18-9 in Playoff 2nd Halves, Today's plays

[jebe99]

Chi -1

[jebe99]

Orl +6 1/2

[Chuck Luck]

we play the same way. wow. thought i was the only one that was this stupid

good luck

[jebe99]

Hou +3

[Flyers09]

im getting +2.5

im going for it

[Checkerboard]

which book jebes? thx . . .

[jebe99]

which book jebes? thx . . .

Matchbook. The best book in the world!

[theplagy]

should i slam this one?

fking houston got me 2nd half game 3 and 4

[theplagy]

slammed it

hou+2.5 5 unit

[jebe99]

I play the same unit on all games.

No play is more special than the others.

Win 55% of you bets at 2% of you bankroll = Quadruple your money after 100 plays.

[jebe99]

I play the same unit on all games.

No play is more special than the others.

Win 55% of you bets at 2% of you bankroll = Quadruple your money after 100 plays.

That should be ; win 55% of you plays betting 2% of you bankroll= quadruple your money after 1000 plays.

[theplagy]

heh

that's why i'm a degenerate right?

[jebe99]

heh

that's why i'm a degenerate right?

I used to be one.

Took me 5years to develop the discipline, and boy, that was hard.

Now, this is all I do.

[jellobiafra]

jebe, I keep passing on your picks because I keep thinking it's gotta swing the other way eventually and I know it'll start whenever I jump on board. And you just keep killing it bro. Nice job. I might just have to commit from here on out. I think you are pretty well proven at this point.

[jebe99]

Hey jello, important thing is you have to straight bet the same unit all the time.

I use a moving bankroll betting 2% of my total bank.

Also, can't be swayed by winning or losing betting streaks. I just crunch the numbers and bet the value, and over the years, it's been very profitable.

[jellobiafra]

Hey jello, important thing is you have to straight bet the same unit all the time.

I use a moving bankroll betting 2% of my total bank.

Also, can't be swayed by winning or losing betting streaks. I just crunch the numbers and bet the value, and over the years, it's been very profitable.

Thanks. I'm working on mastering the money management angle. There seems to be some disagreement over the flat bet theory by very successful gamblers. I'm a believer that you should almost always bet 2-3% of your roll. I used to be a flat bet guy, but I've come around to the idea that a few select games deserve to be loaded up on - but never more than 5%. I'm still a novice at this so I don't mean to act like I know something more than you, but there are differing opinions on this basic premise among those that know what they are doing.

So do you literally calculate the percentage on each individual wager? In effect that would be weighting your bets because the 1st bet is going to be for more than the 2nd if they are simultaneous events. FWIW, I would only bet 2% on these half-time wagers.

[Chuck Luck]

jebe, I keep passing on your picks because I keep thinking it's gotta swing the other way eventually and I know it'll start whenever I jump on board. And you just keep killing it bro. Nice job. I might just have to commit from here on out. I think you are pretty well proven at this point.

this will not 'swing'.... works every year

[jebe99]

I calculate 2% of bank at the beginning of the day and that will be my bet size for the whole day.

Like you I sometimes do bet 2units on a very strong play.

[jellobiafra]

I calculate 2% of bank at the beginning of the day and that will be my bet size for the whole day.

Like you I sometimes do bet 2units on a very strong play.

Gotcha. Keep posting winners for us. Thanks!

[Checkerboard]

Thanks for posting jebe99, and best of luck the rest of the way!