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  • europe_baller
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-01-12
    • 859

    #1
    NBA thoughts
    Just going to put some thoughts and not sure what I will end up playing..

    Lakers ML vs Minny - I got spurs both times against lakers but bet lakers against nuggets.. I said it will take some time for Lakers to start winning on the road.. Dont like this matchup too much but they should be able to get it done.. Like Rondo coming off bench since Ball started to play pretty good.. Bron should take over this game.. Spurs execute always but Minny is not at their best...

    Milwaukee ML - I just think that 2 teams without their best players and I have to go with home team here.. bucks have a lot of options and they play at home.. I dont think Lauri can win this game, CJ Miles in first 5? He can score but liability on defense.. Probably will end up playing this..


    Knicks ML .. I just think knicks will take this..Brooklyn has played well 2 games and havent won and it is reasonable to think that they should beat bad team but I just think Knicks get it done at home..First matchup I think i was going to play knicks plus 4 or something like that and probably end up playing ML here in some round robin action..

    Portl +4.5 vs Indy - too many points, they started bad against Miami and came back to take a lead.. They should be in this one from the beginning ..Indy is playing good but still best player on the court is in Portland.. Even though Oladipo is great..Might end up buying a hook and play Portl plus 5..

    Also like GS -6 first half as someone mentioned, and Philla - 11..

    Any opinions?
  • europe_baller
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-01-12
    • 859

    #2
    These plays posted 5-1, missed lakers ML..played all of them multiple parlays and missed lakers for 2300$ payout..all 6 on 20$ and couple others.. ughhh ..
    Comment
    • gojetsgomoxies
      SBR MVP
      • 09-04-12
      • 4222

      #3
      rather than start a new thread, thought i'd throw stuff here.

      was thinking today that the expected bottom-dwellers haven't been that bad at all.. not sure it'll last but alot of parity.
      Comment
      • gojetsgomoxies
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-12
        • 4222

        #4
        the toronto-milwaukee line was funny (not sure when the injured players were announced. leonard vs. greek freak is a wash (without over thinking it). toronto two role players were important.

        but if we restrict it to toronto (sans leonard ) at milwaukee (sans GF), i think milwaukee is better team and at home.
        Comment
        • europe_baller
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-01-12
          • 859

          #5
          Agree and still has better scoring options than raptors..I didnt understand the line that much either..also had kings 9.5 and they won outright..playing some good ball
          Comment
          • europe_baller
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-01-12
            • 859

            #6
            Couple more games today..

            Heat +4 vs Charlotte - I played kings spread yesterday but I think 3.5 or 4 pts(after buying a hook) can be enough in this matchup..their first went down to the wire with bad call on kemba to win it late on fts.. Heat can win this outright after bad loss yesterday, already beat wash on the road 2nd night on back to back..they came back after being down a lot in their first game...

            Magic win - but probably will not play them at -5.. ML is too pricey.. kings without fox and bogdanovic from before might be too much... magic need this win even though I dont like their roster too much..might end up playing them but will see.. Magic should win..not sure about cover( seems right on the spot there)

            Philla +6 -Lenard is back but I like philla plus points here.. not sure they can upset Raps but they will have a shot there in my opinion.. Taking guy in and out can hurt a team a bit in short span and Philla finally played better second half yesterday..

            OKC ML - Like them to win.. Clipps scored like 16 threes against wash the other night an dpulled away late in the game against thunder first time around.. It will be tougher here even though OKC doesnt look great, if Noel plays and Adams they should be able to do decent job on harrell. Also, Russ was horrible late against Celtics, I didnt watch against suns but expect him to get better..They should take this one late I think..

            Blazers +4 - I was last night on them and last game against rockets.. They will get better but without Harden not sure they can win easy if at all..No defense and blazers use a lot of guys, bench was great last night...4 pts I think I will take..

            Wash ML - Went back and forth might not play all these but lean Wash.. Memphis still not defined team to me.. Not grind out like they used to be..No Morris for wash but if there is no Oubre I will skip this most likely..Otherwise, shortened rotation probably better thing for 2 all stars to take one for the team..Even though Wash has worst defense not sure if Memphis can score enough...

