Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 03.17.07

[Jay Edgar]

Through Friday 03.16.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Friday, 3-6, -1.26u
(CHA, PHI, TOR, NY, MIA, BOS, DET, POR, MIN)
YTD 254-467, +37.43u
(since the ASB: 45-102, -28.28u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Friday, 5-4, +0.80u
YTD 378-331 (.533) +30.45u
(since the ASB: 70-74 (.486) -7.70u)

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
(Western dominance? Myth. Or at least conventional wisdom gone stale.)

1 SAN 71
2 CLE 67
3 DET 65
4 MIA 63
5 DAL 62
6 UTH 62
7 CHI 62
8 GS 59
9 HOU 57
10 PHX 56
11 MIL 54
12 PHI 54
13 DEN 52
14 LAC 49
15 BOS 48
16 TOR 48
17 ORL 47
18 WAS 47
19 NJ 46
20 POR 45
21 SAC 44
22 NY 44
23 ATL 44
24 SEA 44
25 NOK 42
26 MIN 37
27 CHA 37
28 MEM 35
29 LAX 31
30 IND 31


EDGAR LINES FOR 03.17.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

ORL 5.9/207 over SAC

IND 1.8/118 over ATL

WAS 5.5/192 over NOK

CLE 6.4/240 over UTH

CHI 1.9/123 over MEM

SAN 7.4/299 over BOS

MIL 8.6/365 over CHA

SEA 4.9/175 over GS

DEN 5.5/189 over PHX


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

SAC +252, ORL -172

ATL +140, IND +100

NOK +232, WAS -160

UTH +297, CLE -198

CHI -104, MEM +146

BOS +379, SAN -241

CHA +478, MIL -279

GS +210, SEA -146

PHX +229, DEN -158

[The HG]

Wow, Atlanta as a -6.5 point road fave over Indiana. Am I reading that correctly? What do you think of that number Jay? Obviously it reflects how terribly Indiana has been playing lately. Do you think it's an accurate number?

[AC1318]

atl is 4-1 ats in indiana plus point last 5
tinsley out for indiana

[Jay Edgar]

Keyed that in backwards, folks.
Hope there was no harm done.

I had entered ATL as the home team.
With IND as the home team, it is still a play on ATL, but the numbers make more sense.

ATL closed 15% off.

[Jay Edgar]

The Griz actually pulled one out.

And there's more form Texas.

Dogs and cats, living together. Mass hysteria.

[Jay Edgar]

Happy St. Paddy's Day

@+1250

[AC1318]

Keyed that in backwards, folks.
Hope there was no harm done.

I had entered ATL as the home team.
With IND as the home team, it is still a play on ATL, but the numbers make more sense.

ATL closed 15% off.

it was still a play just not as strong by the point system
oh well

[Jay Edgar]

% TEAM ATS ML
11 CHA WIN -100
14 MEM WIN 210
15 ATL LOSS -100
17 BOS WIN 1000
20 DEN WIN 116

Through Saturday 03.17.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Saturday, 3-2, +11.26u
(ATL, MEM, BOS, CHA, DEN)
YTD 257-469, +48.69u
(since the ASB: 48-104, -17.02u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Saturday, 4-1, +2.95u
YTD 382-332 (.535) +33.40u
(since the ASB: 74-75 (.497) -4.75u)