Good job, I should have trailed instead of taking the pathetic Orlando 1st Q...Kobe 4 point play I heard, unreal.
Bet To Win
Comment
Shortstop
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-02-09
27281
#75
Nice work Gentlemen! Congrats!
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BTTNext
SBR Sharp
04-06-09
355
#76
Big ups gentlemen that was money in the bank.
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#77
Originally posted by SexyMit
HELLO! I'm part of this thread too... LOL. Read the name there are 2 peoples name doing this not just one!
Exactly. Credit can't go to just one person. These are Project Picks
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#78
Mit, and Ck. I have the best wishes for both of yall. And I am interested in your Bankroll management workshop that will be conducted for the season. Keep it up.
Are yall doing totals also? I got some totals up for 6/10 games. Would like to know where yall are leaning.
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#79
Washington just went to +6 on Bookmaker.
Thinking of a 3 Team/8 Pt Teaser:
Washington +14
Minnesota +9.5 or LA +6.5
NY +15
Thoughts?
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#80
We will continue to wait on the line and let it pile up. The consensus is 71% to 29% so the line went up as prescribed. I would really like for it to go to 6.5 or 7 so that we can get close to that 8 mark when we purchase the point. Even 7.5 would be nice.
What I find interesting about this game is that the books allowed the money to inflate the line. The line for this game started out at Detroit-1 -105 and o/u 142 -105 at Pinnacle yesterday at 1:28pm PST. The line then stayed that way until 2:17, and then it was taken off the board and then put back on at 2:18 at Detroit-5 and a total of 146. The line as Roag pointed out has now gone to 6. I was told a long time ago that it is a good practice to do the reverse of any movement over 3 points. Meaning that the line was correct when it was released at Detroit-1. I capped this game out to have Washington actually have a chance at the end to win it straight up. Public funding is inflating this line and have added on 5 points to our side already and possibly more. The truth of the matter is that Detroit is a thin team with all of their injuries, suspensions and so on. The Mystics have more depth or a better bench, if you will.
This one will be a sucker punch as we line up on the side of the books money.
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Vreston
SBR MVP
03-12-09
1428
#81
Thanks a lot to both CK and SM!!!
And thanks for deciding to keep this thread going.
Too bad for my Orlando 1st Q bet. That's ok. I'm still up on the day thanks to you guys.
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#82
Yes I'm liking Washington as well! Detroit got their 1st win against the Sparks the other night in destroying them! They still have a few injuries, and I to will wait until the line has risen some more before we decide to take Washington!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
SportsTerminator
SBR Hall of Famer
02-18-09
5179
#83
Today I'm liking Detroit, Minnesota, and Phoenix. Detroit are way better than Washington even with the injuries. Detroit has beaten the team that is favored to win the championship by like 30 points with the injuries/suspensions. Surely they can beat the 2nd worst team from last year. Detroit defense should shut down Washington. Detroit was 13-4 last year at home. And the line has moved up again btw. I'm liking Minnesota over the LA Sparks. I think Minnesota is a sleeper team. This team beat two pretty good teams by double digits! Minnesota is a team everyone should be on the lookout. I think they should be the favorite. The LA Sparks have not proven themselves to be that championship caliber team yet but MInnesota surely has. And I'm loving them especially because of the home court advantage. Last but not least I like Phoenix over the Liberty simply because the Liberty stinks lol. It's that simple and Phoenix are at. Who will stop Diana Taurasi? Certainly not the Liberty lol. Diana Taurasi is one of the best woman's basketball player of all-time btw. So I like all the home teams today. I'll prob. be riding two of them, Detroit and Phoenix. That LA, Minn. game has stay away from written all over it.
Bet To Win
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#84
I'm kind of leaning Minnesota as well, but I think I will leave that game alone! No opinion on the phoenix game, I'm going to look over some things and see what I can come up with! GL today and lets make some money!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#85
Sexymit, I don't like Phoenix giving away those points. It's too many. But at the same time if they get hot from 3 point land....Give me the skiny on that game and let's see if we can come up with an angle
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MrMonkey
SBR MVP
11-09-08
2278
#86
CK and SM, I should place bet as late possible before work? What number should I buy to on Wash.? if that's not too much trouble? I'm Stevie Wonder with the WNBA but would love to pad my NFL funds for the fall! Thanks guys!
MrMonkey
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SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#87
I have come to a conclusion!! I don't have much input on todays games, I apologize but I like to give confident winners and the last 2 days they were very good ones. I usually don't see plays like that on a daily basis. The washington line has my puzzled a bit, with the big spread! I am also leaning, very slight lean on New York and Sparks! However, I don't like laying points on the road so I'm going to drop that play but I can't see the Sparks playing that bad again! THey have them picked to go to the championship they have alot of talent, they are just not playing like it right now! So Washington today would be my only play will do some more. I usually watch the 1st week or so to see how the teams are going to play and get an idea of the teams!
Phoenix I would lean taking the over as you said CK if they get hot from 3 point land New York is in trouble! But these 2 teams have put up some points when they play each other. Guess they don't like playing defense I guess, or the phoenix ladies team has the same coach as the NBA team, cause they sure like to run and gun and play no defense just like the Suns!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
melincrea
SBR Sharp
02-20-09
276
#88
So, so far WAS+7 (buying 1 point) is a play or no?
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#89
Yeah that's good shit, Sexymit. I am inclined to think that that game will go over too. But I don't have as strong a feeling about it as i do the side that we have under wing already.
