Reload's WNBA "West Coast Money Shot" Game of the Week for Thursday! On ESPN2!

jcygts6 · 07-09-09, 12:55 AM

i think monarchs will have a chance for a backdoor cover... but i dont see them winning this game.

What you think?

Reload · 07-09-09, 07:44 AM

Originally posted by jcygts6

i think monarchs will have a chance for a backdoor cover... but i dont see them winning this game.

What you think?

That's how I see it, jcy. A straight up win from the Monarchs would be pretty shocking, but the line is just too high. Even one solid quarter from Sacramento should be enough to get the cover here. When the Monarchs won on the road in Minnesota last week, they outscored the Lynx in the 4th quarter to get the victory. Last year in Seattle when these teams met for the third time, the Monarchs outscored the Storm 22 to 10 in the 4th after getting crushed in the 3rd. So I feel even if Seattle is up a lot going into the 4th, I feel the Monarchs won't quit and will stay in it for the back door cover if the door is open for one.

Like any sport, the 4th quarter is almost always where the ATS outcome is decided. The rest of the game is usually just jockeying for position.

Good luck tonight!

Reload · 07-09-09, 08:19 AM

Here is my full writeup on tonight's game:

http://www.sbrforum.com/Free+Picks/NBA/11502/sacramento-monarchs-9-look-revenge-seattle-storm-espn2.aspx

Reload · 07-09-09, 01:41 PM

Looks like the "Reload steam" out there has pushed this down to +7.5 at most outs. Still though, I think anything over +7 is fine to take. At +7 or less, I would say that's far too much lost value and I would pass.

I'll be in the SBR poker freeroll during the game and maybe we can all chat while it is on. I might last in the freeroll until at least the first commercial break of the game.

Reload · 07-10-09, 07:37 AM

Well I had the 4th quarter figured out right but the Monarchs got crushed too much the rest of the game! I'll be back on Sunday with the WNBA doubleheader on NBA TV coming that day.