NBA - Wednesday, 11/23/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    NBA - Wednesday, 11/23/16
    2 NBA Plays Wednesday

    Trail Blazers +11 -105 (Heritage)
    Trail Blazers +600 ML (DSI)


    YTD: 25-31, -6.35
  • 44 Mag
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-14-13
    • 34490

    #2
    Originally posted by LT Profits
    2 NBA Plays Wednesday

    Trail Blazers +11 -105 (Heritage)
    Trail Blazers +600 ML (DSI)


    YTD: 25-31, -6.35
    The points I can see, the ML, are you serious ????
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by 44 Mag
      The points I can see, the ML, are you serious ????
      Good value pop at those odds. I think ML seems over-adjusted for Portland on back-to-back, model has Cavaliers winning SU 83% of the time, which is "only" -488. So I only expect to win this play 17% of the time (so lose 83% if the time) but the +600 makes it +EV.
      Comment
      • Roscoe_Word
        SBR MVP
        • 02-28-12
        • 3999

        #4
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #5
          No chance on the ml. Cavs rested
          Comment
          • eddycash
            SBR MVP
            • 11-06-13
            • 4530

            #6
            any thoughts on nets and kings?
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by eddycash
              any thoughts on nets and kings?
              I find Nets intriguing as I only have Boston -5.9. I lean OKC vs. Sac though, I have Thunder favored -0.81.
              Comment
              • eddycash
                SBR MVP
                • 11-06-13
                • 4530

                #8
                has your system been updated for okc now having no Durant?
                Comment
                • cankid
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-22-08
                  • 7231

                  #9
                  GL on the doggie, have a great Thanskgiving!!
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by eddycash
                    has your system been updated for okc now having no Durant?
                    Of course!
                    Comment
                    • p4$$ion
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 07-06-16
                      • 340

                      #11
                      im in sacramento and the kings will get mauled tonight by the thunder. cousins will be in foul trouble from the westbrook penetration and adams should also frustrate him. kings perimeter defense isn't that good either, so those westbrook kickouts to the 3pt shooters should be very effective tonight.
                      Comment
                      • eddycash
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-06-13
                        • 4530

                        #12
                        wth all that money on okc I think sac town gets it done tonight with rudy gay back, okc couldn't even beat the lakers
                        Comment
                        • Conqueror
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-08-13
                          • 16778

                          #13
                          Trail Blazers ML? Are you kidding?
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Conqueror
                            Trail Blazers ML? Are you kidding?
                            Read Post #3, I expect to lose that play 83% of the time but +600 makes the 17% +EV
                            Comment
                            • Conqueror
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-08-13
                              • 16778

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              Read Post #3, I expect to lose that play 83% of the time but +600 makes the 17% +EV
                              Ok. I get it. Theoretically, that's a value play but the Trail Blazers just aren't playing the kind of defense that should give them a chance to win SU here. Just saying.
                              Comment
                              • RavensFan2k3
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-18-12
                                • 17378

                                #16
                                LT do you play the lottery?
                                Comment
                                • Madison
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-16-11
                                  • 6467

                                  #17
                                  Nets +7.5 solid play
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    2 Last NBA Additions

                                    4 NBA Plays Wednesday

                                    Trail Blazers +11 -105 (Heritage)
                                    Trail Blazers +600 ML (DSI)
                                    Grizzlies / 76ers UNDER 196 -105 (5 Dimes)
                                    Heat / Pistons UNDER 189 -105 (Heritage)
                                    Comment
                                    • Cuse0323
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-09-09
                                      • 30169

                                      #19
                                      Thought on the Spurs/Hornets? Sorry to bug ya, just looking to blow some money.
                                      Comment
                                      • mikefan1034
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-29-12
                                        • 2448

                                        #20
                                        Lol trailblazers moneyline lol
                                        Comment
                                        • doitnow
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-27-16
                                          • 2584

                                          #21
                                          Tough loss on the pts
                                          Comment
                                          • slayer14
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-12-13
                                            • 22022

                                            #22
                                            never covered on points by only 1 point
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              WOW. Aside from the ML, look at the other three losses.

                                              Blazers miss by one point.
                                              Lost Grizzlies Under in second overtime.
                                              Lost Pistons Under by 2 points.

                                              Good thing this was offset by 6-1 night in college hoops for slightly profitable hoops night.
                                              Comment
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