NBA 4th quarter......killing most of my bets.

gojetsgomoxies · 01-05-17, 11:47 PM

those #'s are pretty amazing....

u on bad teams, underdogs and/or road teams alot?... cause nba Q4 is huge for good teams and/or home teams.. it seems like the last 2 years that GSW is constantly having highly competitive games but then look at their record.

ATOMICPUNK · 01-06-17, 12:00 AM

I know what you mean. I had the Rockets -8. Looked good after the 3rd, but then the Rockets went cold in the 4th.

RetiredinPunta · 01-06-17, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies

those #'s are pretty amazing....

u on bad teams, underdogs and/or road teams alot?... cause nba Q4 is huge for good teams and/or home teams.. it seems like the last 2 years that GSW is constantly having highly competitive games but then look at their record.

Not just bad teams. It doesn't matter who i am on, last two years i get buried in the 4th quarter. If i am on a good team favorite, they go to sleep in the 4th quarter giving backdoor or sometimes losing straight up. If i am on the dog, the favorite will pull ahead in the 4th quarter. Its unreal!

Another odd thing that is happening to me since last year is in NHL. Normally when i play odds worse than -110 in nhl, i will play reg time only at -0.5 spread which gives nicer odds. If i play the dog, i will play them including overtime moneyline. So when i play the favorite as -0.5 in reg time....happened 29 times so far this season. 20 of those freaking games went to overtime! 12 of the times my team won in over time/shootout and 8 times it lost. But for me all 20 were losers since its -0.5 in reg time. Fortunately my dog plays are doing well to show small profit in nhl overall. But its ridiculous how almost every game that i pick as -0.5 reg time goes to over time. last year it happened around similar clip.

It feels like its getting hard and the results are so random. capping gotten so hard. i used to do well in these sports in these sports. now i only have good edge in college football. nba and nhl used to be so easy for me but not the results seem more arbitory and impossible to cap.

vegaschulo · 01-06-17, 12:24 AM

I know all about it..the other night i had nuggets(-4.5) at clippers paul was out..i had the nuggets..nugs was up by 17 at the half..then at the 4th clips tied it up..nuggets won by 4 SMH..KILLED by the hook LOL..

freeVICK · 01-06-17, 12:37 AM

I had detroit too

kgindy · 01-06-17, 01:12 AM

Yeah I've been killing 1Q and 1H I rarely do full game anymore. In college had UCLA and got lucky I bought 1/2 PT. How can you be up 22 with 6 mins left and you are in the double bonus and can't cover 10.5 smh.

RetiredinPunta · 01-06-17, 09:48 PM

And got buried again in the 4th quarter. My minnesota +5 looked great going into 4th quarter but got buried.

mohye1980 · 01-06-17, 10:09 PM

Originally posted by RetiredinPunta

And got buried again in the 4th quarter. My minnesota +5 looked great going into 4th quarter but got buried.

Minnesota is one of the worst 4th quarter teams in the nba especially on the road. Wizards +135 start of the 4q was a steal.

RetiredinPunta · 01-08-17, 08:29 PM

Raptors +2.5 and moneyline today looked good from the beginning and got screwed for me.

I had 3 nba bets. raptors, phoenix +8.5 and Lakers -2.

Lets see if my 4th quarter burial continues. i have 2 units on lakers.

mohye1980 · 01-08-17, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by RetiredinPunta

Raptors +2.5 and moneyline today looked good from the beginning and got screwed for me.

I had 3 nba bets. raptors, phoenix +8.5 and Lakers -2.

Lets see if my 4th quarter burial continues. i have 2 units on lakers.

You know the raptors played an overtime game last night right? Legs have to give out eventually.

jsdjason · 01-08-17, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by mohye1980

You know the raptors played an overtime game last night right? Legs have to give out eventually.

Rockets are now 26-13 ATS. Vegas still doesn't realize they are a juggernaut.

TimeTraveler75 · 01-08-17, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by jsdjason

Rockets are now 26-13 ATS. Vegas still doesn't realize they are a juggernaut.

They do realize it, but they go off of the perspective and thinking of the general public, take a look at Gonzaga for college basketball, i think they are something like 15-0 ATS

JTrain · 01-09-17, 02:08 AM

Originally posted by RetiredinPunta

If all games ended after 3rd quarter my hit rate would be whopping 74.5%.

If all games ended after 3, my unders would be 99%.

JTrain · 01-09-17, 02:29 AM

Do you track your plays here? We can all fade you 4Q