Basketball Parlay of the Day - Sunday, 2/25/07

[LT Profits]

Post your 2 best basketball plays each day, NBA and CBB full-game Sides & Totals allowed only, no halves. Same game Side/Total parlays are ok.

All parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00, and I will do the standings for the month of February at least.

The Catch: You must have SOME ANALYSIS for each play. Only needs to be one sentence, no big deal, although full paragraphs are ok too. Plays submitted with no analysis will NOT COUNT toward standings.

[LT Profits]

Back on top, with baba and Jay hot on my heels.

STANDINGS 
[B]Name            W       L       W/P     Units[/B]
LT Profits	8	14	0	68
babaoriley 	4	5	1	63
Jay Edgar	4	6	1	53
Hemlock21	2	2	0	32
cadillacb	3	5	0	28
Dave11486	2	3	0	22
Hulu        	2	3	0	22
EaglesPhan36	3	7	1	17
jhippe77     	1	1	0	16
Wassymac  	1	1	0	16
milton50     	1	2	0	6
DoctorJ    	3	8	0	-2
Dbldown11	1	3	0	-4
mapletree 	1	3	0	-4
Razz    	4	11	0	-6
bigpig19      	0	1	0	-10
Dark Horse	0	1	0	-10
DarkProdigy	0	1	0	-10
Peyton2Marvin	0	1	0	-10
Tchocky  	0	1	0	-10
Willie Bee 	2	7	0	-18
freeneasy	0	2	0	-20
img94      	0	2	0	-20
tnkwilli	0	2	0	-20
imastud2  	0	3	0	-30
rjt721      	1	7	1	-35
durito      	2	10	1	-39
Pegasus 	1	8	0	-54


GAME-BY-GAME 
[B]Name            W       L       P        Pct[/B]
Hemlock21	6	2	0	75.0%
Wassymac  	3	1	0	75.0%
Hulu        	7	3	0	70.0%
babaoriley 	12	7	1	63.2%
Dbldown11	5	3	0	62.5%
EaglesPhan36	12	8	2	60.0%
Dave11486	6	4	0	60.0%
DoctorJ    	13	9	0	59.1%
Jay Edgar	12	9	1	57.1%
cadillacb	9	7	0	56.3%
Willie Bee 	10	8	0	55.6%
LT Profits	21	21	2	50.0%
Razz    	15	15	0	50.0%
mapletree 	4	4	0	50.0%
img94      	2	2	0	50.0%
jhippe77     	2	2	0	50.0%
Dark Horse	1	1	0	50.0%
DarkProdigy	1	1	0	50.0%
Tchocky  	1	1	0	50.0%
rjt721      	8	9	1	47.1%
durito      	10	14	4	41.7%
milton50     	2	3	1	40.0%
Pegasus 	6	12	0	33.3%
imastud2  	2	4	0	33.3%
freeneasy	1	3	0	25.0%
bigpig19      	0	2	0	0.0%
Peyton2Marvin	0	2	0	0.0%
tnkwilli	0	3	1	0.0%

[LT Profits]

ROCKETS/MAGIC OVER 182.5: Yes the home/away splits for this game favor the UNDER, as it is 18-11 in all Orlando home games and 16-11 in all Houston road games this season. Also the UNDER is 3-0 in the last three head-to-head meetings. BUT, all of that seems to be incorporated into this rather low total. The bottom line is that Orlando home games are averaging 187.2 points this year while Rocket road games are averaging 187.4, so we feel that all of the value lies with the OVER in this spot.

KINGS/PACERS UNDER 202: The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three head-to-head meetings between these teams, with those games producing point totals of 189 (in overtime), 191 and 191 points respectively. The Pacers are also playing stingy defense at home this season allowing just 94.7 points per game, and we see them slowing down the Sacramento offense again in here. Yes the Kings have now gone OVER in six straight games, but that has served to inflate this total here vs. an Indiana team that has held Sacramento under 100 points in five of the last six meetings.

[Razz]

Two games where the lines sort of scare me, but they are on teams that I have been riding at home with some success.

Vandy -2.5
Well, Vandy has owned Jelly recently, and there's no real reason that changes here. No one has shown the ability to win at Vanderbilt this season, and until proven otherwise, taking Vandy at their strange home court is the only sensible play.

Arizona State +6
I'll keep riding the Sun Devils until they let me down. If I'm going to take them +7 at home against Wazzou, +11.5 at home against UCLA, and +6 at home against USC, I would be nuts not to play them against a team that isn't as good or as consistent as any of those teams. The first one was competitive for awhile before Arizona turned on the stompass, but now that Arizona State is actually playing well, I think they take this one down to the wire.