            Not sure if I will play all these but just some my thoughts.. Good luck all
            Comment
            • europe_baller
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-01-12
              • 859

              #7
              Bad pick heat.. others I can live with.. portland easy win okc turned it around..wash are just so bad and magic couldnt even win straight up.. philla probably not even in top 4 teams on the east.. bellineli was big punch off the bench that they lost..
              Comment
              • europe_baller
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-01-12
                • 859

                #8
                Dont have much time played pelicans +5.5 fh and brooklin ML parlay and round robin spurs -7, lakers -7 and bulls plus 9.. dont feel too strong about anything tonight but some action...lets see and good luck you all
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                • europe_baller
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-01-12
                  • 859

                  #9
                  5 plays went 3-2.. Brooklyn pulled it off but pelicans were 1 pt game minute to go in the half I think and lost by 7 ht.. turnover, not rebounding after ft but still like the play..

                  Spurs went as expected, suns without booker are really bad and got taken to school as I wrote in LT's thread..bulls plus 9 was easy winner too and fail lakers -7.. they were up double digits with 3 mins to go but that was my fear..big spread for still inconsistent team..Will come back later with some thoughts ..
                  Comment
                  • europe_baller
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-01-12
                    • 859

                    #10
                    OKC ML - I like them in this spot and to continue their play from 2nd half against clippers..
                    Denver -5 much better team even though they are on b2b and bad on the road... They need to take advantage of these teams/games.. We will see, played bulls last night but now going with nuggets
                    Boston ML.. 3 points can be too big but in the end think celtics win 5-8 pts.. Their length should contest some 3 pt attempts and I think Celtics will be up for this game..

                    Lean Philla and over but I dont think I will play this game.. Also think Hawks might surprise kings but will skip this one probably too.

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • europe_baller
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-01-12
                      • 859

                      #11
                      All 3 posted plays went as I expected and Philla covered and over good as well, hawks got destroyed.. didnt play hawks or philla, so great night.. Played OKC live when they were down 10 in third..
                      Comment
                      • europe_baller
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-01-12
                        • 859

                        #12
                        Lakers spread, pelicans spread, probably both ML too..like them a lot we will see.. good luck
                        Comment
                        • europe_baller
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-01-12
                          • 859

                          #13
                          that night hit lakers, missed pelicans against spurs..

                          Dallas ML- watched wash couple of games and they are really bad.. knicks were just awful last game and i was on wash spread..now they might gain some momentum but I like home team here who is playing some close games and losing.. Think they win this one

                          Bucks ML - think they are playing good ball and are better overall with greak than portland..dont like betting against blazers at home but still..

                          Suns ML and over 222- I will follow one of my friends here..Was leaning nets at first but line moving too much and nets were bad against philly too, philly just had like 15 turnovers in the first half..

                          Good luck all
                          Comment
                          • europe_baller
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-01-12
                            • 859

                            #14
                            suns and over - shouldn't have done it or listened to friend lol.. dallas ML was good play and bucks ML i dont regret..portl just played great down the stretch, turner hit some big buckets every time and CJ to keep bucks out of reach...
                            Comment
                            • europe_baller
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-01-12
                              • 859

                              #15
                              Let see how these go..some smaller bets since don't have too much on the account.. Good luck, pistons really dropped.. Like the heat and memphis in this situation..good luck..also have all 3 in a parlay
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                              • europe_baller
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-01-12
                                • 859

                                #16
                                3-0, memphis heat and pistons pulled it off.. Parlayed them all 3 too.. Great night..4th pick was knicks that I didnt play but all good.. happy with 3-0.. coming back later on with some picks..
                                Comment
                                • europe_baller
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-01-12
                                  • 859

                                  #17
                                  Houston -5 - should be able to take this one from OKC but not convinced..

                                  Bucks +6 - I just think they can play with GS without green.. nobody stopping greak freak and I think it is big game for them, much bigger than for GS.. I think they have a decent shot at ML.. We will see

                                  Celtics -9(bought half point) - I think they will come out ready to play and win by 12-15..Hate laying this many points but I will do it..

