Chase 118 c bet =Bucks -7.5, Chase 119 c bet = Bucks -7.5 , Chase 121 a bet =hornets -5 , Chase 122 a bet =Toronto -15 , Chase 123 a bet = Boston vs Atlanta = over 212, Chase 124 a bet = kings + 6.5 , Chase 125 a bet = kings Ml
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Chase 118 c bet =Bucks -7.5 ✔
Chase 119 c bet = Bucks -7.5 ✔
Chase 121 a bet =hornets -5
Chase 122 a bet =Toronto -15 ✔
Chase 123 a bet = Boston vs Atlanta = over 212
Chase 124 a bet = kings + 6.5
Chase 125 a bet = kings Ml
pending chase 117 b, 121 b, 123 b, 124 b, 125 bComment -
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chase 117 b Nfl=Kansas city chiefs -1
chase 121 b Nfl=Kansas city chiefs -1
chase 123 b Nfl=Kansas city chiefs -1
chase 124 b Nfl=packers vs Dallas under 53
chase 125 b Nfl=packers vs Dallas under 53Comment -
Wow!! Are you having Fun in Vegas Profosor?... what a life Sir!!Comment -
Still just going off in here.
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I have been following. Still trying to get a handle on the parameters. If u could explain them again. I saw on the first page but a little confused still. Thanks and good luck!Comment -
Shooms I was in the same boat at first but think I understand. A chase revolves around continuing to bet more until you cash. Professor, correct me if I'm wrong:
- Bets an A bet to open the chase.
- If the A bet wins, he cashes, and the chase is closed
- If it loses then he places a B bet
- If that wins, the chase is closed, if the B bet loses his next is a C bet
- A B C and D all have different monetary values (the next letter being 2.1 times the one before it)Comment -
chase 117 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5
chase 121 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5
chase 123 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5
chase 124 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5
chase 125 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5Comment -
Don't get Greece BBallOriginally posted by nbaprofosorComment -
I know not all us base bookies have itOriginally posted by fly fisherComment -
Got it at Bovada -125. Five chases riding on this team though man I'm nervousComment -
Nicely done!Comment -
Originally posted by i70/i25 kid
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chase 117 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 121 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 123 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 124 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 125 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
No pending chase ...Comment -
Thank u nbaprofosor!!
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Any time brother...Originally posted by realica9Thank u nbaprofosor!!
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Chase 126 a= clippers -8 , Chase 127a =warriors -8Comment -
Adding chase 128 a =Utah -6Comment -
Chase 126 a= clippers -8 ✔
Chase 127a =warriors -8 ✔
chase 128 a =Utah -6
pending chase 128 bComment -
Thanks NBA profosorComment -
You the man prof.Comment -
Did you play 4 bets for one play? I still can't figure out your chase system?... Can you pls explain again Prof?.. ThanksOriginally posted by nbaprofosorchase 117 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 121 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 123 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 124 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
chase 125 c Greece basket = Panatihaikos +4.5 ✔
No pending chase ...Comment -
Ok bro I will.Originally posted by coolguy73739Comment -
Chase 129 a =euro basket champion league =banvit -18.5. Chase 130 a =euro basket champion league =aris -12Comment -
Nba =chase 131 a = lakers vs Denver over 230Comment -
Cleaned up on these C bets, a bunch of them. For practical reasons where might someone be able to get off so much action on Greece Hoops? Pinny has 2k max on Euro Cup, but I'm seeing that in the smaller markets they've got $450 limits. 5 C bets would surely rock the system, I'd imagine. But yeah, for practicality purposes, where would I get off that much action in Greece Hoops?Originally posted by nbaprofosor
TIAComment -
Chase 129 a =euro basket champion league =banvit -18.5
Chase 130 a =euro basket champion league =aris -12Comment -
Nba =chase 131 a = lakers vs Denver over 230 ✔Comment -
