Monday WNBA - Ind/Pho UNDER 175

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    Monday WNBA - Ind/Pho UNDER 175
    Ind/Pho UNDER 175

    Don't wait to book this one. Pho can't afford another embarrassment like the one they suffered in G2 of the LA/Pho series. Expect a caggey, low-scoring 1H that will keep this one under the total.
  • Domestic
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-10-09
    • 6323

    #2
    Although I always feel stupid when I take a Phoenix under and it goes over I have to agree with you. I think this one ends up being about 170 total. I will lock it in. Best of luck.
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Originally posted by Domestic
      Although I always feel stupid when I take a Phoenix under and it goes over I have to agree with you. I think this one ends up being about 170 total. I will lock it in. Best of luck.
      Let's note these:
      1) In recent meetings between these sides, scoring has been higher in Indiana than in Phoenix.
      2) None of the L3 meetings in Phoenix between these sides has eclipsed this total. The highest total in the L3 at Pho was 173.
      3) No game between these sides has gone to OT.

      We're been offered this generous line because the last meeting in Indiana ended in a total of 196. It always appears stupid to go Under in a Pho game but knowing when to fade a trend is a helpful tool in this business.
      Comment
      • BTTNext
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-06-09
        • 355

        #4
        Isn't the game on Tuesday?

        And I agree with you on the under, it's the right call.
        Comment
        • Wilforth
          Restricted User
          • 05-10-08
          • 16309

          #5
          Originally posted by BTTNext
          Isn't the game on Tuesday?

          And I agree with you on the under, it's the right call.
          Don't mind me. I thought it was today. My bad.
          Comment
          • chubber911
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-24-09
            • 201

            #6
            I got under as well. I got this capped averaging 161 pts.

            Taking sides is another issue. Taking regular season stats, it's almost dead even. Using playoff stats only makes Phoenix a 2 pt favourite to cover the spread. Using season and playoff together just brings it closer to even (on the spread). I don't think playing sides in game 1 is worthwhile.
            Comment
            • Wilforth
              Restricted User
              • 05-10-08
              • 16309

              #7
              I can't touch sides in this affair. The Under is a gift to me. I capped it at a maximum of 165 points, in which the winner scores no more than 85 points.
              Comment
              • X-Rated
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-23-09
                • 232

                #8
                Let's hope so. Phoenix tend to learned to play defense their last game against LA. Lets hope this continue. Also, if my bookie would allow me, I would buy 1 point and take Indiana at +5.5. I don't think Phoenix is 6 point better then Indiana, just as now.
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Under is a toast already!!!
                  Comment
                  • chubber911
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 06-24-09
                    • 201

                    #10
                    I have a feeling this will bode well for smart cappers in the rest of the series. Tonight's results may make the OU line spike for game 2, and I still think betting the under may be a wise decision.
                    Comment
                    • Emily_Haines
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-09
                      • 15917

                      #11
                      Highest scoring game in WNBA history
                      Comment
                      • SportsTerminator
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-18-09
                        • 5179

                        #12
                        Under for game 2 I think is the right call.
                        Bet To Win
                        Comment
                        • Wilforth
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-10-08
                          • 16309

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                          Under for game 2 I think is the right call.
                          I also think so. I don't see them playing like drug addicts twice in a row.
                          Comment
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