Celtics Line Movement

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  • swilldoggy420
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-18-09
    • 206

    #1
    Celtics Line Movement
    Anyone want to give advice as to why they think Celtics line has basically "stayed put" even though the public seems to be hammering them?

    Also, what are all your thoughts on Over/Under in Celtic game? Seems like Vegas is trying to get us to take the over considering there is fishy line movement also!

    Any and all thoughts much appreciated! BOL
  • jasont
    SBR MVP
    • 02-24-08
    • 1227

    #2
    Originally posted by swilldoggy420
    Anyone want to give advice as to why they think Celtics line has basically "stayed put" even though the public seems to be hammering them?

    Also, what are all your thoughts on Over/Under in Celtic game? Seems like Vegas is trying to get us to take the over considering there is fishy line movement also!

    Any and all thoughts much appreciated! BOL
    The books want you to take the Celtics and people continue to do so. In addition, the money line has changed a bit favoring the Celtics more. With that being said, Magic look like the obvious play. I have a large series wager, so I'll probably stay away.
    Comment
    • RoagBettor
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-20-09
      • 8355

      #3
      Unless the books are using reverse psychology on the big players
      Comment
      • jasont
        SBR MVP
        • 02-24-08
        • 1227

        #4
        Originally posted by RoagBettor
        Unless the books are using reverse psychology on the big players
        There should be a lot of recreational play on a game 7.
        Comment
        • SexyMit
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-06
          • 6139

          #5
          Orlando is the bet!
          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
          Comment
          • RoagBettor
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-20-09
            • 8355

            #6
            Originally posted by SexyMit
            Orlando is the bet!
            Why?
            Comment
            • shantystar
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-13-05
              • 7299

              #7
              orlando win as a underdog!confirmed!
              Comment
              • swilldoggy420
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-18-09
                • 206

                #8
                who confirmed it??

                how about the over/under?
                Comment
                • RoagBettor
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-20-09
                  • 8355

                  #9
                  LOL confirmed by who, David Stern?

                  C'mon.
                  Comment
                  • Kindred
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-09-08
                    • 2901

                    #10
                    take celts and under, thank me later
                    Comment
                    • RoagBettor
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-20-09
                      • 8355

                      #11
                      Whenever someone says "lock", "confirmed", etc. usually the best thing to do is fade them.
                      Comment
                      • swilldoggy420
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-18-09
                        • 206

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Kindred
                        take celts and under, thank me later

                        based on what, bro? Thanks
                        Comment
                        • RoagBettor
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-20-09
                          • 8355

                          #13
                          Originally posted by swilldoggy420
                          based on what, bro? Thanks
                          Oh, I don't know. How about:

                          20-5 in Game 7's
                          17-3 at home in Game 7's
                          32-0 when leading a series 3-2
                          Comment
                          • swilldoggy420
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-18-09
                            • 206

                            #14
                            trust me, Roag...I know those stats...I'm from Boston originally and LOVE the Celts.

                            I want to take them today, but the fishy line movement has me nervous. This is where my questions are coming from.

                            Thanks and BOL!
                            Comment
                            • RoagBettor
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-20-09
                              • 8355

                              #15
                              I'm from Boston also. If this were a big mismatch I'd think twice, but I think the Celtics are the better team even without KG.

                              We'll know in a few hours. The line movement doesn't make sense to me unless you really believe these games are fixed.
                              Comment
                              • betplom
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-20-06
                                • 13444

                                #16
                                Same thing was said last week with the Lakers and the low spread "LAKERS ARE A TRAP!" is what many said and the Lakers rolled.

                                Don't waste time thinking about what the bookies want you to do, cap the game and bet what you like.

                                Bookies want to take the same amount of action on either side so they have little risk, they aren't trying to play a side in a game like this.

                                Doubt at your own peril.
                                Comment
                                • swilldoggy420
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 02-18-09
                                  • 206

                                  #17
                                  Thanks guys...I appreciate your advice. I won tons on the lakers and under today and hope to do the same tonight.

                                  BOL
                                  Comment
                                  • Cassidy
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-19-09
                                    • 125

                                    #18
                                    What about if the game is fixed to not allow the celtics win over 2 points? Its the only way boston wins and books cash.

