TOR 44
23 PHI 43
24 NOK 40
25 CHA 38
26 POR 37
27 MEM 37
28 MIN 36
29 IND 36
30 LAX 32


EDGAR LINES FOR 03.19.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

ATL 3.7/150 over SAC

BOS 1.5/108 over NOK
(Not a typo. I get Celts as a slight favorite @ Hornets)


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

SAC +179, ATL -126

BOS +109, NOK +128

[AC1318]

Well boston been playing good and have whipped hornets in NO before although that was in 2005 14 and 13 one time dog of 3 and once a fav of 5.

In november NO 91 BOS 87 in BOSTON

[AC1318]

Atlanta is a dog of 3
so it looks as if you might have 2 plays

[AC1318]

If I had to pick I say boston wins before atl does in sac.

sac 9-1 SU last 10 vs atl
and I know injuries are not that much equated but no J johnson tells me screw ATL
SAC to unpredictable and could very well smash ATL tomorrow

[Jay Edgar]

Odds that neither Oden nor Durant comes out? Still +900 I think. But:


His freshman year has been a blur, and now he says he's going to place the decision of turning pro in the hands of his parents.

"Whatever they want me to do, I'm going to trust my parents enough they'll make a great decision for me," Durant said. "I'll know when they know."

[Jay Edgar]

And of course:

The Boston Celtics confirmed Sunday that the team had been fined $30,000 by the NBA for excessive contact with the family of University of Texas star freshman and likely lottery draft pick Kevin Durant.

General Manager Danny Ainge sat next to Durant's mother during the Big 12 tournament. The league said Ainge violated rules demanding that contact be kept to a minimum between team executives and potential NBA draft picks, until college players officially declare for the draft.

One more thing linking Ainge and McHale -- inability to follow the rules. Probably don't even read them.

[bigboydan]

I just don't feel theres enough value in this board in order to bet a side in the NBA Jay.

I will say this though. Ainge needs to be fired if he doesn't take Oden instead of Durant.

If you compare Oden's numbers to some of the other big time centers that have/are playing in the NBA right now. You will see he matches up with them quite well during the first year of college.

[Jay Edgar]

Method aside, I do like the Celtics. If they aren't tanking, I think they belong in the NBA middle class for the rest of the year.

Also, just a hunch, it will click in the same way for the Blazers before we get to game 82.

[Jay Edgar]

% TEAM ATS ML
20 BOS LOSS -100
20 ATL WIN 147

Through Monday 03.19.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Monday, 1-1, +0.47u
(ATL, BOS)
YTD 259-474, +46.38u
(since the ASB: 50-109, -19.33u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Monday, 1-1, -0.05u
YTD 385-335 (.534) +33.25u
(since the ASB: 77-78 (.440) -4.90u)