Guess the line...... Cleveland @ Miami 2/25

tevari · 02-25-07, 02:51 AM

Pk

onlooker · 02-25-07, 02:59 AM

Cavaliers -2.5

Dark Horse · 02-25-07, 10:26 AM

Not bad.

Line opened at 3 and quickly settled at MIA +2.

Strong early lean towards MIA. This is playoff mode for them. How much is one player really worth, even if it is Wade?

Just looking at the line history, Pinny and CRIS both opened at MIA +3 at 10:09 ET. But CRIS changed that same minute to MIA +2.5. Other example: CRIS opened LAL at -2, but adjusted to -1 that same minute. I've never studied line movements within the first minute, but I think I may now.

fearless · 02-25-07, 12:00 PM

"

Razz · 02-25-07, 12:06 PM

The total seems a bit high, but what do I really know about the NBA?

Dark Horse · 02-25-07, 12:08 PM

"

fearless · 02-25-07, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

May be so, but where the books open the line means a lot more to me than what LVSC thinks. Just personal preference.

The money in Vegas seems to be trending towards the Cavs, they're at least -3 everywhere in Vegas and -3.5 at Stations now. Does that mean anything to you?

Edit: Cleveland is -2.5 -117 at Tradesports now and that's usually a pretty good indicator too.

Dark Horse · 02-25-07, 12:15 PM

I was just starting to think you had to be in the know to be so sure about Vegas, and then you post that TS angle. GL to you bud.

fearless · 02-26-07, 04:53 AM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

I was just starting to think you had to be in the know to be so sure about Vegas, and then you post that TS angle. GL to you bud.

I just check vegas insider before I bet. BTW, the tradesports line could have helped you make money if you bet on the heat +2.5, the line was mia +2.5 +100 at the time I posted that line, you could have made an extra ten percent on your money.

But, I have noticed that tradesports line moves (particularly right before a game) are generally a very accurate predictor as to what's gonna happen.