NBA 2019-20 Projections

Hman · 12-02-19, 04:44 PM

GL tonight

Shev2 · 12-03-19, 01:27 PM

Thanks! These aren't my plays, just projections. I only play a few games of NBA on any given night.

NBA	12/2
home	Spread	road	Spread	Std Dev
Cleveland	+0.6	Detroit	-0.6	1.82
Denver	-0.8	LA Lakers	+0.8	2.47
LA Clippers	-7.9	Portland	+7.9	2.47
New Orleans	+3.4	Dallas	-3.4	2.73
San Antonio	+6	Houston	-6	2.59
Toronto	-4.8	Miami	+4.8	2.93
Washington	-0.5	Orlando	+0.5	1.46

Hman · 12-03-19, 04:25 PM

GL tonight

Shev2 · 12-04-19, 10:22 AM

NBA	12/4
home	Spread	road	Spread	Std Dev
Atlanta	+1.8	Brooklyn	-1.8	1.47
Boston	-3.6	Miami	+3.6	1.94
Charlotte	-2	Golden State	+2	3.91
Chicago	-3.8	Memphis	+3.8	1.78
Dallas	-7.5	Minnesota	+7.5	3.68
Detroit	+9.5	Milwaukee	-9.5	2.45
Oklahoma City	-0.1	Indiana	+0.1	2.22
Orlando	-2.6	Phoenix	+2.6	3.67
Portland	-3.9	Sacramento	+3.9	2.06
Utah	+0.9	LA Lakers	-0.9	3.48

Shev2 · 12-05-19, 01:33 PM

NBA	12/5
home	Spread	road	Spread	Std Dev
New Orleans	-1.6	Phoenix	+1.6	2.01
New York	+8.9	Denver	-8.9	2.34
Toronto	-3.1	Houston	+3.1	3.57
Washington	+4.6	Philadelphia	-4.6	1.86

KRAL · 12-06-19, 06:45 PM

Tonight bro? Thanks

Shev2 · 12-07-19, 11:32 AM

NBA	12/7/19
home	Home Spread	road	Away Spread	Std Dev
Dallas	-9.8	New Orleans	+9.8	2.50
Houston	-9	Phoenix	+9	2.61
New York	+7.3	Indiana	-7.3	2.15
Philadelphia	-12.8	Cleveland	+12.8	1.91
Utah	-10.1	Memphis	+10.1	1.61

My internet went out yesterday just as I went to post. Once it was up and running I forgot. My apologies.

Shev2 · 12-07-19, 11:35 AM

For anyone that wants to know where these projections come from, its basically an aggregate of 20 different computer models. The performance of each model is tracked against results and the projections I post are a weighted average of each model's projections. The average is weighted based on the mean squared error for each model. A smaller mean squared error is better, so models with smaller mean squared errors get more weight in the average than models with a higher mean squared error.

Shev2 · 12-08-19, 10:47 AM

NBA	12/8/19
home	Home Spread	road	Away Spread	Std Dev
Brooklyn	+2.1	Denver	-2.1	2.13
Charlotte	-2.1	Atlanta	+2.1	1.65
Dallas	-9.3	Sacramento	+9.3	2.80
LA Lakers	-11.5	Minnesota	+11.5	2.45
Miami	-10.8	Chicago	+10.8	1.94
Philadelphia	-1.1	Toronto	+1.1	2.28
Portland	-2.7	Oklahoma City	+2.7	1.83
Washington	+5.6	LA Clippers	-5.6	2.13

Shev2 · 12-09-19, 02:26 PM

NBA	12/9/19
home	Home Spread	road	Away Spread	Std Dev
Boston	-15.5	Cleveland	+15.5	2.83
Chicago	+6.5	Toronto	-6.5	2.42
Golden State	-3.1	Memphis	+3.1	2.51
Houston	-9.9	Sacramento	+9.9	0.89
Indiana	+0.1	LA Clippers	-0.1	1.46
Milwaukee	-12.7	Orlando	+12.7	1.71
New Orleans	-0.5	Detroit	+0.5	2.23
Phoenix	-4	Minnesota	+4	1.45
Utah	-4.7	Oklahoma City	+4.7	2.48

Shev2 · 12-10-19, 06:30 PM

NBA	12/10/19
home	Home Spread	road	Away Spread	Std Dev
Charlotte	+1.1	Washington	-1.1	1.40
Miami	-11.1	Atlanta	+11.1	3.26
Philadelphia	-2.7	Denver	+2.7	2.14
Portland	-9.5	New York	+9.5	2.21

Shev2 · 12-11-19, 11:27 AM

NBA	12/11/19
home	Home Spread	road	Away Spread	Std Dev
Brooklyn	-8.4	Charlotte	+8.4	5.38
Chicago	-3.5	Atlanta	+3.5	4.16
Cleveland	+9.9	Houston	-9.9	2.45
Golden State	-5.6	New York	+5.6	3.14
Indiana	+1.6	Boston	-1.6	1.18
Milwaukee	-16.1	New Orleans	+16.1	2.65
Minnesota	+1	Utah	-1	1.40
Orlando	+5.1	LA Lakers	-5.1	2.06
Phoenix	-7.5	Memphis	+7.5	1.95
Sacramento	-0.6	Oklahoma City	+0.6	3.09
Toronto	-0.5	LA Clippers	+0.5	6.08