NBA ~ 2009/2010 Regular Season Thread

**bluntsallday** · 12-23-09, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

http://www.denverpost.com/nuggets/ci...#ixzz0aP6VgSLN

THANKS MAN! takin the hawks tonight most likely.

**bluntsallday** · 12-23-09, 03:07 PM

(1.5x) new jersey nets -4

(1.5x) san antonio spurs -10.5

**Dexter** · 12-23-09, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by bluntsallday

THANKS MAN! takin the hawks tonight most likely.

the only reason im not is back to back for atl going into the high altitude and a revenge game for denver who already lost in atl. just cant play den without billups. i would have no problem if no melo, but chauncy takes that team to another level.

**bluntsallday** · 12-23-09, 03:50 PM

(1.5x) atlanta hawks +3.5

**ragiche** · 12-23-09, 04:02 PM

Minnesota and New Jersey are the 2 worst teams going at it tonight.And as far for the line movement is concern, oppening at 199.5 now down to 197.5 with most are betting the over.What am i missing here. The under is clearly 4-1 with these 2 teams playing against each other in newjersey. The nets only score 100 or more 4 times in 28 games while the wolves 9 times in 29 games.These are only i need to cap on this one.If you have better,please let me know.

Play # 3 MIN/NJN Under 197.5 ( 3x )

**bluntsallday** · 12-23-09, 04:02 PM

(1.5x) milwaukee bucks -7

(1.5x) new orleans hornets -10

**mebaran** · 12-23-09, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by ragiche

Minnesota and New Jersey are the 2 worst teams going at it tonight.And as far for the line movement is concern, oppening at 199.5 now down to 197.5 with most are betting the over.What am i missing here. The under is clearly 4-1 with these 2 teams playing against each other in newjersey. The nets only score 100 or more 4 times in 28 games while the wolves 9 times in 29 games.These are only i need to cap on this one.If you have better,please let me know.

Play # 3 MIN/NJN Under 197.5 ( 3x )

The only thing I can think of is that maybe these teams' defenses are so soft that there will be more scoring than people think...or that may be mainly a football thing.

**darkenergy** · 12-23-09, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by ragiche

Minnesota and New Jersey are the 2 worst teams going at it tonight.And as far for the line movement is concern, oppening at 199.5 now down to 197.5 with most are betting the over.What am i missing here. The under is clearly 4-1 with these 2 teams playing against each other in newjersey. The nets only score 100 or more 4 times in 28 games while the wolves 9 times in 29 games.These are only i need to cap on this one.If you have better,please let me know. Play # 3 MIN/NJN Under 197.5 ( 3x )

Rag, I don't disagree with you about this play, BUT I do think something going on with the line.
Last time Nets/T'woes played, the line was set at 194.....despite the facts both of these teams have trouble scoring.....why the line set almost 5 points higher than last game

.
The line was dropped from 199 to 197...and 196 as I typing due to 61% are on UNDER (@ 6:33pm).
The way I see it, both teams have soft defend (nets 22nd, t'woes 24th), BUT both have sh*tty offense. One thing you should note, T'woes has pace factor ranking 3rd, Nets rank 14th.....which mean on paper, these both teams should run up and down the court a lot, just matter of can they make the basket.

I actually leaning OVER 196...but not pull the trigger yet.

There are few games that Total has shifted 3 points or more since open:
Nets/T'woes Open 199.5, Current 196
Wizard/Buck Open 198.5, Current 202
Thunder/Sun Open 208, Current 212.
BL used to wrote a note about if the line shifted 3 points or more, what's the indications.....I can't find his post.

**GreatDanes52** · 12-23-09, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Wed 12/23:

(2x) rockets +8.5 - houston is 5-0 su/ats their last 5 games in orlando.

(2x) heat -2 - miami is 4-0 su/ats their last 5 home games vs utah.

(4x) spurs -8.5 (A1-Autobet) + revenge angle from 11/6 loss at portland

Dex,

Do you still see value in Spurs -12 thats the line im getting from local, im thinking of buying it down to 11?

**Dexter** · 12-23-09, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by GreatDanes52

Dex,

Do you still see value in Spurs -12 thats the line im getting from local, im thinking of buying it down to 11?

def dont see value in that line. pryzbilla is out as well for port, so they've gone from being a big team down low (with oden) to having an undersized front line. duncan should go off tonight.

if the line was -18 i would have played it since portlands on their 4th game in 5 nights

**GreatDanes52** · 12-23-09, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

def dont see value in that line. pryzbilla is out as well for port, so they've gone from being a big team down low (with oden) to having an undersized front line. duncan should go off tonight.

if the line was -18 i would have played it since portlands on their 4th game in 5 nights

Thanks Dex Im gonna play it small unless the line drops before game time

**dannyovercash** · 12-23-09, 08:17 PM

i took Spurs -7 1H 5units

like the matchup for Duncan with the Blazers small front line

**Dexter** · 12-23-09, 08:45 PM

December 25th ~ Christmas Day NBA 2009:

(2x) knicks -1 - ny is 4-1 su their last 5 home games vs the heat at msg. ny will look to avenge a 22 point loss at miami in late october.

(4x) magic -2 - orlando is 3-1 su their last 4 home games vs boston. a banged up kg and no pierce might be overcome if in boston, but this is a tall order in orlando on xmas day.

