WNBA Dating Tips

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  • SportsTerminator
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-18-09
    • 5179

    #6231
    Originally posted by ValHallaYoung
    was = x threw money in tha dumpster
    /det = 50% win /min 20% win
    With the WNBA you have to play on emotion. A team that loses one day will prob. win the next day. Especially if a team loses on the road and their next game is at home. It's like some teams have to get beat bad then get angry at themselves and use that as motivation to win the next game. They can't play hard every game they have to lose 1 or 2 to win the next which ridiculous. Another reason why I can't wait until NBA season starts. The WNBA is too inconsistent, too emotional. But there are those handful a teams which you can depend on who plays hard every game like the Indiana Fever... Phoenix Mercury... Seattle Storm...
    That's why I mostly play on home teams. The home records compared to the road are to just astonishing.
    Bet To Win
    Comment
    • BL
      SBR MVP
      • 05-11-09
      • 4070

      #6232
      i really do not like LA coming from an OT win.
      Comment
      • RoagBettor
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-20-09
        • 8355

        #6233
        I hate LA, they suck. But I can't go with the Joes on this one, not after Indiana beat Phoenix in Phoenix.
        Comment
        • BL
          SBR MVP
          • 05-11-09
          • 4070

          #6234
          i already booked indiana for 1 unit.
          Won't play it with more units.... but i do not want to miss this chicken dinner
          Comment
          • BL
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-09
            • 4070

            #6235
            Detroit sucks... just get that ****n rebound and they would have covered....
            Comment
            • RoagBettor
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-20-09
              • 8355

              #6236
              Detroit blows the lead - f*ck!

              8/9/2009 Day 57
              Day Starting Bankroll: $5,481.50

              PROJECT PLAY #1 FOR 8/9: Detroit Shock -7.5 $550 to win $500 - LOSS

              Day Ending Bankroll: $4,931.50

              WNBA Dating Tips Record 44- 32 -0
              Comment
              • linglingfool
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-10-09
                • 326

                #6237
                Meaningless bucket with less than a second left to cover for Chicago. Ouch
                Comment
                • PortsDave
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-13-09
                  • 447

                  #6238
                  Thats an awful way to lose
                  Comment
                  • chipper13101
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 04-27-08
                    • 405

                    #6239
                    good thing i bought 3 points, after all it's the Shock we're talking about..
                    Comment
                    • MexicanStallion
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-08-08
                      • 20429

                      #6240
                      Detroit deserved it. Ate up 40 seconds with two bricks with less than two minutes left and then can't get the rebound. Hate losing games like that.
                      Comment
                      • SportsTerminator
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-18-09
                        • 5179

                        #6241
                        That last play with the San Antonio game looked like she didn't get it off in time. But I don't know what they would do without Becky Hammon. It's basically the San Antonio Silver Hammons.

                        And sorry ck and sexymit on your project play that is a HEART BREAKER. Fowles couldn't grab a rebound for her life. And she's like 20 feet tall and when she does she puts the ball in to kill the Detroit cover, heart breaker. It's amazing though how she can dunk but yet Chicago is the worst in rebounds.
                        Bet To Win
                        Comment
                        • SexyMit
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-12-06
                          • 6139

                          #6242
                          Yeah that is a horrible way to lose the game. A tip shot as time expires for the cover!
                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                          Comment
                          • SexyMit
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-06
                            • 6139

                            #6243
                            You guys better be careful with Indiana tomorrow. We are waiting for the public to be the line down and then going to take the Sparks. It will probably be a play tomorrow just so you know. Be careful!
                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                            Comment
                            • RoagBettor
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-20-09
                              • 8355

                              #6244
                              Originally posted by SexyMit
                              You guys better be careful with Indiana tomorrow. We are waiting for the public to be the line down and then going to take the Sparks. It will probably be a play tomorrow just so you know. Be careful!
                              Yep. Indiana beats Phoenix convincingly in Phoenix and LA is favored? I knew what you guys were going to play already, you've trained me well!
                              Comment
                              • SportsTerminator
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-18-09
                                • 5179

                                #6245
                                I don't know this is LA we're talking about lol...against the best team in the WNBA...
                                Bet To Win
                                Comment
                                • RoagBettor
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-20-09
                                  • 8355

                                  #6246
                                  Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                  I don't know this is LA we're talking about lol...against the best team in the WNBA...
                                  Hey, I agree that Indiana is the best, but why aren't they favored in this game, especially after thrashing Phoenix on the road?
                                  Comment
                                  • corona
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-12-09
                                    • 722

                                    #6247
                                    Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                    Hey, I agree that Indiana is the best, but why aren't they favored in this game, especially after thrashing Phoenix on the road?
                                    because the books know that the only people betting the wnba are those that are smart enough to already know about RLM and 'too good to be true' games...and they may end up getting a lot of money put on LA because of a 'false favorite' line like this.

                                    in football and baseball and hockey and the nba i can understand a whole slew of dumb people betting 'free chicken dinner' games and following their favorite teams and betting on them on pure whim. but the wnba? i'm guessing the majority of people who bet it actually know what they're doing....or are tailing someone that knows wtf they're doing. cause it certainly makes me sick to my stomach attempting to watch this shit.

