Jay Edgar NBA, Thursday 11.30.06

**Jay Edgar** · 11-30-06, 12:35 AM

STRIKE PRICES

MIA qualifies at -101 or better

LAX qualifies at -144 or better
UTH qualifies at +196 or better

I like Thursdays -- a chance to breathe.

GL

**moses millsap** · 11-30-06, 01:05 AM

Originally posted by Jay Edgar

I like Thursdays -- a chance to breathe.

LOL, couldn't have said it better. Man, I don't know what to think of the Heat at all, but I just don't rate them very high at all, but not sure I want to lay points with Detroit.

**bigboydan** · 11-30-06, 01:10 AM

Forget about that Miami team Jay. That team is just flat out taboo this year IMO

**Jay Edgar** · 11-30-06, 06:36 PM

Public is behind the curve on Miami, IMO. It badly overrated the team for the first month -- and now comes the backlash, and as is typical with public teams, the backlash is a little overdone.

The Heat have stabilized somewhat, it appears. Meanwhile, Detroit's winning streak has come mostly at home and against weak opposition, and the long layoff (last game 11/25) may not be such a great thing for them -- they were also off from Nov 11-15 and came out on the 15th laying an egg at home against a Hornets team that had played the night before.

+150 ML on what I see as a coin flip? I'll take a little of that, at least.

**Jay Edgar** · 11-30-06, 11:11 PM

EDGAR LINE ML vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more differential)
ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Thursday, 0-1, -1.00u
(Miami)
YTD 61-91, +26.04u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Thursday, 1-0, +1.00u
YTD 85-67 (.559), +14.65u

**bigboydan** · 11-30-06, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by Jay Edgar

Public is behind the curve on Miami, IMO. It badly overrated the team for the first month -- and now comes the backlash, and as is typical with public teams, the backlash is a little overdone.

The Heat have stabilized somewhat, it appears. Meanwhile, Detroit's winning streak has come mostly at home and against weak opposition, and the long layoff (last game 11/25) may not be such a great thing for them -- they were also off from Nov 11-15 and came out on the 15th laying an egg at home against a Hornets team that had played the night before.

+150 ML on what I see as a coin flip? I'll take a little of that, at least.

Now do you see what I mean about this Heat team being taboo Jay. They literally went out of there way to lose this game at the end.

**Jay Edgar** · 12-01-06, 12:04 AM

The Heat are frustrating, but so are several other teams on a regular basis and every single team at least some of the time.

Congrats to all on the Pistons ML, MIA with the points, or the under.

I had Miami SU and ATS and a little bit of the over. One winner and two losers. I've picked over 150 games so far this season and I'm hard pressed to call that one of my worst plays. Home team at +147 and with the last shot to win it? Sign me up.