Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 12.23.06

[Jay Edgar]

Best night in a while Friday night . . .

EDGAR LINE vs THE FINAL NUMBER
(playing all teams whose estimated win % is 5% or more higher in the Edgar line than in the closing Pinny line)

MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
Friday, 7-4, +13.93u
(CHA, GS, NY, ATL, MIL, BOS, NOK, HOU, LAC, DEN, WAS)
YTD 109-182, +38.88u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Friday, 7-4, +2.80u
YTD 159-130 (.550), +22.50u

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST 10 GAMES
1 WAS 66
2 DAL 65
3 PHX 64
4 SAN 62
5 LAX 62
6 HOU 61
7 MIL 57
8 CHI 56
9 DET 56
10 UTH 55
11 GS 54
12 POR 53
13 DEN 52
14 IND 52
15 TOR 51
16 CLE 48
17 MIN 48
18 NJ 47
19 SAC 46
20 MIA 46
21 BOS 45
22 SEA 44
23 NY 42
24 CHA 39
25 ATL 39
26 ORL 38
27 NOK 37
28 LAC 37
29 MEM 37
30 PHI 37

EDGAR LINES FOR 12.23.06
(favorite-spread/ML-dog)
IND 5.6/197 over MIN

MIA 4.2/164 over GS

DET 7.5/307 over ATL

CLE 7.2/279 over ORL

PHI 3.6/148 over NY

NOK 0.8/106 over SAN

MEM 1.9/120 over UTH

HOU 8.2/344 over LAC

MIL 7.0/264 over NJ

CHI 7.4/298 over CHA

SEA 3.0/138 over TOR


STRIKE PRICES
(at this ML or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-OFF method)

MIN +249, IND -159

GS +204, MIA -133

ATL +410, DET -238

ORL +367, CLE -218

NY +183, PHI -121

SAN +129, NOK +115

UTH +147, MEM +102

LAC +470, HOU -263

NJ +345, MIL -208

CHA +396, CHI -222

TOR +170, SEA -112

[Jay Edgar]

5% -OFF method plays in the order I like them:

TOR 9%
ATL 10%
MIL 10%
GS 9%
CHA 11%
NOK 32%
MEM 15%

Also, it's been steamed up a little bit, but the ORL/CLE total still seems insanely low to me. Overly simplistic reaction to the last game between them. Magic with Nelson a different story.

[newb411breaker19]

wow edgar, keep it up man