WNBA Dating Tips

Danskeren · 08-18-09, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by FreeFall

Are we playing games for tomorrow? I'd hate to get them after the line moves again.

Our mentors hasn't anything for tomorrow yet. Not sure if they have decided on tonights games with 99% on seattle

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by oda11

Day 65 Sunday 8/17/09:

Day Beginning Bankroll - $6287.50

Project Plays 8/18/09

Seattle +1.5 -115 690 to win 600 (matchbook)
Washington +6 -125 375 to win 300 (matchbook)

Day Ending Bankroll - $6287.50
WNBA Dating Tips Record 52- 36 -0
YTD Total: 25.15 units
YTD Profit: 15.15 units ($250 per unit since we only used $300/unit for a short period of time)
(All updated 8/17/09)

For the sake of our following we feel this line has gone out of control and feel this game is not appropriate play!We feel a hedge in this situation would be best. If you haven't taken the game yet then good for you the line isn't going to get any better. Didn't realize the line was going to move that much and that much money was going to come in on them. GL today guys

Project Play

Detroit +4 -115 690 to win 600 (betjamacia)

We will just take losing the juice and move on.

oda11 · 08-18-09, 11:35 AM

Hey maybe we will win BOTH?

Day 65 Sunday 8/17/09:

Day Beginning Bankroll - $6287.50

Project Plays 8/18/09:

Seattle +1.5 -115 690 to win 600 (matchbook)
Detroit +4 -115 690 to win 600 (betjamacia)
Washington +6 -125 375 to win 300 (matchbook)

Day Ending Bankroll - $6287.50
WNBA Dating Tips Record 52- 36 -0
YTD Total: 25.15 units
YTD Profit: 15.15 units ($250 per unit since we only used $300/unit for a short period of time)
All updated 8/17/09

corona · 08-18-09, 11:38 AM

We will just take losing the juice and move on.

or you'll hit it both ways and be up 1200.

TheLemonDropKid · 08-18-09, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by SexyMit

For the sake of our following we feel this line has gone out of control and feel this game is not appropriate play!We feel a hedge in this situation would be best. If you haven't taken the game yet then good for you the line isn't going to get any better. Didn't realize the line was going to move that much and that much money was going to come in on them. GL today guys

Project Play

Detroit +4 -115 690 to win 600 (betjamacia)

We will just take losing the juice and move on.

Hey Sexy.......so for those of us that are late to the party and haven't yet wagered either way, is DET the correct call? Or no play at all.

BL · 08-18-09, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by corona

[/color][/i][/b]or you'll hit it both ways and be up 1200.

i see this coming lol

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 11:53 AM

I would have to take them +4 now yes!

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by corona

[/color][/i][/b]or you'll hit it both ways and be up 1200.

That would be awesome, but my luck I wouldn't hold your breath!

BL · 08-18-09, 12:01 PM

Sexymit, you have an oppinion for the Chicago game?
I booked Phoenix because i really think this will be a chicken dinner. Both teams looking for a revenge. so really hard to be sure of any side :S

TheLemonDropKid · 08-18-09, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by SexyMit

I would have to take them +4 now yes!

Excellent.....thanks bro!

aznjeff07 · 08-18-09, 12:15 PM

bl, i like phx as well but not as much as that tight body on that bombshell

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 12:17 PM

BL- I'm sorry but what was the question again? I couldn't see past the fine piece of ass that you had put up for me! But since you put up a picture of a sexy women I'm inclined to give you my opinion.

I lean Chicago and this is why... Phoenix played Chicago already this yr, the line in that game was Phoenix -10 at home, they won that game by 20. Now usually when a team is say -10 at home and cover you can see a respectable number for them being favored on the road. Well that would mean Phoenix -4 or -5 maybe, well the line opened up -2 Chicago? WHY? Fowles was questionable already and is now not playing before the line decided to really start moving. That line just doesn't seem right if you ask me, that is why I would lean Chicago! GL

aznjeff07 · 08-18-09, 12:22 PM

fowles isn't playing? i know it seems to good to be true but that makes my phx conviction stronger. I think it opened -2 bc chicago has been playing some really good ball while phx is slipping a bit

RoagBettor · 08-18-09, 12:29 PM

Phoenix will blow out Chicago

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 12:40 PM

I'm not sure I agree with that assumption. Phoenix is the best team in the league, Chicago isn't even close. Chicago lost to the Liberty the worst team in the league. I don't think any team other then Indiana has a respectable shot at beating Phoenix. Phoenix the numbers they put up and the run and gun offense is not match for any team. Chicago is really not that good of a team, even with Fowles.

RoagBettor · 08-18-09, 12:41 PM

Chicago is a Jekyll and Hyde team; one game great another game they play worse than the Monarchs.