                                    I think so boston ML is the play
                                    Comment
                                    • james4512
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-27-08
                                      • 3707

                                      #19
                                      i like the celtics moneyline but i refuse to pay -155 for 3 points, so i took the -3. Celtics should win pierce will have a huge game and im hoping allen actually shows up. It very well could end celtics winning by 1 or 2 but ill take my chances
                                      Comment
                                      • RoagBettor
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-20-09
                                        • 8355

                                        #20
                                        Celtics ML on Bookmaker is down to -140
                                        Comment
                                        • danrman
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-30-08
                                          • 2696

                                          #21
                                          so let me just throw this out there.. i know its a "what if" but what if this time when orlando gets up by 17 or whatever the refs dont give boston all those home calls.. the money is on the celtics and this is after the lakers cover the spread the same day.. when they have played the same day both have covered only once during this round the same day out of 3 times i believe.. so your telling me the celts are gonna cover during a PRIMETIME game where all day long they have been running the 32-0 stat at the bottom of the screen... and most of you guys are settling on the celtics.. maybe you are right and the refs will give them the calls and the nba wants a bost-cleve series or orlando will choke but call me crazy and im sure you will but gimme the magic...
                                          Comment
                                          • RoagBettor
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-20-09
                                            • 8355

                                            #22
                                            Who knows?

                                            Stranger things have happened
                                            Comment
                                            • swilldoggy420
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-18-09
                                              • 206

                                              #23
                                              over or under boys?
                                              Comment
                                              • Slim
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-08
                                                • 4722

                                                #24
                                                Maybe the books set the line so u think its a trap but its a reverse trap. Maybe Boston should be -6 but the books want to sucker you to take Orlando +3.
                                                Comment
                                                • swilldoggy420
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-18-09
                                                  • 206

                                                  #25
                                                  I hope so, Slim and that's exactly what I'm thinking and HOPING!

                                                  BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • danrman
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-30-08
                                                    • 2696

                                                    #26
                                                    there are certainly better basketball handicappers out there but i think over is the play in the boston game.. what do you guys think???
                                                    Comment
                                                    • swilldoggy420
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 02-18-09
                                                      • 206

                                                      #27
                                                      I originally thought OVER, but fishy line movement has me wondering....but who am I?

                                                      Input from SEASONED cappers is appreciated!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SexyMit
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-12-06
                                                        • 6139

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                        Oh, I don't know. How about:

                                                        20-5 in Game 7's
                                                        17-3 at home in Game 7's
                                                        32-0 when leading a series 3-2
                                                        Come on lets get passed that. Larry Bird was playing then, what does that have to do with the price of tea in china now?
                                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • swilldoggy420
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-18-09
                                                          • 206

                                                          #29
                                                          true, Mit. But, what are your official picks on the game?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SexyMit
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-12-06
                                                            • 6139

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by danrman
                                                            so let me just throw this out there.. i know its a "what if" but what if this time when orlando gets up by 17 or whatever the refs dont give boston all those home calls.. the money is on the celtics and this is after the lakers cover the spread the same day.. when they have played the same day both have covered only once during this round the same day out of 3 times i believe.. so your telling me the celts are gonna cover during a PRIMETIME game where all day long they have been running the 32-0 stat at the bottom of the screen... and most of you guys are settling on the celtics.. maybe you are right and the refs will give them the calls and the nba wants a bost-cleve series or orlando will choke but call me crazy and im sure you will but gimme the magic...
                                                            I'm with you... Lets go Magic! They have dominated this series and Boston has comeback 2 times winning won of them. This series should be over already! Why would they want Boston and Cleveland, they had that last yr and it won't go the same way this yr. GL but primetime game everyone on the Celtics they keep pumping the Celtics stats up from 30 yrs ago which has absolutely nothing to do with today!
                                                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SexyMit
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-12-06
                                                              • 6139

                                                              #31
                                                              I posted in my spreadsheet earlier today what I like! And who I am taking!
                                                              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SexyMit
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 10-12-06
                                                                • 6139

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm also liking the Over but not going to mess with it.... My play of the day and the week is Orlando!
                                                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • swilldoggy420
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-18-09
                                                                  • 206

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks, Mit....I respect your opinion!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Public is not hammering Celts

                                                                    I do think the larger bets are on Orlando though
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • swilldoggy420
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-18-09
                                                                      • 206

                                                                      #35
                                                                      JJ, I'm seeing 70+ percent on Boston....what do you see?

                                                                      Thanks!
                                                                      Comment
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