So be it! We will stick with our original plan and play the most lopsided consensus bet on the board, lol! The Liberty are getting no love on the consensus as well. We are squarley at 21% and they are at 29%. All in all I think it's pretty obvious that we found the one that looks like a chicken dinner to the public. The line has been pushed by public money all the way from Detroit-1 to Detroit-6.5 so far. How ignorant was that? Especially when you factor in that the line was correct at Detroit-1 to begin with?
At this rate, I think that if we continue to wait, we will get the lucky number 7 by 3:30pm pst. I am going to use our point buy power and raise whatever the line is at that time by 1 point. Hopefully we can get the 8 with the performance of our point buy. If not, i am more than happy with the 7.5.
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SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#90
Sounds good to me so just Washington then. I don't feel confident enough to go with the over in the Phoenix game either so I Washington tonight boys it is!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#91
WHOA WHOA hold the fort! Didn't the Sparks start out favored in that game?? And now Minnesota is favored? Am I seeing this correctly?
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#92
We have to make a play on the Sparks now! I followed this alot last yr, when one team opens up favored and the line changes to the other team favored. Take the team that was 1st favored and the points! Even sprinkle on the ML!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#93
Dating Tip#2
Never write your phone number on a piece of paper or a napkin. Always have business cards with your cell phone number on it and if you don't have a job, use us! And put "General Partner of the President" of Joe Blow (insert name of company here) Wagering Service.
Hey at least she already knows you're a degenerate coming through the door, and she will understand why all you talk about is wagering and sports.
It is classless to not have a business card when you exchange phone numbers with a potential female companion. Dude, you can't be runnin all throughout the club trying to find a pen and something to write on at the moment. And if she doesn't call? Who cares? You still have 499 more to go.
A professional guy that i know of told me once that it was important to him to get rid of or pass 500 of his cards per year in order to keep up with networking the grass roots way. It is always a good idea to have tons of contacts which leads to networking and leverage. Nothing wrong with taking that same idea to the dating world!
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cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#94
Off to a maternity appointment with the Missus, Sexymit. That is eye opening info. Will have to check it out when I get back
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tbill11
SBR MVP
03-15-09
1451
#95
Yeah SexyMit you're absolutely right. The line started at the LVSC early period as Sparks -3 and jumped to Minnesota -2 by today. Sparks might be a good play, though what this does indicate is that the major Vegas betters were all on Minnesota when they were getting points. Kind of a tricky line to deal with if you ask me.
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#96
That was also very golden last yr as well. It is only a small sample size from last yr but it did very well!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#97
I already took the Sparks at +2.5. I'm not sure if the Washington game is going to go up anymore, but I have a feeling the Sparks game won't get any higher and might start to go back down! So CK when you come back we need to discuss both of these games. But I think we should throw a little down as 1 of our plays and now add the Sparks!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
Panekkkk
SBR MVP
03-12-09
2430
#98
Originally posted by SexyMit
We have to make a play on the Sparks now! I followed this alot last yr, when one team opens up favored and the line changes to the other team favored. Take the team that was 1st favored and the points! Even sprinkle on the ML!
They both opened at -110 with LA listed as favorite. Line up to -128 at Pinny now for Min.
Comment
SportsTerminator
SBR Hall of Famer
02-18-09
5179
#99
Your taking the sorry Washington over Detroit?... ... Did you see Monday's game lol.
Bet To Win
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#100
Originally posted by SportsTerminator
Your taking the sorry Washington over Detroit?... ... Did you see Monday's game lol.
Did you see Saturdays game??
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
The_Kid
SBR Hall of Famer
02-09-08
5049
#101
CK and Sexy, what do you think of the OVER between the Sparks and the Lynx?
I'm leaning OVER now but just wanted to hear your opinions. Thanks!
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#102
I am off to take kids to see a movie! Will be back in a couple of hrs, I want to take Sparks and Washington tonight! Not to much as we have to show these guys money management, as well how to kill the bookies! Unless we have something like last night! Will be back in a few hrs, CK go ahead if you like the plays do them for a little something as our plays tonight!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#103
Originally posted by SexyMit
I already took the Sparks at +2.5. I'm not sure if the Washington game is going to go up anymore, but I have a feeling the Sparks game won't get any higher and might start to go back down! So CK when you come back we need to discuss both of these games. But I think we should throw a little down as 1 of our plays and now add the Sparks!
Let's shorten our bets and place wagers to win $250.00. I thoroughly disagree with us putting out a dime just yet. I do think now is the time to pull the trigger on Washington, however, I do not think that we need to use our magic point on that one. Let's stay within the parameters of -110 land. So what we will do is split it and make the Project Picks like this:
Mystics+6.5 -110 $275.00 to win $250.00 Sparks+2.5 -110 $275.00 to win $250.00
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GGPLAYER
SBR MVP
03-26-09
2981
#104
Originally posted by cocknocker
Let's shorten our bets and place wagers to win $250.00. I thoroughly disagree with us putting out a dime just yet. I do think now is the time to pull the trigger on Washington, however, I do not think that we need to use our magic point on that one. Let's stay within the parameters of -110 land. So what we will do is split it and make the Project Picks like this:
Mystics+6.5 -110 $275.00 to win $250.00 Sparks+2.5 -110 $275.00 to win $250.00
Great thread guys. Gives me hope that I don't have to bet baseball until Football kicks in! I tailed you last night and I'm doing the same today. Plus I think the Over 159.5 in the LA/Min game looks good. Thanks
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SportsTerminator
SBR Hall of Famer
02-18-09
5179
#105
Going opposite of the line movement....interesting.