Jay Edgar NBA, Wednesday 01.24.07

[Jay Edgar]

Beaten like a drum by the Mavs and Suns -- again.
And then by everyone else for the hell of it,

MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
Tuesday, 0-6, -6.00u
(WAS, ORL, NOK, ATL, MIL, SEA)
YTD 158-283, +28.06u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Tuesday, 1-5, -4.25u
YTD 235-200 (.540), +22.95u


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 DAL 72
2 PHX 70
3 NJ 62
4 DEN 58
5 SAN 58
6 UTH 57
7 MIA 57
8 HOU 55
9 CHI 54
10 NY 53
11 IND 52
12 WAS 51
13 TOR 51
14 SEA 51
15 NOK 51
16 DET 50
17 CHA 50
18 LAX 50
19 ORL 49
20 LAC 49
21 SAC 49
22 CLE 44
23 POR 44
24 GS 40
25 PHI 39
26 MIN 39
27 BOS 39
28 ATL 37
29 MIL 37
30 MEM 35


EDGAR LINES FOR 01.24.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

CHA 2.8/134 over DET

CLE 5.7/200 over PHI

IND 3.7/150 over MIA

TOR 5.0/179 over NOK

BOS 3.7/152 over ATL

NY 2.8/133 over PHX

UTH 7.7/316 over MEM

SAN 4.0/161 over HOU

SAC 7.2/281 over MIL

POR 2.8/134 over MIN

GS 1.9/119 over NJ


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

DET +159, CHA -113

PHI +243, CLE -166

MIA +180, IND -127

NOK +216, TOR -150

ATL +182, BOS -128

PHX +159, NY -113

MEM +405, UTH -254

HOU +193, SAN -135

MIL +359, SAC -228

MIN +159, POR -113

NJ +141, GS +100

20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

DET +317, CHA +160

PHI +588, CLE +109

MIA +373, IND +142

NOK +486, TOR +121

ATL +380, BOS +141

PHX +316, NY +161

MEM +1818, UTH -134

HOU +412, SAN +133

MIL +1243, SAC -123

MIN +316, POR +161

NJ +271, GS +182

[Jay Edgar]

Pistons are -6 at Charlotte and the numbers say Charlotte.
Remember though that CHA has beaten DET twice this year, including at Auburn Hills. If DET is still potent enough to smack somebody down on principle, Wednesday might be the night. We'll see.

[bigboydan]

Looks like the Bucks/Sac game is gonna get me too Jay.

[Jay Edgar]

Bucks need it to avoid an 0-fer on the road trip.

They look completely lost, but this is a spot that road dogs seem to deliver in.

[LT Profits]

Jay,

I would normally agree, but all of the Milwaukee injuries are keeping me off this one, and I also think this is their 4th game in 5 nights.

[Jay Edgar]

Jay,

I would normally agree, but all of the Milwaukee injuries are keeping me off this one, and I also think this is their 4th game in 5 nights.

It's an ugly duckling, that's for sure.
But I've played worse.

[Jay Edgar]

I've played worse.

For example --

PHI +735

MEM +760

[Jay Edgar]

By way of recap, I'll try to stick something like this at the conclusion of the daily thread.

Might as well start with a good one:

GAP TEAM ATS ML
11 MIL WIN -100
11 POR WIN 113
12 NJ WIN -100
13 MEM WIN 760
16 NOK WIN -100
18 HOU WIN 370
22 PHI WIN 735
32 CHA LOSS -100
38 NY WIN -100