Phoenix will pour it on tonight, especially after getting spanked at home by Indiana.

aznjeff07 · 08-18-09, 12:42 PM

if that's so then why lean chi just bc the line movement? ind has covered their spreads when it seemed like the movement was against them. Don't mean to argue just want to figure out the thought process

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 12:57 PM

I have Seattle at -1 (-130) already. Do you think itd be a good idea to buy 2-3 points and take Det +6 or +7? Thatd be about a 5 point middle.

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 01:04 PM

I would personally take Detroit +6 or +7

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 01:16 PM

Ok so Im gonna lay it out. Cuz you guys are making me nervous. I have Seattle -1 (-130) $450 to win $346.15. Thinking about taking Detroit +6.5 (-150) $350 to win $233.33. So I have a 5 point middle, and if Detroit wins I will recoup half my losses on Seattle. SM do you really think Detroit might win tonight? I just hate hedging plays.

jcygts6 · 08-18-09, 01:48 PM

It is rare to ever see a C bet happens in this system. However, in the once-in-a-blue-moon case when it does, you can rest assured in rock-hard confidence that we have only lost a C bet one time in the WNBA since the year 2000. Your chances of losing bet C in any game is close to 0%!

jcygts6 · 08-18-09, 01:49 PM

i can see the c bet losing today, have no confidence in seattle at all.

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by jcygts6

It is rare to ever see a C bet happens in this system. However, in the once-in-a-blue-moon case when it does, you can rest assured in rock-hard confidence that we have only lost a C bet one time in the WNBA since the year 2000. Your chances of losing bet C in any game is close to 0%!

Ya but the thing is Seattle will be counted as a "WIN" by JM as long as they dont lose by more than 5 points because JM always uses the best line that was available. Most of us basically need Seattle to win the game or not lose by more than 1 or 2. Also the chances of Seattle blowing a team out on the road is close to 0% also. Lol. I think the +6.5 Det hedge might be good dont you?

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 01:52 PM

Oh was that message from JM?

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by jcygts6

It is rare to ever see a C bet happens in this system. However, in the once-in-a-blue-moon case when it does, you can rest assured in rock-hard confidence that we have only lost a C bet one time in the WNBA since the year 2000. Your chances of losing bet C in any game is close to 0%!

So how good is the info? I haven't done research on this theory at all, but wanting to know how true it is. Cause actually it lost earlier this yr the 1st series with the Sparks!

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 01:57 PM

That was the series I reversed the system because Sparks sucked on the road!!! I dont think anyone knows the true facts of the record unless theyve researched back that far and that would take a while.

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 01:58 PM

So SexyMit you think what Im doing is a good idea? I just need a little assurance from some pros!

RoagBettor · 08-18-09, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by cs11787

Ya but the thing is Seattle will be counted as a "WIN" by JM as long as they dont lose by more than 5 points because JM always uses the best line that was available. Most of us basically need Seattle to win the game or not lose by more than 1 or 2. Also the chances of Seattle blowing a team out on the road is close to 0% also. Lol. I think the +6.5 Det hedge might be good dont you?

Bingo! That's why it's all bullshit.

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Bingo! That's why it's all bullshit.

Haha. Yup. So the next play that comes up everyone better stay glued to the damn computer until the lines come out and get it then. Doesnt matter if we lose as long as JM wins.

Danskeren · 08-18-09, 02:08 PM

I placed 3 units on detroit Det +7 (bought 2.5) Here we go!

SexyMit · 08-18-09, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by cs11787

So SexyMit you think what Im doing is a good idea? I just need a little assurance from some pros!

I think it is a smart move yes...

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by SexyMit

I think it is a smart move yes...

Ok thanks. Im gonna wait till gametime and hope this line moves to 4.5 at Greek.

X-Rated · 08-18-09, 02:13 PM

I think if Seattle win, it should be no more than 3 points. If Detroit wins, it should be no more then 3 points.

cs11787 · 08-18-09, 02:22 PM

Well lets make that Seattle win by 3 then. Lol.

rezkoness69 · 08-18-09, 02:33 PM

if you took seattle earlier, instead of hedging it with the spread, I would hedge with the money line. It is +170 for detroit. THe original bet was risking 690 to win 600 on seattle. If you hedge and risk $353 on detroit ML you would win $600. This way if seattle wins, you would win almost $250 with the original project play. If detroit wins you would only lose the original $90 juice on the seattle bet. This is assuming you got Seattle in between -1 and +1 making it pretty much a money line selection. THe only way you would lose big is if you had seattle minus 1 (which is the number I got) and they end up winning by exactly one. In this case the bet on seattle pushes while you lose the $353 you wagered on detroit. This is an unlikely scenario and the right move is to hedge with the money line, not the spread....unless my math is wrong somewhere, which it very well could be.