NBA System Plays for Dummies. 30 point Winner Tonite!

[Fred The Hammer]

Win	1/8/19 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 503 Indiana Pacers/Cleveland Cavaliers Over 208 -103*

In 1998 I played this simple system in MLB where if a team wins 3 in a row then you play them until they lose. If they lose 3 in a row then you fade them until they win. I had a 16-1 streak at one point that year. I tried it off-n-on after that but never had sustained success like that 1 year.

I got the idea recently to try it with NBA totals. I really don't follow the NBA closely but I do love numbers and total plays in general.

Tonite the Pacers & Cleveland matched up teams WHERE BOTH WERE ON AN OVER STREAK. Indy with 5 in a row and Cleveland with 3. It went 30 points Over the total!!

So far tonite with other games. Toronto Lost their Over streak. Denver lost their Over streak. OKC lost their Under streak. 2 other plays late with GS on a 3 Over streak and the Clippers on a 3 game Under streak.

You can find all the NBA Over/Under Totals Reports online of course.

I may play a small amount on every team or just wait until 2 teams meet up with a streak in the same direction?

Obviously the other 3 games after the Pacers all lost tonite but I will say this:

Pacers had a 12 game Under streak earlier. Minn had a 10 game Over streak & Portland is currently on a 8 game Under streak. If you add those 3 together that equals a 21-2 winning streak

It might be fun to play them for a while and see what happens!! Good luck if you ride along with me!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Minnesota 13-5 ATS with totals using this system
Sacramento 9-5
Boston is 7-4
Clippers 7-4
Houston 7-4

Indiana 16-3!!!!

Portland 12-5

[Fred The Hammer]

Pending

108522577 Golden State Warriors v NY Knicks, Game Total: Over 231.5 -120, rebate: 1.59

Going with a live play to see if Golden State can extend their Over streak. Knicks play no defense

[Fred The Hammer]

1-1 (+2 units)

Adding:

Indy/Boston Over 214 (-105) = 2 units
Cleveland/NO Over 223 (-105) = 1 unit
Chicago/Portland Under 207.5 (-105) = 1 unit
Phoenix/Dallas Under 219.5 (-105) = 1 unit


Going bigger with Indy since they're 16-3 with this system. Everyone is + with the system so 1 unit each.


4-1 (+6 units) Good start!

[Fred The Hammer]

68-53 Boston at half! What the hell happened to my Pacers on defense? They went to shit, but it means they should be 17-3 with this system this season! Thats insane!

[Fred The Hammer]

1-1 (+2 units)

Adding:

Indy/Boston Over 214 (-105) = 2 units
Cleveland/NO Over 223 (-105) = 1 unit
Chicago/Portland Under 207.5 (-105) = 1 unit
Phoenix/Dallas Under 219.5 (-105) = 1 unit


Going bigger with Indy since they're 16-3 with this system. Everyone is + with the system so 1 unit each.

2-1 (+4 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

1-1 (+2 units)

Adding:

Indy/Boston Over 214 (-105) = 2 units
Cleveland/NO Over 223 (-105) = 1 unit
Chicago/Portland Under 207.5 (-105) = 1 unit
Phoenix/Dallas Under 219.5 (-105) = 1 unit


Going bigger with Indy since they're 16-3 with this system. Everyone is + with the system so 1 unit each.

3-1 (+5 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

[QUOTE=Fred The Hammer;28325782]1-1 (+2 units)

Adding:

Indy/Boston Over 214 (-105) = 2 units
Cleveland/NO Over 223 (-105) = 1 unit
Chicago/Portland Under 207.5 (-105) = 1 unit
Phoenix/Dallas Under 219.5 (-105) = 1 unit


Going bigger with Indy since they're 16-3 with this system. Everyone is + with the system so 1 unit each.


4-2 (+5 units)

[springfield27]

Nice start

[Fred The Hammer]

Nice start

Thanks! Trying to fine tune it somewhat. Work in progress.

[Fred The Hammer]

Pending

1/10/19 9:00pm College Basketball 645 UCLA/Oregon Over 144½ -110*

Caught a total before it shot way up. Lets see what happens?


Bunch of system plays for Friday:

1 unit for me is $70-75. 5 plays every other night could get a little scary. Dropping my units played slightly! The system went 1-4 the night before when I only made the Pacers play.

