Looney has averaged 1.3 blocks+steals this postseason and considering the Cavs are mostly a 3 point shooting team, I doubt he gets a single block in this game.
Using a poisson distribution the odds of this cashing is ~62%, subtract a bit for a blowout game in which case his minutes will be up I estimate roughly 55-60% win rate, at plus money this is a gift. Line already dropped to pick em now, still an edge at those odds.
Using a poisson distribution the odds of this cashing is ~62%, subtract a bit for a blowout game in which case his minutes will be up I estimate roughly 55-60% win rate, at plus money this is a gift. Line already dropped to pick em now, still an edge at those odds.