All plays will be laying a flat 3 units. Totals only.
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11/1/19
Cavaliers@Pacers UNDER 215 (-110)
Both of these teams rank in the bottom 5 of the league for pace. Cleveland is scoring an average of 102 points per game while giving up 107. Indians is scoring an average of 101 while giving up 108. Both of these teams also rank bottom 10 in 3-point shooting, and bottom 5 in FG% to start this young season. I think this game will have a slower pace, that combined with poor shooting on both teams should lead to a lower scoring game.
BEST TREND: The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland.WORST TREND: The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference.
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Lakers@Mavericks OVER 217 (-110)
Both of these teams are in the top half of the league in FG% while Dallas ranks 11th in 3-pt%. The Lakers rank 6th in offensive rating, while the Mavs rank 3rd. That means that both of these teams have been very efficient offensively to start the year. Dallas has also been very suspect defensively, giving up 110 points per game with just the 18th overall pace. In the Mavericks last 2 games, there has been an average of 227.5 points scored. The Lakers have scored 120 in back to back games, I expect that to continue tonight.
Best Trend: The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 7 games against an opponent in the Western conference.
Worst Trend: The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers' last 7 games played in November.Comment -
Spurs@Warriors over 222 (-110)
This is an interesting one, as the line opened at 226 and has dropped all the way to 222. The Warriors are playing with the 3rd highest pace in the league, whereas the Spurs are playing with the 12th highest. The Spurs are the shooting as the 4th best FG% team in the league so far this year. The Spurs are the 9th most efficient offensive team, whereas the Warriors rank dead last defensively. A few things to be worried about are the fact that the Spurs have taken the least amount of 3-point shots in the league to start the season. They are still scoring a lot of points, and I think this game will have a higher pace than any they have played yet this season. This game should be a high scoring affair even without Curry in the lineup for GS.
Best Trend: The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games against an opponent in the Southwest division.
Worst Trend: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road.Comment