Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 12.02.06

**Razz** · 12-02-06, 03:11 AM

You have an opinion on Cle/Hou Jay?

**Jay Edgar** · 12-02-06, 03:29 AM

I like the Rockets quite a bit, Razz. They would have to get down to -183 or better to be a ML play per the method, but I like them no matter what.

HOU may not have the deadliest home court ad in the league, but this is a great spot for them.

As for CLE, not sure how much weight to give this, but it's interesting. On my homemade results page I keep track of where the opponent ranks when a team plays them. Look at the ranking-at-the-time of the Cavs' last 11 opponents.

28
27
23
27
21
20
24
24
24
20
21

They've not had a test like this in a while.

**aca** · 12-02-06, 03:30 AM

Thanks!

**Razz** · 12-02-06, 08:14 AM

Originally posted by Jay Edgar

I like the Rockets quite a bit, Razz. They would have to get down to -183 or better to be a ML play per the method, but I like them no matter what.

HOU may not have the deadliest home court ad in the league, but this is a great spot for them.

As for CLE, not sure how much weight to give this, but it's interesting. On my homemade results page I keep track of where the opponent ranks when a team plays them. Look at the ranking-at-the-time of the Cavs' last 11 opponents.

28
27
23
27
21
20
24
24
24
20
21

They've not had a test like this in a while.

Thanks, was leaning that way as well.

**Jay Edgar** · 12-02-06, 12:25 PM

STRIKE PRICES
(If these MLs appear, then the real line is pricing the game 5% off the Edgar ML, and the listed team would be a play -- both SU and ATS -- under the 5%-OFF system)

PHI at +178 or better
MEM at -179 or better
TOR at +180 or better/NY at -127 or better
SAC at +284 or better
CLE at +270 or better/HOU at -183 or better
WAS at +290 or better/CHI at -194 or better
IND at +310 or better/DEN at -207 or better
SEA at +271 or better
LAX at +107 or better (if game is "neutral court")
MIL at +385 or better/GS at -247 or better

**Jay Edgar** · 12-02-06, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by Razz

Thanks, was leaning that way as well.

Nice one -- made it my main play of the night even though not called for by the 5%-ML-OFF system.

It's yet another statement about the radical difference between west and east (non-Orlando east) in the NBA to this point.

**moses millsap** · 12-03-06, 12:02 AM

I didn't get a chance to play anything in NBA today, the college hoops card was insane to work through. Doesn't look like it was a very good day for dogs (for the 3rd straight day)

**bigboydan** · 12-03-06, 12:17 AM

I noticed that myself owned. Then again I did tell you that it would be that way til December 12th

**moses millsap** · 12-03-06, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by bigboydan

I noticed that myself owned. Then again I did tell you that it would be that way til December 12th

That said, I'm glad I didn't get a chance to cap the NBA board.