NBA ~ 2009/2010 Regular Season Thread

[Dexter]

0-4 yesterday, big day today coming. GL with your plays tonight, I am on Denver as well. What line did you get on the Blazers

you went 0-4 as well on tue?

[Dexter]

so if you don't have a spread (bulls) are you taking the money line?

no, i always cap and most of the time (unless i think i can get a better line) book my plays the night before. there was no line on the bulls last night. just booked at -2.

i never play moneylines in hoops.

[Dexter]

I love this. fantastic insight. Im in total agreement. I had just heard about the altitude difficulty in the NCAA tourney. I had never really thought of it. Teams, from low altitude schools, in the second game played in higher altitude almost always fade.

go take a look at denver and utah at home ats over the last 3 years.

i wish there was some way of finding out how they performed at home on at least 1 days rest vs a team playing back to back.

i should just make that an autobet next year. was only 1 A3 this year and it lost.

[lakerboy]

Dexter what is the record of the autobets this year. Let me know when you have a minute please.

[Dexter]

Dexter what is the record of the autobets this year. Let me know when you have a minute please.

i dont have my spreadsheet at work, will check tonight.

A1 is def around 60-65%.....A2 around 40%

im taking it easy at work today as you can see. at $14k commission for the month with 3 weeks left!

[polsefest]

go take a look at denver and utah at home ats over the last 3 years.

i wish there was some way of finding out how they performed at home on at least 1 days rest vs a team playing back to back.

i should just make that an autobet next year. was only 1 A3 this year and it lost.

I think I'll look that up. I'll definitely let you know, might take me a while though. I was pondering the same thing myself the other day.

[Dexter]

thanks for the 1 point cheapo!!!

do it Polo

[Jakoby87]

Great night lastnight. Gl tonight

[Dexter]

Fri 4/9:

(4x) suns +3.5
(3x) spurs -10
(3x) rockets (no line yet)

[Dexter]

Sat 4/10:

(6x) nuggets (A1) - may change bet size once line comes out.

[Dexter]

NBA Autobets

(A1) fade any team playing their 4th game in 5 nights (36-20) 64%

(A2) fade any team that beats the world champs (lakers) in their next game (7-14) 33%

(A3) fade any team coming off an overtime game when they travel into denver or utah the next night (back to back) the jazz and nuggets must be playing on at least 1 days rest. (0-1)

lakerboy - here you go...

[lakerboy]

lakerboy - here you go...

Beautiful Dexter- thanks. So A1 is the one i will use next year. I am gonna play a dime everytime on those A1 games.

[texhooper]

a1 is extra hot this year. i think it was closer to 56% last year. still a winner either way.

[I am Happy]

Dex, what line of work are you in?

[Dexter]

Dex, what line of work are you in?

financial sales.....

[Dexter]

unreal....i get down at the bulls -2, then lebron is announced out and still lose...

and now kobe isnt playing....

[Dexter]

CHI 0.0
Derrick Rose missed 2nd of 2 Free Throws
CHI 2.0
Derrick Rose missed 1st of 2 Free Throws

wow.....i had to look

[Tokka]

Dexter, why Suns? OKC at home after 2 losses

[blackbeSSt]

ft will kill ya. last i saw chi was up by 10.

[sweetjones55]

I like the Denver play a lot for tomorrow. I have had that game circled for a while now. I love the fact it's the 4th game in 5 days for Spurs (A1) but also that the Nuggets beat the Lakers last game (A2). Spurs smoked Denver outright last time in Denver, largest loss Denver has had at home all year by 19, so I think this line will have a ton of value. I could just see the old Spurs wearing down in the 2H and running out of gas and the Nuggets going on one of their crazy runs. I will hammer the opening line.

[dimon]

Den should bring their A game for tomorrow

[Dexter]

dammit - the spurs are an A2 play tomorrow. screw it, i have to back the a1...

[sweetjones55]

dammit - the spurs are an A2 play tomorrow. screw it, i have to back the a1...

I know fading a team that beats the defending champs is profitable in the long run but I think tomorrow you just gotta go with the trend this year. Old Spurs playing in that thin air on B2B is just a disaster in the making. Do you mean you are backing out of A1 and not taking Denver or you are backing A1 and taking Denver anyways?

[Dexter]

Dexter, why Suns? OKC at home after 2 losses

phx is obviously red hot and has won both visits to oklahoma staright up. more importantly, i had my projected line at phx +2, so i had to jump on the 3.5.

[Dexter]

I know fading a team that beats the defending champs isn't profitable in the long run but I think tomorrow you just gotta go with the trend this year. Old Spurs playing in that thin air on B2B is just a disaster in the making. Do you mean you are backing out of A1 and not taking Denver or you are backing A1 and taking Denver anyways?

i dont know man - that angle killed it last year. sucked this year, but im willing to stick with it again next season.

im sticking with the nuggets for sure.

[sweetjones55]

i dont know man - that angle killed it last year. sucked this year, but im willing to stick with it again next season.

im sticking with the nuggets for sure.

Whoa my bad I worded that wrong hence the word but after what I said. I meant to say I know fading a team that beats the defeding champs is profitable in the long run.

This will probably be the game that gets me that Bulls money back + more. Dex is 6x your biggest unit play?

[Eggspert]

what about utah, chi, olr, mil, and port dex? not playing them tom?

[Dexter]

Whoa my bad I worded that wrong hence the word but after what I said. I meant to say I know fading a team that beats the defeding champs is profitable in the long run.

This will probably be the game that gets me that Bulls money back + more. Dex is 6x your biggest unit play?

no, i dropped a dime on cavs over memphis early in the year. that was my "game of the year"

[shoebox]

that sounds like touting

[Dexter]

that sounds like touting

You got mail

[Dexter]

what about utah, chi, olr, mil, and port dex? not playing them tom?

a lot of those games seem too good to be true - i bet a few of those teams with nothing to play for show up.

[lakerboy]

You got mail

[shoebox]

You got mail

[ragiche]

4/9

Suns +4 ( 2x )

Bulls -5.5 ( 2x )

76ers +4.5 ( 2x )

[sweetjones55]

Good luck tonight Dex.