Friday NBA - 12/1

**bigboydan** · 12-01-06, 01:49 PM

Can Charlotte really score that many points is what i'm worried about bud.

**Illusion** · 12-01-06, 03:46 PM

That Mil/Phx total is currently 218.5 at Pinnacle. I happen to like the under in that one, but wish you luck anyway.

**austintx05** · 12-01-06, 04:41 PM

Illusion - I purchased 216 around 10:00 am this morning. I think Phoenix has had 5 Under results at home and I really see both teams running the floor here. I expect a game in the 230's.

BBD - It is a concern for me, but I think Washington will benefit enough from Charlotte's poor fg defense. Spread is a little too close for comfort, but I like the Over in both of these games.

These games fit a " total system" I developed last year.

Very simple and I use it for a guideline.

Ex - Charlotte/Washington opened up at O/U 199

Average offensive points scored by both teams is 190.7

Line opened up 8.3 points higher than what both score on average combined. I go by the opening line only.

Now of course I always take into account your 4 in 5 days, O/U teams...., but I think if I go back so far this year my totals have been hitting more so than ATS.

Now I need to go knock on wood...

**nosuzieno** · 12-01-06, 05:00 PM

199 is combined points allowed washington/charlotte, matching opening number.

So, is your system is to play over when line is signifcantly HIGHER than combined off output?

**austintx05** · 12-01-06, 05:11 PM

I think you might be confused.

The opening O/U for that game was 199.

The combined offensive points for both teams is 190.7

So the fact that these 2 teams score on average a combined total of 190.7 ppg it would make sense to take the Under seeing as the O/U is 8.3 points higher than what they average.

The reverse goes for unders. Teams combine for 190+ and the total is set @ 178.5. I look for a 7+ point variance here.

**nosuzieno** · 12-01-06, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by austintx05

YTD 14-16 -3.11

I must say I am a little disappointed in my start to the NBA Season. Had some bad beats and some bad decisions. I take an Under the day Kobe goes for 28 in the 3rd....Still early in the year so lets try to slowly turn this around....

1. Charlotte vs Washington Over 201 (+102)
2. Milwaukee vs Phoenix Over 216 (-104)

BBD - It is a concern for me, but I think Washington will benefit enough from Charlotte's poor fg defense. Spread is a little too close for comfort, but I like the Over in both of these games

You're right, I was confused b/c as you can see, you posted playing OVER on that game. Thanks for the explanation!

**durito** · 12-01-06, 07:18 PM

**primo_skillz** · 12-01-06, 08:52 PM

88-95 already and the 3rd quarter is not even over yet. great play

**austintx05** · 12-02-06, 01:26 AM

Slowly gettin back...

2-0 +2.02

YTD 16-16 -1.09

**bigboydan** · 12-02-06, 01:37 AM

Both these games went over rather easy.

Very nice rebound bro

**primo_skillz** · 12-02-06, 09:37 AM

yes very nice austin. good luck on your weekend

**Illusion** · 12-02-06, 04:54 PM

Excellent work austin.

**austintx05** · 12-02-06, 04:57 PM

Thanks guys