Indy/NY Knicks Over 219.5 (-108) = 1.5 units
Atlanta/Philly Over 231.5 (-108) = 1 unit
Cavs/Houston Over 217.5 (-108) = .75 unit
Mavs/Twolves Under 222 (-108) = .75 unit
Lakers/Jazz Under 217 (-108) = .75 unit


Pacers are 17-3 with this system and Myles Turner may be out again....who is their only real post threat defensively. I'm actually fading the system with Atlanta. They're 0-5 this year and now on a 3 game Under streak. Philly puts up a ton of points. Going with Over in that one. Passing on Charlotte/Portland and Chicago/GS despite Charlotte & Chicago being on streaks because their totals are losing with this system so far this year!

[Fred The Hammer]

Pending

1/10/19 9:00pm College Basketball 645 UCLA/Oregon Over 144½ -110*

Caught a total before it shot way up. Lets see what happens?


Bunch of system plays for Friday:

1 unit for me is $70-75. 5 plays every other night could get a little scary. Dropping my units played slightly! The system went 1-4 the night before when I only made the Pacers play.

Indy/NY Knicks Over 219.5 (-108) = 1.5 units
Atlanta/Philly Over 231.5 (-108) = 1 unit
Cavs/Houston Over 217.5 (-108) = .75 unit
Mavs/Twolves Under 222 (-108) = .75 unit
Lakers/Jazz Under 217 (-108) = .75 unit


Pacers are 17-3 with this system and Myles Turner may be out again....who is their only real post threat defensively. I'm actually fading the system with Atlanta. They're 0-5 this year and now on a 3 game Under streak. Philly puts up a ton of points. Going with Over in that one. Passing on Charlotte/Portland and Chicago/GS despite Charlotte & Chicago being on streaks because their totals are losing with this system so far this year!

Rockets with 77 at half!

5-2 (+5.75 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

Pending

1/10/19 9:00pm College Basketball 645 UCLA/Oregon Over 144½ -110*

Caught a total before it shot way up. Lets see what happens?


Bunch of system plays for Friday:

1 unit for me is $70-75. 5 plays every other night could get a little scary. Dropping my units played slightly! The system went 1-4 the night before when I only made the Pacers play.

Indy/NY Knicks Over 219.5 (-108) = 1.5 units
Atlanta/Philly Over 231.5 (-108) = 1 unit
Cavs/Houston Over 217.5 (-108) = .75 unit
Mavs/Twolves Under 222 (-108) = .75 unit
Lakers/Jazz Under 217 (-108) = .75 unit


Pacers are 17-3 with this system and Myles Turner may be out again....who is their only real post threat defensively. I'm actually fading the system with Atlanta. They're 0-5 this year and now on a 3 game Under streak. Philly puts up a ton of points. Going with Over in that one. Passing on Charlotte/Portland and Chicago/GS despite Charlotte & Chicago being on streaks because their totals are losing with this system so far this year!

6-2 (+6.75 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

Pending

1/10/19 9:00pm College Basketball 645 UCLA/Oregon Over 144½ -110*

Caught a total before it shot way up. Lets see what happens?


Bunch of system plays for Friday:

1 unit for me is $70-75. 5 plays every other night could get a little scary. Dropping my units played slightly! The system went 1-4 the night before when I only made the Pacers play.

Indy/NY Knicks Over 219.5 (-108) = 1.5 units
Atlanta/Philly Over 231.5 (-108) = 1 unit
Cavs/Houston Over 217.5 (-108) = .75 unit
Mavs/Twolves Under 222 (-108) = .75 unit
Lakers/Jazz Under 217 (-108) = .75 unit


Pacers are 17-3 with this system and Myles Turner may be out again....who is their only real post threat defensively. I'm actually fading the system with Atlanta. They're 0-5 this year and now on a 3 game Under streak. Philly puts up a ton of points. Going with Over in that one. Passing on Charlotte/Portland and Chicago/GS despite Charlotte & Chicago being on streaks because their totals are losing with this system so far this year!

7-2 (+8.25 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

Pending

1/10/19 9:00pm College Basketball 645 UCLA/Oregon Over 144½ -110*

Caught a total before it shot way up. Lets see what happens?


Bunch of system plays for Friday:

1 unit for me is $70-75. 5 plays every other night could get a little scary. Dropping my units played slightly! The system went 1-4 the night before when I only made the Pacers play.

Indy/NY Knicks Over 219.5 (-108) = 1.5 units
Atlanta/Philly Over 231.5 (-108) = 1 unit
Cavs/Houston Over 217.5 (-108) = .75 unit
Mavs/Twolves Under 222 (-108) = .75 unit
Lakers/Jazz Under 217 (-108) = .75 unit


Pacers are 17-3 with this system and Myles Turner may be out again....who is their only real post threat defensively. I'm actually fading the system with Atlanta. They're 0-5 this year and now on a 3 game Under streak. Philly puts up a ton of points. Going with Over in that one. Passing on Charlotte/Portland and Chicago/GS despite Charlotte & Chicago being on streaks because their totals are losing with this system so far this year!