                                    :shrug:
                                    Comment
                                    • RoagBettor
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-20-09
                                      • 8355

                                      #6248
                                      corona, that's an interesting theory but not supported by the line movements we see. Take the Indiana/Phoenix game for instance. Over 70% on Phoenix and the line moves in Indiana's favor. And we've seen that type of thing over and over. CK and SM have called a lot of winners based upon RLM.

                                      As far as watching this shit, I agree wholeheartedly - it's agonizing!
                                      Comment
                                      • corona
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-12-09
                                        • 722

                                        #6249
                                        i don't have any numbers to support it....but i'm positive there's been tons of RLM involving the monarchs, and they still suck balls at covering. nothing against ck/sm, because i think they're great cappers....but just from watching this thread every day, the project plays where rlm is cited as a selling point...they're far from sure things.

                                        imho these guys are better when they just handicap the games straight up.
                                        http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/192172-ck-sexymits-wnba-dating-tips-p173.html#post2081271

                                        4-1 right there. and the liberty pulled some **** out of their ass with that comeback, which they never do. could've easily been 5-0....where all the capping was done 1-3 days in advance (so no line movement to look at to try to predict stuff)
                                        Last edited by corona; 08-09-09, 10:22 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • SexyMit
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-12-06
                                          • 6139

                                          #6250
                                          Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                          Yep. Indiana beats Phoenix convincingly in Phoenix and LA is favored? I knew what you guys were going to play already, you've trained me well!
                                          We have taught you well young grasshopper.
                                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Nickelicious
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-21-09
                                            • 2647

                                            #6251
                                            Well, that did it. I bought 2.5 points to get Indiana at +4 (given my aversion for lines less than 4 or 5) at -160 and chucked 9.6 units to win 6.

                                            This better be a tight game or a Fever blow out! I am already shitting in my shorts with the anticipation!
                                            Comment
                                            • Tennispro
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-13-09
                                              • 512

                                              #6252
                                              Not touching this game can go either way gl all.
                                              Comment
                                              • SexyMit
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-12-06
                                                • 6139

                                                #6253
                                                Project Play 8/10

                                                Sparks -1.5 660 to win 600
                                                Last edited by SexyMit; 08-10-09, 08:41 AM.
                                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                Comment
                                                • RoagBettor
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 8355

                                                  #6254
                                                  8/10/2009 Day 58
                                                  Day Starting Bankroll: $4,931.50

                                                  PROJECT PLAY #1 FOR 8/10: LA Sparks -1.5 $660 to win $600

                                                  WNBA Dating Tips Record 44- 32 -0
                                                  Last edited by RoagBettor; 08-10-09, 08:54 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SexyMit
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-12-06
                                                    • 6139

                                                    #6255
                                                    This is going to make up for your Detroit play yesterday that cost us! I was wanting to see if CK would go out on a limb and go 3 units on this play! Waiting for a response.


                                                    Roag I changed it as you were posting the play. You need to change it to 660 to win 600 thanks!
                                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Danskeren
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-27-09
                                                      • 498

                                                      #6256
                                                      How seriously are the public on Fever tonight?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RoagBettor
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-20-09
                                                        • 8355

                                                        #6257
                                                        SBR Live Odds shows 57% on the Fever.

                                                        Update: Now it shows 53% (unless I read it wrong earlier).
                                                        Last edited by RoagBettor; 08-10-09, 09:13 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ValHallaYoung
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 04-27-09
                                                          • 106

                                                          #6258
                                                          calls on indy... anyone?
                                                          hmm guess la is fit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Danskeren
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 05-27-09
                                                            • 498

                                                            #6259
                                                            Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                            SBR Live Odds shows 57% on the Fever.

                                                            Update: Now it shows 53% (unless I read it wrong earlier).

                                                            Thanks .

                                                            Can't pull the trigger on this one.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • linglingfool
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 06-10-09
                                                              • 326

                                                              #6260
                                                              Originally posted by Danskeren
                                                              How seriously are the public on Fever tonight?
                                                              Bettracker shows a whopping 81% on the Fever.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoagBettor
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-20-09
                                                                • 8355

                                                                #6261
                                                                Hopefully the line goes higher so I can get Indiana with 10 or more pts in my teaser
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SexyMit
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 10-12-06
                                                                  • 6139

                                                                  #6262
                                                                  Yeah Bettracker is 81%, that is who I follow the most! And that is what I want to see.
                                                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dennisback
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-13-09
                                                                    • 650

                                                                    #6263
                                                                    Sparks only -1 favorited?? they are the huge favorite to win the title @+200 (Indiana +375), at bet365 !! Taking Indiana +2 BIG ! this is a huge trap they want pub to bet on sparks
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ValHallaYoung
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 04-27-09
                                                                      • 106

                                                                      #6264
                                                                      you sure about that blondie..kinda like tha la for a bit there..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SexyMit
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 10-12-06
                                                                        • 6139

                                                                        #6265
                                                                        Originally posted by dennisback
                                                                        Sparks only -1 favorited?? they are the huge favorite to win the title @+200 (Indiana +375), at bet365 !! Taking Indiana +2 BIG ! this is a huge trap they want pub to bet on sparks
                                                                        You haven't been paying attention to the games have you? You have a 17-4 team Indiana just beat Phoenix in their house convincingly, and you have a Sparks team that is 7-11 and have been under performing all yr. Yes the Sparks were favored to win the championship but now I think Indiana is a good contender to win the title. They have the best record in the Wnba, they should be giving pts to the Sparks not getting.
                                                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                        Comment
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