Jay Edgar NBA, Tuesday 11.21.06

[Jay Edgar]

EDGAR LINE ML vs THE FINAL NUMBER (5% or more differential)
ML PLAYS (at 1* each)
Monday 2-5, -2.56u
YTD 39-62, +5.15u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Monday 4-3, +0.95u
YTD, 54-47, +4.75u

TEAMS RANKED BY LAST-10-GAMES POWER RATING
1 UTH, 2 GS, 3 LAC, 4 SAN, 5 HOU
6 BOS, 7 PHX, 8 DAL, 9 NY, 10 SAC

11 CLE, 12 DET, 13 SEA, 14 NOK, 15 CHI
16 WAS, 17 ORL, 18 LAX, 19 DEN, 20 MEM

21 MIL, 22 PHI, 23 ATL, 24 POR, 25 TOR
26 NJ, 27 IND, 28 MIN, 29 CHA, 30 MIA



EDGAR LINES FOR 11.21.06
PHI 2.3/124 over DET
IND 3.7/150 over MIL
CLE 6.5/246 over MEM
NOK 6.4/238 over MIA
DAL 2.9/134 over WAS
DEN 4.7/172 over CHI

counting the home-road designations:
LAX 2.5/127 over LAC
on a neutral court:
LAC 2.3/129 over LAX

[moses millsap]

I wish I could grab a few more points with the Wiz tomorrow, because Dallas flat out sucks when Anthony Johnson is running the point for them.

[Jay Edgar]

Numbers final for Tuesday. Once again on Monday, all games were priced at least 5% off the Edgar ML -- and once again, the larger gaps struck out, while the smaller gaps made money. Going to let it play out for another couple of weeks, then break it down and try to figure it out.

Overnight for Tuesday

No ML on DET-PHI or MIL-IND

MEM is 13% off at +520
NOK is 4% off at -205
WAS is 8% off at +178 (this opened as high as +215)
DEN is 3% off at -155

counting it as a neutral court game,
LAC is 3% off at -118

GL

[Jay Edgar]

I wish I could grab a few more points with the Wiz tomorrow, because Dallas flat out sucks when Anthony Johnson is running the point for them.

It's been dropping steadily -- might want to get what you can now.

[moses millsap]

I probably will not play it then. If I'm backing a road dog in this range, I'd rather get 6.5 or better than a 5 or 4.5, so if the line stays steady, the only play I'd make is on the Wiz ML. Agree with your rating on NOK; I think that line is relatively low on the surface.

[Jay Edgar]

1045am EST

PHI is 11% off at +120
MIL is 5% off at +178
MEM is 14% off at +535
NOK is 6% off at -186
WAS is 7% off at +175
DEN is 6% off at -140

counting it as a neutral court game,
LAC is 5% off at -110

[bigboydan]

whats the status of AI tonight? I heard he was suppose to have a tooth fixed, and might miss this game.

[Jay Edgar]

whats the status of AI tonight? I heard he was suppose to have a tooth fixed, and might miss this game.

Dunno, but money's coming in strong on Philly (down to -101 on the ML), so I'm guessing that he was at the shootaround and claims to be good to go.

[Jay Edgar]

AI out, Pistons line spazzing accordingly.
At the apex, I like Philly a little bit.