BL WNBA 09 Picks - Thread for the record

BL · 09-01-09, 02:45 AM

My bookie hasn't released ML-Odds yet so I simply booked the spread. If you can get Conn ML for less juice don't wait - just take it

Mriswith · 09-01-09, 07:02 AM

FYI,

Partybets ( non - US, sry ) has the o/u for PHO vs DET @ 141 and for SEA vs NY @ 179.5 ( switched totals ).

Dunno if it'll be canceled ( faulty line ), but the over / under's worth a shot.

bol evr1,
Mris

BL · 09-01-09, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by Mriswith

FYI,

Partybets ( non - US, sry ) has the o/u for PHO vs DET @ 141 and for SEA vs NY @ 179.5 ( switched totals ).

Dunno if it'll be canceled ( faulty line ), but the over / under's worth a shot.

bol evr1,
Mris

I don't know if Partybet cancels bets like this because i've never been there... but take your shot and book the over in that Phoenix-Game! As you maybe know, bwin.com did not cancel my bet on the over 2.5 1st Quarter few days ago

Mriswith · 09-01-09, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by BL

I don't know if Partybet cancels bets like this because i've never been there... but take your shot and book the over in that Phoenix-Game! As you maybe know, bwin.com did not cancel my bet on the over 2.5 1st Quarter few days ago

We'll see about Party, had something alike happen with bwin once. NBA, team total for full game was also the line for 1st half - pounded the under and they didn't cancel that bet, too.

bol,
Mris

BL · 09-01-09, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by Tennispro

OMFG BL again the same picks come on lets do another sweep.

I think this is a good sign. We'll see whats going to happen tonight

If the Phoenix Game will go UNDER the total tonight i like the Over against Indiana tomorrow

BL · 09-02-09, 01:48 AM

Detroit -1,5 2 Units WINNER

Connecticut +1 2 Units LOSER

Minnesota +4,5 2 Units WINNER

>>> Overall record: 23-14 +20,6 Units

Another profitable night !!

SportsTerminator · 09-02-09, 01:55 AM

BL · 09-02-09, 02:25 AM

Originally posted by BL

If the Phoenix Game will go UNDER the total tonight i like the Over against Indiana tomorrow

Well yesterdays game went over the total but i have to take the OVER for tonights game anyway.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix. Let's make it 6 of 8 tonight !!

Phoenix @ Indiana OVER 176,5 2 Units

BL · 09-02-09, 07:01 PM

ok, have to get up in a couple of hours (don't forget I live in Europe

).... Over looks tasty at halftime.
See you tomorrow, hopefully with this over as a winner!

BL · 09-02-09, 07:21 PM

btw... for tomorrow i am leaning Washington so far! Good night

SportsTerminator · 09-02-09, 09:11 PM

Props props

BL · 09-03-09, 02:34 AM

Well, yesterdays game brought 196 points to the scoreboard. Not bad, not bad...
Phoenix @ Indiana OVER 176,5 2 Units WINNER

>>> Overall record: 24-14 +22,42 Units

And as i already said yesterday todays play will be Washington! Washington needs this win, Washington knows how to win and Washington will win this one tonight. Every winning streak comes to an end.

ztballer · 09-03-09, 02:44 AM

Any play on the totals? I'm thinking that it's o143 easily. Unless I'm missing out on something and the books have got me.

BL · 09-03-09, 02:59 AM

No lean for the total. Look, the last time both teams played each other they scored 146 Points. Seattle won the last games but scored less points every game they played except vs Connecticut (but they suck

)
Seattle and Atlanta only put 146 points to the scoreboard in regular time when they played few days ago. And you know Atlanta gives a s*** on defense last weeks. Last Match vs Liberty the Storm won by 7 with a game-total of 123 !
So you see any Over-Pick with Seattle playing could be quite expensive....
Just go for Washington tonight, don't bother about that total. Could go over or under anyway.

BL · 09-03-09, 06:35 AM

67% on Seattle tonight! Wait for Washingtons line to go to -1 before booking!

BL · 09-03-09, 07:08 AM

Looks like the line will move the other way! Ok, let's book it right now

Washington -1,5 2 Units

Good Luck to everybody on the same side

Danskeren · 09-03-09, 11:02 AM

On washington quite heavy for tonight.
I like it, you like it and CK/MIT like it

.

Good luck!

BL · 09-03-09, 08:17 PM

Another winner!

Washington -1,5 2 Units WINNER

>>> Overall record: 25-14 +24,24 Units

SportsTerminator · 09-03-09, 08:25 PM

BL · 09-04-09, 05:33 AM

Ok for today i am looking at two totals as far. And... i like Detroit! But i don't know yet if i can bet with confidence against CKs heavybet on Indiana. I got to have another look at this one.