7-3 (+7.5 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

8-3 (+8.25 units)


4-1 last night! No plays today. Orlando & Memphis are on streaks, but they're losing with their streaks this season. Chicago/Utah and Charlotte/Sacramento are on opposing streaks.

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Cavs/Lakers Over 218.5 (-105) for 1 unit


They are on conflicting streaks, but the Cavs are 7-3 on the system and are giving up 128 points per game during this 6 game Over streak. Lakers should get atleast close to 120, so hopefully the Cavs won't have to do that much.

[RiverDog21]

Adding:

Cavs/Lakers Over 218.5 (-105) for 1 unit


They are on conflicting streaks, but the Cavs are 7-3 on the system and are giving up 128 points per game during this 6 game Over streak. Lakers should get atleast close to 120, so hopefully the Cavs won't have to do that much.

Thanks for this post. I’ll probably use this play as night cap depending on how I do in the NFL today. Whatever happened to those college basketball winners you were giving out? Also I responded to your question in my playoffs thread. I know you said you are leaning under in the Chargers/ patriots game, but do you have an opinion on the side? Was leaning chargers but seems like a lot of other people are too and that kinda scares me.

[Fred The Hammer]

Thanks for this post. I’ll probably use this play as night cap depending on how I do in the NFL today. Whatever happened to those college basketball winners you were giving out? Also I responded to your question in my playoffs thread. I know you said you are leaning under in the Chargers/ patriots game, but do you have an opinion on the side? Was leaning chargers but seems like a lot of other people are too and that kinda scares me.

I hit Oregon/UCLA Over the other night. Thats about the only cbb play I've had in 10 days or so. Can't pay attention to everything My Pacers are winning every game with this system so I've been on that.

Lost my small plays on NE/LA already. Michel Under rushing and Under 50.5. I thought NE would win but this is fkn ridiculous?

[Fred The Hammer]

8-4 (+7.25 units)


Adding:

Indy/Phoenix Over 218.5 for 1.25 units
OKC/Atlanta Over 234.5 for .5 unit


Pacers are 18-3 with this system so have to keep hitting it! Small play on OKC. They're only 3-5 with this streak system, but Atlanta loves to run-n-gun and OKC should have no problem with that tonite!

[RiverDog21]

Damn I missed this play again. Oh well, there’s always next time. Hope it hits for you.

[Fred The Hammer]

8-4 (+7.25 units)


Adding:

Indy/Phoenix Over 218.5 for 1.25 units
OKC/Atlanta Over 234.5 for .5 unit


Pacers are 18-3 with this system so have to keep hitting it! Small play on OKC. They're only 3-5 with this streak system, but Atlanta loves to run-n-gun and OKC should have no problem with that tonite!

2-0 tonite

10-4 (+9 units)

Wanted to play Chicago/Lakers Over, but the Lakers can't score? They burned me the other night vs a weak Cavs team. I thought they had some decent young talent besides LeBron but can't trust them? Bulls Over streak vs Lakers Under....something has to give but I can't bet it.

[Fred The Hammer]

Damn I missed this play again. Oh well, there’s always next time. Hope it hits for you.

Yep....you missed out My Pacers on an incredible 19-3 run with this system. When they're Over they're Over for a while and same holds true for Under. The Pacers have always shot well this year, but they're finally playing with more pace. Right now their games are about as fast as it gets in the East. Pacers coach Nate has finally figured out that if you get up the court faster then the defense can't get set for you as easily!

[Big John Studd]

2-0 tonite

10-4 (+9 units)

Wanted to play Chicago/Lakers Over, but the Lakers can't score? They burned me the other night vs a weak Cavs team. I thought they had some decent young talent besides LeBron but can't trust them? Bulls Over streak vs Lakers Under....something has to give but I can't bet it.

Lakers will wake up tonight

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Orlando/Detroit Under 208 (-108) for .75 unit
Utah/LA Clippers Under 225 (-108) for .75 unit

GS on a streak as well but only 3-5 with this system. Detroit is 4-4 but on an Under streak and Orlando is 13-7 Under on the road. Thats worth a play in my book. The Clippers are 7-5 with the system and on an Under streak of 3 and went Under 6 of 7 overall.

[Fred The Hammer]

10-5 (+8.25 units)


Adding:

Pacers/Philly Over 224.5 (-105) for 1.5 units

Going to keep pounding the Pacers while they're covering! Philly scores a ton as well & on a 4-1 Over streak.

[RiverDog21]

Tailing this one. Do you like the pacers and/ or their team total?