(2x) cavs +5 - way too many points to be giving lebron in this showcase game. the cavs are 3-1 ats their last 4 in la with 2 su wins. will add another unit or 2 if they lose in sac tonight.

**Dexter** · 12-23-09, 08:46 PM

62 total points at the half for mia/utah?

**bluntsallday** · 12-23-09, 08:53 PM

was just gonna say.... who had the under?!!!!!!!!!! YOURE STRAIGHT!!!!

**Dexter** · 12-23-09, 10:17 PM

man, the spurs are just a joke. i need to start looking at that team differently....

**jaymac82980** · 12-23-09, 10:25 PM

yes you do dex! those old bastards smell like icy hot and viagra! i took portland 2h +9. i wont spend another dime on the spurs. just too dicey. they eithor show up or sit on the bench and argue about what show was better...murder she wrote or golden girls!

my vote would go to golden girls. blanch was such a whore!

**Wilforth** · 12-23-09, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by ragiche

Play # 1 Spurs -9 ( 5x )

Play # 2 Pistons -2

Ordinarily, these are great analytical picks but the NBA is such a huge joke!

**KiDBaZkiT** · 12-23-09, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

man, the spurs are just a joke. i need to start looking at that team differently....

I got sucked into that bet too, they looked lost the entire game. They weren't running any type of offense and Portland was just getting wide open shots all night long it was so pitiful to watch, everytime SA would score and the crowd would cheer im yellin at the tv "WTF are you cheering for? Spurs will give up another wide open look or wide open drive to the cup in less than 24 Sec."

**Dexter** · 12-24-09, 10:23 AM

damn, no nba or college hoops today. my bowl games are posted in ragiches ncaa hoops thread, but today im on:

(3x) nevada -14

(1.5x) under nevada 72

**ragiche** · 12-24-09, 08:56 PM

MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!

May all of you have a wonderful evening.

**basb** · 12-24-09, 10:04 PM

dex, the line moved in favor for boston, its now -5 for orlando i think.. any thoughts?

**Dexter** · 12-24-09, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by basb

dex, the line moved in favor for boston, its now -5 for orlando i think.. any thoughts?

wouldn't bother me....i see a double digit win for orlando tomorrow.

on a side note.....i hate fish

cant wait for lasagna and beef wellington tomorrow...

**Dexter** · 12-24-09, 11:15 PM

where has phx3 been?

**ragiche** · 12-25-09, 05:39 AM

Christmas Day Special

Suns -9.5 (HEAVY) The suns are pissed of right now.Losing 2 straight home games.They(PHO) will give their fans a good game today.

**Dexter** · 12-25-09, 09:00 PM

12/25:

(1x) blazers +2.5
(2x) under nuggets 198

*reasons in the game thread i started

**Dexter** · 12-25-09, 09:54 PM

12/26:

(2x) mavs -8 - dallas has lost the last 3 games to memphis (all away from home) including a 16pt loss in early dec. last 2 home games vs memphis were dallas wins su/ats by an avg of 16ppg. revenge time for dallas.

(2x) hawks -7 - atl is 6-1 ats this year following a su loss.

(2x) rockets -9 - hou is 5-0 su/ats their last 5 in nj winning by an avg of 15ppg.

(2x) bobcats +5.5 - charl is 18-6 ats the last 3 years in games following one where they yielded 85 points or < defensively. 3 point loss last year in oklahoma.

(2x) bucks +2.5 - milw is 4-0 ats (3 su wins) their last 4 home games vs sa (3-6 ats road). the bucks are 3-1 ats as home dogs this season.

(4x) jazz -8 - utah is 9-3 ats this year following a loss. they are also 5-1 ats this year following a double digit loss and 6-0 ats the last 3 years after scoring 85 points or less.

(2x) warriors +3 - fading phx on btb in golden state where they have dropped 4 of 5 su.

**ragiche** · 12-25-09, 10:07 PM

ADDITIONAL PLAY:

Blazers +1.5 1st Half ( 2x )

I don't usually play 1st halves but gonna try it sometimes.

**ragiche** · 12-26-09, 12:19 PM

12/26

Wizards -2.5 ( 5x )

Bobcats +6 ( 2x )

Jazz -7 ( 2x )

Bucks +2.5 ( 2x )

Pacers +6.5 ( 2x )

Lakers -7 ( 2x )

GL tonight guys

.No time for write-ups,going out with the kids. Hope these plays helps.

**bluntsallday** · 12-26-09, 03:50 PM

utah rolls tonight.

**bluntsallday** · 12-27-09, 07:34 AM

clippers roll tonight.

**ragiche** · 12-27-09, 11:08 AM

12/27

Nuggets -6.5 ( 6x )

GL tonight guys

.

**texhooper** · 12-27-09, 11:12 AM

rockets +8.5 and nuggets -6.5 both big size plays today. good luck all.

**Dexter** · 12-27-09, 12:44 PM

12/27:

(3x) rockets +8.5 (A2-Autobet) - fade any team (cavs) that just beat the world champ lakers.

(3x) nuggets -6.5 - back to back for dallas going into mile high to face the rested nuggets looking to bounce back from the xmas night loss in port. den is 3-0 su/ats last 3 home games vs dal winning by 14ppg.

(2x) clippers +8.5 - the clips pulled the upset last year at home and now catch boston in a prime letdown spot off that huge win at orlando xmas day.

**Dexter** · 12-27-09, 01:24 PM

billups is out....i knocked my play down to 3x.