BL · 09-04-09, 10:24 AM

Atlanta @ Sacramento OVER 169,5 2 Units

Will add a play on Detroit later on.. just waiting for the line to go down after all CK/SM followers booked their heavy plays

BL · 09-04-09, 01:48 PM

Detroit Shock -1,5 (bought the hook) 2 Units

BL · 09-05-09, 03:20 AM

Sweep ! 2-0 yesterday !

Atlanta @ Sacramento OVER 169,5 2 Units WINNER
Detroit Shock -1,5 2 Units WINNER

>>> Overall record: 27-14 +28,88 Units

BL · 09-05-09, 06:14 AM

And we are moving on, mates!

Minnesota Lynx ML 2 Units

Phoenix -5 2 Units

Phoenix will win this, no doubt. In this highscoring battle they will show Atlanta that you cannot score out the Mercury. They invented the "WNBA outscoring system"

The line is fu**ing high but it's worth a shot. This one has written a score >200 all over it.
I also like Minnesota to win this homegame against Seattle. After the heartbreaker against SA they will come back strong and win this one. Should be a close one but i am quite confident.

Emily_Haines · 09-05-09, 10:16 AM

I like Atlanta +6

When they get it inside to their bigs it's game over.

I don't think Phoenix can slow this machine down.

Atlanta has a good chance to win it ALL!!!

SportsTerminator · 09-05-09, 11:33 AM

I like Minnesota and Phoenix to win. But that Phoenix line is way too high now for me at -6.5. And 191 total cmon that has to go under lol.

BL · 09-05-09, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by Emily_Haines

I like Atlanta +6

When they get it inside to their bigs it's game over.

I don't think Phoenix can slow this machine down.

Atlanta has a good chance to win it ALL!!!

Well, I really don't think Atlanta will have a shot tonight. But i am quite happy I got Phoenix at -5 early ! Would not be confident with it if i had to buy it at -6 or more....

BL · 09-05-09, 05:20 PM

uuuh checked my last records in this thread and found out i went 15-2 my last 17 picks. I'm scared of myself

BL · 09-06-09, 06:02 AM

Another sweep! This is what I am talking about! 17-2 in last 19 picks

Minnesota Lynx ML 2 Units WINNER
Phoenix -5 2 Units WINNER

>>> Overall record: 29-14 +32,52 Units

BL · 09-06-09, 06:11 AM

For today we just have to wait for the public move the lines in our favour! They are already doing! Chicago hopefully +6,5 or more is the right pick for tonight.

ztballer · 09-06-09, 06:25 AM

BL, what's the reasoning behind Chicago for this pick? They are 4-12 on the road but given that a lot of these road games were played without Sylvia Fowles, that might be a skewed stat.

Any lean on the Indiana/Washington game?

BL · 09-06-09, 06:49 AM

I don't know if Chicago can win this one outright tonight but it won't be a blowout. But i really hope we'll get more than 6 points because it is hard to bet against the Shock at home in a game vs the worst Road-Team...
I am looking at the total right now... if i get a feel for this we could probably leavy the Spread alone and just go for the total

And i like Washington tonight But i don't think it's smart to bet Indiana loses 4 in a row

BL · 09-06-09, 07:05 AM

Ok, this is easy. The total for the game in Chicago is way too low. If Chicago has a shot and if they cover tonight they need to score. Chicago is third in the league in field goal percentage at 43.8 and has the third worst field goal percentage against allowing 44.7.
Last two games these teams played each other the game went way under (opening line 148/149.5). And now after some lowscoring games in a row the bookmaker raises the line to 151 ? And everybody is pounding the under. Wrong time to do that folks! Be prepared for a game in the high 160s !
first pick for tonight:

Chicago@Detroit OVER 151 2 Units

ztballer · 09-06-09, 07:09 AM

I was scouting around for some info about the match ups tonight, came across some interesting reads. My only hesitation with the CHI@DET play is that the Chicago coach has been f*cking his team over with some questionable plays (e.g. pulling out players when they get hot, nonsense substitutions) but they do have players who can get it done. On the other side, Detroit are making a huge run and they are 2-0 against Chicago this season.

WAS@IND - Indiana are the worst shooting team in the league, they rely on their defense to create their offense and in their last 5 games, their defense has been slipping. Washington, motivated by clinching a playoff spot but their free throw % is dismal. Also, I'm with you on being cautious about betting against a team on a 3 game losing streak. I would go with Indiana but if Douglas is out, they don't have much in terms of offense - Catchings can only score so much.

BOL

BL · 09-06-09, 07:56 AM

I agree with everything ztballer! I want to get one play on every match today. With the over for Chicago I'm done with this. For the other game I am leaning Washington as I already said. Will think of it and maybe add a play.