The Limper NBA - 2019 Playoffs – Finals

[WillyBoy]

During the regular season, in that first overtime loss to Toronto, Steph Curry didn’t play, but KD played out of his mind, scoring 51 pts on 58.1% shooting. Leonard shot even better, hitting 58.3% from the field and scoring 37. In the Raptors’ s blowout win in Oakland, Leonard didn’t play, but all the Warriors played turnover-city and never got close.

In the projection below, Cousins is IN, KD is OUT.

GLTA

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

[Mike Huntertz]

Game one was as predicted......will GS come to play?

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

Some important digits for the game just ended: GOL turnovers 17, to 9 for TOR; GOL shot a pathetic 66% FT% to 95% for TOR (I can friggin shoot better than 66%! – or I could – quite some time ago – on good days- nevermind); GOL had a better FG%, outrebounded and had more assists than TOR; but while TOR had Serge Ibaca off the bench with 20 PTS, GOL only had Boogie Cousins with another wimpy showing – 6pts and 4 turnovers in 14 minutes. Also, in addition to leading all players with 36 pts and 12 boards, Kawhi Leonard also lead both teams with 4 steals and a block. Plays like a man among boys.

[WillyBoy]

Drama. Drama. Drama. Will KD play, or won’t he? If he misses the game, the model has TOR by a wide margin. If he plays, according to my numbers, it’s a very close game, but TOR still has a slight edge. I’ll wait to post until tomorrow to see if anything firms up.

[WillyBoy]

If KD plays or doesn’t, the model likes Toronto to win and cover. By my numbers if he DOES play, the Raptor’s MOV is just 1.9, and would flip the pick at a line of -2. The numbers below have Durant OUT.

GLTA

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

The NBA model did about average this year, but I liked nearly nailing the final score. Hope everybody did well this season. I’ll be back in September, because I’M READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL!!!

WJCJR