Originally posted by shooms79Originally posted by BScad3Ok Guys there are many chase system out there people use ore follow .The one i use different than all .Usually people do chase team A to cover spread and they go with same team with chase 1,2,3,4 ore over ,under. Since we are looking odd -110 i can put any bet in chase with -110 . Can be spread, over ore under . Why Chase??? well i can't predict who is gone win continuously. if any one, I mean any one tells you that he can, don't even waste your time. it is biggest bull shit . So i can't predict all the time right? don't get me wrong I'm not that bad. actually I'm quite good with reading line and look in to statistic bla bla...so what do i do? i chase ..Because I'm kind of confident with i can come out with at least 1 winner in chase of 4.Originally posted by coolguy73739
Here is the think, if you gone tail, this is the biggest risk you are taking .You are actually tailing with some one personal pick (in this case thats me)
if we are looking to win 1 unit ,any chase win, will give you profit of 1 unit. Once we lose chase D, it will cost 18.45 unit and of course all about what is your unit size. if your 1 unit is 100 $ with chase d losing cost will be 1845$
chase:
A Bet: risk 1,10 units to win 1 unit
B Bet: risk 2,31 units to win 2,1 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + 1 unit]
C Bet: risk 4,85 units to win 4,41 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + B bet (2,31u) + 1 unit]
D Bet: risk 10,19 units to win 9,26 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + B bet (2,31u) + C Bet (4,85u) + 1 unit]
One think I m very careful, once i go chase b, its already red line for me . I do not go bet ore throw any bet every day .Time is our friend . Greed is our enemy
Here is some stats if any handicapper tells you that , he can hit more than %60
Example 1: No Edge
This example assumes a handicapper who historically hits 50% of his games, meaning the handicapper does not have any edge when picking games. The data assumes 1,000 plays against the spread (with a vig of -110) over a calendar year, across all major US sports.
50.0% 1 in 2 50% 0.0 51.6% 1 in 6.3 15.9% 1.0 53.2% 1 in 44 2.3% 2.0 54.8% 1 in 700 0.1% 3.0 70.0% < 1 in a trillion < .0000000001% > 10.0
As you can see, a sports bettor with no edge has only a 2.3% chance of winning 53.2% of his games, which is just above the break-even point of 52.4%.
That same bettor has less than a one in a trillion chance of hitting 70% of his games over the course of 1,000 plays.
Example 2: Good Handicapper
We ran the same analysis above but this time assumed a skilled handicapper who historically hits 55% of his games. The data assumes 1,000 plays against the spread over a calendar year, across all major US sports.
For the record, we do believe there are good handicappers out there that are able to achieve 55% over the long-term, which is a very good win rate.
However, even in the case of a handicapper with a long-term expected winning percentage of 55%, a 70% win rate over a whole season (with 1,000 plays) would still be a hugely unexpected event.
In fact, this is still an almost-impossible “9 standard deviation event” with the odds of a 70% or better win rate occurring less than one in a billion (.0000001%).
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It would be better to understand with some examples..
e.g. if I had taken LAL spread against DEN game and if I lose that bet, then do I have to take LAL spread in their next game against some different opponent? Is that how it is?
In case of totals , if I had taken Under for Min SAS game today and if I lose that bet, how do I chase to win that bet? Do I take UNDER again or what?
Pls explain with some real team examples
Thanks& looking forwardComment -
Do you have any estimated winning percentage figure for Bookmakers Prof?
Do they win more than 60% overall?Comment -
He does not chase any team, or any type of play (moneyline, total, etc.) He simply looks at games very near or at house vig ('juice', or 'cost to play'), and plays those. He only plays the ones he has very high confidence in. So tonight, the play was nuggets/Lakers over, which is chase number 131, 'a' bet. IF that had lost, the next bet would have been a 'b' bet for chase number 131. This 'b' bet DOES NOT have to be a total bet, DOES NOT have to involve the Lakers or nuggets. It just had to be a bet with a line very near -110 that he had very high confidence in.Originally posted by coolguy73739
His argument is that he simply needs to pick right 25% of the time, instead of 52.4%, to profit. However, it's important to note this 25% rate MUST occur EVERY 4 picks. So put simply, he is banking on picking one out of every four. It's not a 25% right of the time you should be worried about, it's literally needing to have 1 correct within 4 picks. As with any chase, units can be rapidly lost. However, he does not seem to have lost one yet. *knock on wood*Comment -
So, how many units are you up nbaprofosor? Where do you place your bets at?Comment
