Ck's WNBA Report Tuesday 6-9-09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Ck's WNBA Report Tuesday 6-9-09
    I today's action we have the Seattle Storm heading out on the road to play the Indiana Fever. The Storm are a playoff tested bunch looking to improve their record to 3-0. On the other end of the spectrum is the Fever 0-2 and searching for answers.

    Things don't look too good for Indiana when you look at the history of these two teams and see that Seattle has beaten the Fever 3 straight times by an average of 9.5 points. Yet the Fever are 3-1 at home against the Storm winning by an average of 15 points.

    The Fever have been assigned an average line of -4.5 at home when these teams play. So anything under that is a good bet. I don't think that the linemaker would be that crude as to make the line Fever-4.5. I think a line of -3 would be more like it. We will see. I capped this game out to Fever winning by 8. If the Storm are actually favored in this game it will be a mistake and a false favorite will be being offered by the books. There's only this one game on and the line hasn't come out yet? Come on..

    The truth is that the public will lay the Storm thinking that the Fever are a chicken dinner. Rolling with the home team on this one, playing with a sense of ugency. If they are offered as a dog, then I will simply take the moneyline and do away with the points. Triple revenge and 0-2 on the season, and playing at home off of a home loss? I'll take it.

    These teams usully go over the total too, so I will be taking a long look at the total.

    Fever -1.5 (hook buy) HEAVY
  • jcygts6
    SBR MVP
    • 04-05-09
    • 3316

    #2
    GL I like the writeup and insight.

    NIce pick on Detroit today
    DO WORK + KROW OD
    do work! do work! do work! do work!
    od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
    Comment
    • peeiempee
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-09
      • 2750

      #3
      Like the analysis CK. I was leaning Fever too, I know nothing about WNBA, but I know Fever was favored the last 2 times and lost both times, which means they are a pretty good team that lost in OT and had to play a back to back OT with travel. They desperately need this home win to avoid starting the season 0-3 and losing 2 at home.
      Comment
      • pho3nix32
        SBR MVP
        • 01-09-09
        • 1465

        #4
        line: sea@ind 143
        pick: 143 under

        Seattle is a defensive juggernaut. Indiana on the other hand used to be a defensive juggernaut. They are down 0-2 to start the season and IMO try get that defensive mojo back in this game at home. Expect to see some bricks and sloppy basketball tomorrow.
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          Originally posted by pho3nix32
          line: sea@ind 143
          pick: 143 under

          Seattle is a defensive juggernaut. Indiana on the other hand used to be a defensive juggernaut. They are down 0-2 to start the season and IMO try get that defensive mojo back in this game at home. Expect to see some bricks and sloppy basketball tomorrow.
          I like the write up, but bricks and sloppy play should be the disclaimer on all WNBA game tickets.

          Sry Pho3, I can't help myself.
          Comment
          • pho3nix32
            SBR MVP
            • 01-09-09
            • 1465

            #6
            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
            I like the write up, but bricks and sloppy play should be the disclaimer on all WNBA game tickets.

            Sry Pho3, I can't help myself.
            really sexist remark there bro but i bet you wont be able to beat taurasi one on one
            Comment
            • JumpoffJoeBeezy
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-17-08
              • 928

              #7
              Home teams in the WNBA seem to win quite a good percentage of the time.
              Comment
              • Psylence
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-14-09
                • 442

                #8
                Ck you got the best writeups
                Comment
                • pho3nix32
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-09-09
                  • 1465

                  #9
                  CK is the peep's champ!!!
                  Comment
                  • peeiempee
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-09
                    • 2750

                    #10
                    Front page of SBR says line will be at -2.5, but still not released at any of my books
                    Comment
                    • SexyMit
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-06
                      • 6139

                      #11
                      I like the Fever tonight also... Its out and the line is -2 Fever!
                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                      Comment
                      • peeiempee
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-09
                        • 2750

                        #12
                        Booked Fever -2 lets cash this
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #13
                          Actually the line came out at Fever-4.5. Then the public as stupid as they are pounded the Storm and the line went down to -2. So I will be taking the Fever at -1.5 HEAVY by buying a hook.


                          Fever-1.5 (hook buy) HEAVY
                          Comment
                          • SexyMit
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-06
                            • 6139

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                            Actually the line came out at Fever-4.5. Then the public as stupid as they are pounded the Storm and the line went down to -2. So I will be taking the Fever at -1.5 HEAVY by buying a hook.


                            Fever-1.5 (hook buy) HEAVY
                            Yep that is exactly what happened and exactly what i'm going to do is pound Fever! GL tonight!
                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                            Comment
                            • cocknocker
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 8001

                              #15
                              Look we're gonna continue this thread in the CK and Sexymit's WNBA Dating Tips pages from now on. It is where the info, the bankroll and the Project Plays will be.
                              Comment
                              • ebbearsfb1
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-07-08
                                • 18815

                                #16
                                good ish ck i got them at -2.5
                                Comment
                                • jasont
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-24-08
                                  • 1227

                                  #17
                                  Does this pick take into consideration that Tamika Catchings might not play tonight?

                                  EDIT: word is both Catchings and Douglas will start.
                                  Comment
                                  • hoop guru
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-07-09
                                    • 2414

                                    #18
                                    I like the fever to win by 6 points tonite. By book, the greek, is allowing me to wager to win 1000 on the storm but only to win 500 on the fever. Seems like the book does not want too much action on the fever. When I call my book they tell me that I can wager as much as I want on the storm. Taking the storm is a trap by my sportsbook. I call it the public trap.
                                    Comment
                                    • peeiempee
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-09
                                      • 2750

                                      #19
                                      Good info, but lets get all this on the main page as CK directed so we don't have to view 3 different trends. Nice
                                      Comment
                                      • SportsTerminator
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-18-09
                                        • 5179

                                        #20
                                        The public are on Indiana I believe.
                                        Bet To Win
                                        Comment
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