                                  Special Clippers +5.5 and ML.. this is lean and not official play for me but I will bet it most likely for some action.. First 3 games I put in round robin..so I need 2 to break even on the night..all 3 would be great.. Good luck all
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                                  • europe_baller
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-01-12
                                    • 859

                                    #18
                                    2-2.. won bucks spread and ml missed houston and celtics..lost some live on celtics first half too..bucks saved a day..felt really good about that one but still bet way too much on not so good games..
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                                    • europe_baller
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-01-12
                                      • 859

                                      #19
                                      Pacers ML and -1.5 POD for me.. Without dragic again and wade, played heat last time against spurs and they played some good defense but well rounded pacers take this after couple losses at home.. Already locked it in.. Also like detr - 5 and Wolves tonight -3.. Good luck all
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                                      • europe_baller
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-01-12
                                        • 859

                                        #20
                                        Pistons good, Pacers good..let see what Minny can do..
                                        Comment
                                        • europe_baller
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-01-12
                                          • 859

                                          #21
                                          Had great night in nba contests yesterday but forgot to post here.. also missed only spurs on big parlay..we will see later on if there are some plays..good luck
                                          Comment
                                          • europe_baller
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-01-12
                                            • 859

                                            #22
                                            Had to win one weekly NBA contest so got sidetracked with talking to myself here .. Back at it tonight.. Couple games/thoughts

                                            Kings + 3 and ML - Like the kings to take this one so I will probably play both..I think OKC can lose this one without RW and they have been playing well.. Kings can be tricky at home and if they can get some stops and run..they can win this one...

                                            Hawks +8 - I like it.. they can run and score at home I think..dont think they will win but will play this one smaller..

                                            Nuggets +5.5 - probably have 3 units or larger bet on spread and 1 on ML.. I think they can hang here....defend 3 to some degree and then score on the other end even though they are not great on the road..

                                            Wanted to play mavs but without powell, barea and matthews I dont like it as much even though spread has dropped to 3..wanted to take spurs but without gay they are not the same..who would have thought of that...and bertans out too.. Good luck all and any comments appreciated..

                                            BTW I was hot last week in that contest lets see if we can keep it up..

                                            16-5-1 76.19 % +28.95 units
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                                            • europe_baller
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-01-12
                                              • 859

                                              #23
                                              won kings both and played them at 2.7 odds just before tipoff for 100$.. Hawks push and collapsed at the end and nuggs same.. actually i bought half point so my 90$ was push and lost 30 on ml..also lost some live on jazz(which i didnt want to play in the first place and mavs same story)..hit pelicans a-7.5.. Will be back for later tonight..
                                              Comment
                                              • europe_baller
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-01-12
                                                • 859

                                                #24
                                                Nice tourney.. Won on last pick ML on knicks yesterday..

                                                1 europe_baller 42-22-1 65.63 % W 3 105.5 +65.64 750 pts
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                                                • europe_baller
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-01-12
                                                  • 859

                                                  #25
                                                  11/27/184:37 PMPlaced - 2 Team Parlay - Round Robin (2 ways) To Win $ 106.26
                                                  • Detroit Pistons -7 (1.833333)(501) New York Knicks @ (502) Detroit Pistons

                                                  • Memphis Grizzlies +6 (1.833333)(505) Toronto Raptors @ (506) Memphis Grizzlies

                                                  • Denver Nuggets -3 (1.833333)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets



                                                  11/27/184:37 PMPlaced - 3 Team Parlay To Win $ 77.43
                                                  • Detroit Pistons -7 (1.833333)(501) New York Knicks @ (502) Detroit Pistons

                                                  • Memphis Grizzlies +6 (1.833333)(505) Toronto Raptors @ (506) Memphis Grizzlies

                                                  • Denver Nuggets -3 (1.833333)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets



                                                  11/27/184:33 PMPlaced - 2 Team Parlay To Win $ 143.31
                                                  • Phoenix Suns (2.350)(507) Indiana Pacers @ (508) Phoenix Suns

                                                  • Denver Nuggets (1.645161)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets



                                                  11/27/184:33 PMPlaced - 2 Team Parlay - Round Robin (2 ways) To Win $ 234.20
                                                  • Phoenix Suns +3 (1.909091)(507) Indiana Pacers @ (508) Phoenix Suns

                                                  • Denver Nuggets -3 (1.833333)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets

                                                  • Under 219 (1.952381)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets



                                                  11/27/184:33 PMPlaced - 3 Team Parlay To Win $ 87.50
                                                  • Phoenix Suns +3 (1.909091)(507) Indiana Pacers @ (508) Phoenix Suns

                                                  • Denver Nuggets -3 (1.833333)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets

                                                  • Under 219 (1.952381)(509) L.A. Lakers @ (510) Denver Nuggets



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