Jay Edgar NBA, Thursday 01.25.07

[Jay Edgar]

Wednesday was the night we've been waiting on for a while.

MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u if on the dog; to win 1u if on the favorite)
Wednesday, 4-5, +14.78u
(CHA, PHI, NOK, NY, MEM, HOU, MIL, POR, NJ)
YTD 162-288, +42.84u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Wednesday, 8-1, +6.95u
YTD 242-202 (.545), +29.90u


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 DAL 72
2 PHX 70
3 NJ 59
4 DEN 58
5 MIA 58
6 HOU 56
7 SAN 56
8 CHI 54
9 UTH 54
10 DET 54
11 IND 54
12 TOR 52
13 NY 51
14 WAS 51
15 SEA 51
16 NOK 50
17 LAX 50
18 ORL 49
19 LAC 49
20 SAC 49
21 POR 46
22 CHA 46
23 GS 43
24 PHI 42
25 CLE 39
26 ATL 39
27 MIN 39
28 MEM 39
29 BOS 36
30 MIL 35


EDGAR LINES FOR 01.25.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

CHI 1.9/120 over DAL
LAC 3.8/156 over NJ


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

DAL +142, CHI -101
NJ +186, LAC -131

20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

DAL +275, CHI +180
NJ +392, LAC +138

[Razz]

I think I'm taking Chico tomorrow. Best of luck sir.

[onlooker]

Im with both of you on the Bulls. Might even hit the money line for a bit. Good luck guys.

[Hulu]

Chicago for me also, ML for a quarter unit and +5.5 of the other three quarters.

[bigboydan]

I'll follow the trend and also say Chicago is the way to play this game guys.

BTW, good stuff as always Jay

[zoneblitz]

OK, I give up. Why is everyone behind the Bulls tonight? The Mavs have covered well lately. Is it just a hunch? Or is there something behind it?

[Jay Edgar]

OK, this Nets thing is officially not funny any more.
(About a ten unit swing with these last three ridiculous last-second losses.)

=================================
GAP TEAM ATS ML
16 CHI WIN 155
10 NJ WIN -100
=================================

MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u if on the dog; to win 1u if on the favorite)
Thursday, 1-1, +0.55u
(CHI, NJ)
YTD 163-289, +43.39u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 2-0, +2.00u
YTD 244-202 (.547), +31.90u

[Jay Edgar]

OK, I give up. Why is everyone behind the Bulls tonight? The Mavs have covered well lately. Is it just a hunch? Or is there something behind it?

Can't speak for anyone else, Zoneblitz, but for me, I gave the Bulls a 55% chance to win and they were priced at a 39% chance to win. Pretty much as simple as that. Even though Dallas has rarely let down this year, to me the Bulls are worth the play in that spot every time. Would not have touched it if it involved laying anything with them, though.

[Razz]

Great job on the Bulls everyone.

[zoneblitz]

Hey, I'm not complaining, I jumped on the bandwagon too, with a double the normal size bet and won on the Bulls. It just seemed odd that Dallas lost to Chicago by such a large margin after just killing people lately and a lot of people seemed to put money on the Bulls. After I made my wager, the line dropped another full point before the game started. Must have been a lot of $$$ on the Bulls.

[onlooker]

Dallas came out and could not hit a shot to save their life. They showed signs of life at the end of the 1st half, but they never really found their shot yesterday.

I feel for you on the Nets Jay, they have been covering, but just come up short on the straight up win.

Everyone that had the Bulls.