Denver Series for -235

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  • jcygts6
    SBR MVP
    • 04-05-09
    • 3316

    #1
    Denver Series for -235
    Game 1: Dallas at Denver
    Sunday, May 3, 3:30 p.m. (ET) ABC
    Now this is different. The Denver Nuggets are on to bigger things after five straight years of bowing out in the opening round. And the San Antonio Spurs are not here for the first time since 2000; instead, Denver’s opponents in Sunday’s Western semifinal are the formerly soft Dallas Mavericks. Beating the Spurs gave Dallas its first playoff series win since reaching the NBA Finals in 2006.
    Denver opened as a 5.5-point home favorite in Game 1 with a total of 207 points. The Nuggets were perfect at 5-0 ATS during their first-round demolition of the New Orleans Hornets, which included a record-tying 121-63 cakewalk in Game 4. There isn’t a hotter team in the league; the Nuggets ended the season on a 14-3 run (10-7 ATS) to grab the second seed in the West. And one of those wins was at Dallas (-3.5) to complete a season-series sweep at 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS.
    Mavericks supporters are counting on some of their own late-season mojo. Dallas took advantage of the wounded Spurs at 4-1 ATS and put together a nice playoff drive of its own at 9-4 (7-6 ATS). Coach Rick Carlisle has tightened his rotation and leaned heavily on his best players – with Josh Howard (23.5 PER against the Spurs) earning Carlisle’s unofficial series MVP vote. Jose Juan Barea (15.1 PER) has also emerged as a viable starter in the backcourt when Dallas needed one the most. These are two underrated and valuable players in the shadows of Dirk Nowitzki, Jason Kidd and owner Mark Cuban.
    Denver has the added home-court advantage in this series of playing one mile above sea level at the Pepsi Center, plus the deeper bench of the two teams. The Nuggets are still a fast team even with Chauncey Billups at the point; at this altitude, the older Mavs are going to have to give minutes to their less accomplished reserves. That’s how spreads get covered.
    DO WORK + KROW OD
    do work! do work! do work! do work!
    od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
  • jcygts6
    SBR MVP
    • 04-05-09
    • 3316

    #2
    what ya'll think? Good value for the series? I'm on Denver.

    Want to hear other people's takes on this
    DO WORK + KROW OD
    do work! do work! do work! do work!
    od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
    Comment
    • yisman
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-01-08
      • 75682

      #3
      I like Denver in the series as well. -235 is a bit steep, but I'd consider it.
      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
      [/quote]

      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
      Comment
      • head_strong
        SBR MVP
        • 07-02-08
        • 4318

        #4
        I'm still trying to figure out how both teams will fit on the court at the same time with all the headbands, armbands, wristbands, finger bands, leg bands, calf pads, elbow pads, arm sleeves, rubber bracelets, etc. Anyone know if they will be playing this series on a regulation size court?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          I actually think -235 is cheap, I have Nuggets winning at least 4 out of 7 with the home court advantage 72.5% of the time, which translates to -264.

          My pick and analyisis is here:

          Nuggets to outrun Mavericks in track meet series
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388208

            #6
            Denver should win in 6
            Comment
            • coldhardfacts
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-19-07
              • 717

              #7
              Teams are very evenly matched. Denver's home court advantage gives them the edge, but nowhere near 2.35-1. I'm on the Mavs, albeit tepidly.
              Comment
              • NBA Hero
                SBR MVP
                • 12-05-08
                • 1886

                #8
                of course den for the series
                Comment
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