NBA Playoff Plays - 2019

LT Profits · 04-28-19, 11:44 AM

1 NBA Play Sunday

SUNDAY, 4/28
Bucks -8 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 175-154-6, +14.85

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 13-10, +2.53

44 Mag · 04-28-19, 02:31 PM

I had Bucks TT. They looked terrible. A.G. was horrid. All that time off??? Did them no good.

LT Profits · 05-06-19, 05:10 PM

1 NBA Play Monday

MONDAY, 5/6
Warriors +102 ML (5 Dimes)

YTD: 175-155-6, +13.80

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 13-11, +1.48

LT Profits · 05-08-19, 09:30 AM

1 NBA Play Wednesday

WEDNESDAY, 5/8
Rockets / Warriors UNDER 219.5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 175-156-6, +12.80

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 13-12, +0.48

LT Profits · 05-15-19, 09:43 AM

1 NBA Play Wednesday

WEDNESDAY, 5/15
Bucks -6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 176-156-6, +13.80

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 14-12, +1.48

LT Profits · 05-16-19, 11:55 AM

NBA Side & Total Thursday

THURSDAY, 5/16
Blazers +7 -105 (Heritage)
Blazers / Warriors OVER 219 -103 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 177-156-6, +14.80

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 15-12, +2.48

funnyb25 · 05-16-19, 12:02 PM

Great work!

Mike Huntertz · 05-16-19, 11:05 PM

Double!
Beauty!

LT Profits · 05-17-19, 05:03 PM

1 NBA Play Friday

FRIDAY, 5/17
Raptors +6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 179-156-6, +16.80

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 17-12, +4.48

LT Profits · 05-19-19, 10:09 AM

1 NBA Play Sunday

SUNDAY, 5/19
Bucks +2.5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 179-157-6, +15.77

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 17-13, +3.45

blackHIPPY · 05-19-19, 10:15 AM

Bucks first hal only lt

jjgold · 05-19-19, 10:34 AM

Strong season

LT Profits · 05-19-19, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

Bucks first hal only lt

More likely Raptors first half, they fall into that great home team down 0-2 First Half angle. But I think better talent will prevail in second half, identical situation to Blazers/Warriors last night.

LT Profits · 05-19-19, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

More likely Raptors first half, they fall into that great home team down 0-2 First Half angle. But I think better talent will prevail in second half, identical situation to Blazers/Warriors last night.

Speaking of which, most books have -2 full game and -2.5 first half!

To the surprise of nobody, books have smartened up to the angle.

LT Profits · 05-30-19, 10:14 AM

1 NBA Play Thursday

THURSDAY, 5/30
Raptors -1 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 179-158-6, +14.72

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 17-14, +2.40

LT Profits · 06-02-19, 10:31 AM

NBA Side & Total Sunday

SUNDAY, 6/2
Raptors -2 -105 (Heritage)
Warriors / Raptors UNDER 213,5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 180-158-6, +15.72

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 18-14, +3.40

leetreaper · 06-02-19, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

SUNDAY, 6/2
Raptors -2 -105 (Heritage)
Warriors / Raptors UNDER 213,5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 180-158-6, +15.72

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 18-14, +3.40

stackz125 · 06-02-19, 02:17 PM

What spread do you have?
Thanks

LT Profits · 06-02-19, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by stackz125

What spread do you have?
Thanks

Raps -3.92 with Cousins not starting, I get that there is a chance that he might start, but I am still assuming limited minutes which would make him close to bench player.

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 10:28 AM

NBA Triple Play Wednesday

WEDNESDAY, 6/5
Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)

YTD: 181-159-6, +15.67

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 19-15, +3.35

stackz125 · 06-05-19, 03:18 PM

Raps come out firing huh? Lol

lakerboy · 06-05-19, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

WEDNESDAY, 6/5
Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)

YTD: 181-159-6, +15.67

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 19-15, +3.35

Okay now I'm confused. Before game 1 you took Tor and said you wouldn't be surprised if they won game 1 and lost next 4. Since then all you have done is bet on them game 2 and now all these plays in this game. Please explain without talk about the model sir.

stackz125 · 06-05-19, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Okay now I'm confused. Before game 1 you took Tor and said you wouldn't be surprised if they won game 1 and lost next 4. Since then all you have done is bet on them game 2 and now all these plays in this game. Please explain without talk about the model sir.

Warriors banged up

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Okay now I'm confused. Before game 1 you took Tor and said you wouldn't be surprised if they won game 1 and lost next 4. Since then all you have done is bet on them game 2 and now all these plays in this game. Please explain without talk about the model sir.

Yeah, basically I thought model would adjust with Cousins and Durant coming back. Model did adjust but only by about 1.2 points with Cousins starting and playing normal minutes, and Durant may now be done. So with only 1.2 point adjustment since Game 1, I end up with Warriors just -2.96 here, and that assumes normal Cousins which we may not see.

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 05:33 PM

NBA 4-Play Wednesday

Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)
Raptors / Warriors UNDER 213.5 -102 (5 Dimes)

2daBank · 06-05-19, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Raptors +2 +100 (First Half) (5 Dimes)
Raptors +1.5 -105 (First Quarter) (5 Dimes)
Raptors / Warriors UNDER 213.5 -102 (5 Dimes)

Would you have been interested in Toronto even if clay was healthy?? Just curious. Gl buddy

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Would you have been interested in Toronto even if clay was healthy?? Just curious. Gl buddy

Yes since I have him in and model assumes full health.

hubie69 · 06-05-19, 07:11 PM

Great #'s there LT, you got it before the market popped!!

No value left in either to take a shot on the under or Raps for me. Good Luck tonight!

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by hubie69

Great #'s there LT, you got it before the market popped!!

No value left in either to take a shot on the under or Raps for me. Good Luck tonight!

Klay is OUT, so yes that helps my CLV across the board, even the total.

pavyracer · 06-05-19, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes since I have him in and model assumes full health.

If he plays but he is 75% and scores 30 points what does the model say.

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

If he plays but he is 75% and scores 30 points what does the model say.

He is out.

pavyracer · 06-05-19, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

He is out.

I know he is out. I wanted to know if your model has input for players that are not fully healthy but play and have good games. It's not always play or not play. Sometimes they play but not 100%.

LT Profits · 06-05-19, 08:06 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

I know he is out. I wanted to know if your model has input for players that are not fully healthy but play and have good games. It's not always play or not play. Sometimes they play but not 100%.

Ah I got ya. No, as I have said several times, model always assumes full health, i.e., full stats. Any adjustment would be subjective. I prefer it that way, can't get too tricky because model is working well and I don't want to tinker with anything right now.

LT Profits · 06-07-19, 10:45 AM

2 NBA Plays Friday

FRIDAY, 6/7
Raptors +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
Raptors / Warriors UNDER 215.5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 184-160-6, +17.65

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 22-16, +5.33

LT Profits · 06-13-19, 10:01 AM

1 NBA Play Thursday

THURSDAY, 6/13
Raptors +3 -110 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 186-160-6, +19.65

Regular Season: 162-144-6, +12.32
Playoffs: 24-16, +7.33