NBA is for chasing

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #1
    NBA is for chasing
    With the NBA betting being all about spot plays along with over/under valued teams, I feel that chasing is the way to go to capture some of these advantages.

    You must chase wisely. I figure it like this. If you straight bet at 3.3% per play, which is not crazy by any means, your total chase loss should equal the amount would you have bet those game straight up. That means a 3 game chase loser should equal 9.9% of your total bank. You are therefore chasing to profit only 1.198% of your total bank.

    Here are the total risk to win amounts I will be using based on -110 odds

    2 game chase = 3.41 to 1
    3 game chase = 8.26 to 1
    4 game chase = 18.45 to 1

    I'll start with $1000 and make the appropriate reads and we shall see what happens.
  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #2
    11/16

    Chase #1 - Play on Knicks as double digit road dogs. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

    A: Knicks +11 @ Pelicans ($13.18 to win $11.98)



    Chase #2 - Play on the Bulls next three. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

    A: Bulls +14.5 @ Bucks ($13.18 to win $11.98)



    Chase #3 - Fade Kings next 3 three. 3 game chase. 9.9% total bank risked

    A: Grizzlies -6.5 vs Kings ($13.18 to win $11.98)
    Comment
    • keel44
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-09
      • 3363

      #3
      11/16

      Chase #1 - Play on Knicks as double digit road dogs. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

      A: Knicks
      +11 @ Pelicans ($13.18 to win $11.98)



      Chase #2 - Play on the Bulls next three. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

      A: Bulls
      +14.5 @ Bucks ($13.18 to win $11.98)



      Chase #3 - Fade Kings next 3 three. 3 game chase. 9.9% total bank risked

      A: Grizzlies
      -6.5 vs Kings ($13.18 to win $11.98)


      1 chase pending.....I will recalculate the bankroll once all the chases conclude.
      Comment
      • keel44
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-09
        • 3363

        #4
        11/17

        Chase #2 - Play on the Bulls next three. 3 game chase. 9.9% of total bank risked

        B: Bulls +8 vs Raptors ($27.68 to win $25.16)
        Comment
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