I feel like the books on erring on the side of a low scoring game, but this gives us a lot of wiggle room to cash the Over. I know the Heat aren't exactly a team that plays with pace, but they've been able to find the basket in these playoffs and returning home shouldn't trigger a trend reversal in that regard. The Celtics on the other hand might benefit from a change of venue. Their 3 point shooting hasn't been great in this series, there may be positive regression incoming.
Last game was fairly low scoring for these teams and even that creeped just past the total. It's not like the Celtics are the Knicks, we know Boston can make it rain if they get hot. Neither team is particularly old, I don't see fatigue being a factor. Hopefully we get some early splashes to set the tone and both teams feel compelled to keep their feet on the accelerator. Books are apparently expecting more of a half-court slugfest, but I think their are too many quality scorers on the floor for both sides, even on the 2nd units.
O214
Last game was fairly low scoring for these teams and even that creeped just past the total. It's not like the Celtics are the Knicks, we know Boston can make it rain if they get hot. Neither team is particularly old, I don't see fatigue being a factor. Hopefully we get some early splashes to set the tone and both teams feel compelled to keep their feet on the accelerator. Books are apparently expecting more of a half-court slugfest, but I think their are too many quality scorers on the floor for both sides, even on the 2nd units.
O214