Surfjack's NBA Totals

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  • Surfjack
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-17
    • 525

    #106
    Originally posted by thekoreanmang
    Nice pick! The line movement was interesting too because it went all the way down to 199 at one point. Maybe more I didn't check again. Looking forward to the next one!
    I capped the game at 202, and I kinda knew the line was going to drop because that's what books are doing

    I'm just glad books make these mistakes so we can enjoy the 2u bets
    Comment
    • Surfjack
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-13-17
      • 525

      #107
      Originally posted by john lin
      I like Nola over to but what's your analysis behind it ?
      when there are no injuries, and teams are sorta rested, you gotta look at the numbers and the numbers only

      I use two probability distribution functions to analyze the totals, a gaussian and a poisson,
      and both told me the total most likely would be way above the line

      so yah, these are not sports analysis, but simply data analysis
      Comment
      • slamuels2021
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-21-16
        • 201

        #108
        Huh?! Yeah, I had to google gaussian and poisson. Wish I was smart enough to analyze distribution functions to pick winners too. Guess I will have to do the next best thing and tail Surfjack. Shaka!

        Originally posted by Surfjack
        when there are no injuries, and teams are sorta rested, you gotta look at the numbers and the numbers only

        I use two probability distribution functions to analyze the totals, a gaussian and a poisson,
        and both told me the total most likely would be way above the line

        so yah, these are not sports analysis, but simply data analysis
        Comment
        • Enkhbat
          SBR MVP
          • 04-18-11
          • 3145

          #109
          how is it going SurfJack

          What parameters do you use in the Gaussian and Poisson?
          Comment
          • Surfjack
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-13-17
            • 525

            #110
            It's full moon, brace yourselves

            Pick of the Day

            BOS @ UTA O204.5 1u

            GL

            Comment
            • Surfjack
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-13-17
              • 525

              #111
              I have a lot of B-bets today, trying to finish while I have my breakfast here
              Had a lot of booze these last two days that I can barely function
              Comment
              • john lin
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-04-17
                • 100

                #112
                I'd love to hear what the b bets are. I am curious if Boston can score tonight
                Comment
                • Surfjack
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-13-17
                  • 525

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Surfjack
                  It's full moon, brace yourselves

                  Pick of the Day

                  BOS @ UTA O204.5 1u

                  GL

                  Outcome: Win

                  YTD: 17-5 (77.27%) +14.15u


                  Thanks for everything, brahs
                  I'm shutting down this thread because my purpose in this Forum was to find good cappers to tail and post my own picks

                  Flea was the only solid capper I've seen here and they blocked him, so

                  I hope you guys followed my b-bet I've posted on twitter today.

                  for those that don't follow me on twitter yet, here's the handle: @surfjacksports

                  Mahalo !

                  Surfjack.
                  Comment
                  • Surfjack
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-13-17
                    • 525

                    #114
                    And because of haoles like you this site is what it is

                    Haven't seen you posting anything positive since I've first glanced at your nickname.

                    Have a great life brother


                    Originally posted by john lin
                    I'd love to hear what the b bets are. I am curious if Boston can score tonight
                    Comment
                    • john lin
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-04-17
                      • 100

                      #115
                      Originally posted by Surfjack
                      And because of haoles like you this site is what it is

                      Haven't seen you posting anything positive since I've first glanced at your nickname.

                      Have a great life brother
                      No need to be condescending cause you hit a few picks. I'm here to bounce ideas not follow people's picks hence why I ask questions.
                      Comment
                      • Joe'Dad
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-11-16
                        • 183

                        #116
                        Originally posted by john lin
                        No need to be condescending cause you hit a few picks. I'm here to bounce ideas not follow people's picks hence why I ask questions.
                        Listen Buddy;
                        I have just recently following Surfjacks picks. I haven't seen any of your picks. He picks winners with logic. Plus he seems like a genuinely good guys
                        Comment
                        • v0id125
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-16-17
                          • 118

                          #117
                          Originally posted by john lin
                          No need to be condescending cause you hit a few picks. I'm here to bounce ideas not follow people's picks hence why I ask questions.
                          You are clearly talking out of your ass. SurfJack's picks mostly only winners. Take a chill pill brah, and repeat Surfjacks is a money maker w/o bs
                          Comment
                          • john lin
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-04-17
                            • 100

                            #118
                            Originally posted by Joe'Dad
                            Listen Buddy;
                            I have just recently following Surfjacks picks. I haven't seen any of your picks. He picks winners with logic. Plus he seems like a genuinely good guys
                            He's the one attacking me for no reason. I never had a problem with the guy
                            Comment
                            • john lin
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-04-17
                              • 100

                              #119
                              Originally posted by v0id125
                              You are clearly talking out of your ass. SurfJack's picks mostly only winners. Take a chill pill brah, and repeat Surfjacks is a money maker w/o bs
                              ive never had anything negative to say about the guy decided to talk down on me In a forum. It sounded condescending. Never had a problem with the guy
                              Comment
                              • Joe'Dad
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-11-16
                                • 183

                                #120
                                Where's Jack?
                                The waves must be good
                                Comment
                                • Surfjack
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-13-17
                                  • 525

                                  #121
                                  what's up, Joe?
                                  I'm posting my picks @ twitter
                                  Comment
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