Not sure on a side in pacers game yet.
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Ill put some write ups later when i get home from work... Went to bed at 215 woke up at 630 ahhhComment -
I think the Indiana/Toronto game will go over even though the first four games have been under. Indiana finally broken out last game and you know Toronto can score.. The trend has been last 4/6 games in Toronto has been going over..Comment -
Meh i disagree.. If anything these playoff games are getting more defensiveComment -
Ok here we go... To the writeups
Boston +7: The more i thought about this play today, the more i liked it. Game 2 was a complete fraud. I feel like everyone on here remembers game 2 and game 2 only when thinking about this game. "Oh they lost Avery Bradley and they are gonna get killed again on the road." While this series has obviously been 2 home wins for each team, Boston is 3-1 on the spread. Now we get 7 points!?!? Yes please. I was all over Atlanta -6 in game 2, and I had Boston +6 in game 1. I had Boston game 3, and idiotically had Atl in game 4, even though they had the literal worst last possession i have ever seen in my life and could have just as easily won (and covered) that game. So i am 3-1 in this series as well. Tonight, I fully expect this to be a very defensive game and Boston DEFINITELY covering the +7, and possibly winning. The reason game 2 went the way it did is because of losing Bradley, yes. However, Brad Stevens is a great coach and did not have time to feel out how to play without Bradley. Thats why we saw Boston get smashed in game 2. He figured out the adjustments and it was very clear in games 3 and 4 that he figured out how to play without Bradley. Now, we get to go back to Atl, with all the momentum winning the last 2, and all the pressure is now on Atl to win this one in front of their home crowd. If they lose, they are probably done as Boston will probably win game 6.
Now, alot of people play the angle of "this is a must win for Atl for that reason." I hate that reasoning. I think it is the WORST possible angle you can use in sports. The "must win" angle. Hate it. Dont ever mention it to me. Its just dumb. You dont think Boston wants to win this game? If you think its a "must win" for the Hawks, then it is just as much so a "must win" for Boston. If Boston loses tonight, do they have ANY faith that they will win game 7 @ Atl? I feel like if Boston loses the first 3 games @ Atl, then why do they think they can win game 7? Tonight is a "must win" for both teams, so please get out of here with that crap. Plus, a "must win" for Atl doesnt mean they are going to win AND cover 7... They can still win, but by 6 or less. Ive seen it happen in the playoffs once or twice in my life.
Stevens had a great idea putting Smart on Millsap, and I think he looks to use that matchup again tonight, but theres no way Smart can cover him the whole game, so he will probably put him on him for certain situations. Millsap certainly wont have another game like he did in game 4. Law of averages comes into place here. Im also taking Millsap points prop UNDER if my book has it, havent looked yet. Lastly, I think this is the game where Atlanta shows us why they are Atlanta and why they are consistently a losing franchise and a loser city in general when it comes to sports (and traffic). They have lost 9 (NINE) straight games in OT. Thats impressively embarrassing. They have showed decent heart during this series, but Boston has more heart. This is the game where Boston shows who the real city is and takes it to Atl and beats them straight up. Something like 93-89.
Long story short, i fully expect Boston to NOT come out like they did in the first 2 road games and keep it close for the whole game.
Bos/Atl u199.5: This is already down to 198. This will be a very defensive game and i love the under here. Im not getting into details here but both teams are going to come out playing great D and points will come at a premium.
Bos/Atl 1h u95.5: Not gonna explain. Obvious play if you look at my other ones
Bos/Atl 1Q u48: This honestly might be my favorite play of all the unders. Boston has come out extremely slow on the road in the 1Q this series. I expect this to continue, but i also expect them to use longer possessions, as opposed to jacking up 20 foot 2-pointers in the first 8 seconds of the shot clock every single possession like they have the other 2 road games. I think this 1Q goes WAYYY under. Like 21-18.
Hawks TT u102.5: Chokers will not get near 103 points.
Millsap Points u18 -110: I imagine everyone and their momma will be on his over tonight after last game. However, i think this is the biggest sucker bet on the board tonight. Law of averages will not allow him to shoot like he did last game, and also Bostons gameplan SHOULD be tailored to keeping him from getting easy buckets. I think he throws up a dud tonight.
Largest Lead u16.5: This goes back to my other posts. Do not see this game getting out of hand either way. Boston has made the adjustments and will not get down big like they did in games 1 and 2. Atlanta is a bunch of chokers and will fraud their way to a close loss tonight.
Bos ML +260: Fully expect Bos to keep it close and id say its more of a 50/50 shot they win, rather than almost 3:1
Bos -3.5 +350: Playing this for tiny. Have the ML +260 already obviously. I really think Boston wins this game..
Raps/Ind u192: I just dont think either team gets to 95 in this game, nevermind both teams.
Ind +7: This is a small play. Dont even really like it. Just playing it for shits. I feel like everyone just loves home teams, and for good reason, but i think this is the night that both road teams cover because I know people are going to be on Raps and Hawks after they both lost their last game.Comment -
Boston will not win, they won't even cover, no need for your bullshit write-upsComment -
Pacers are crushing!! Get live bets on Toronto now while you can!Comment -
you mean on Pacers right?Comment -
I posted when they didn't have such abig leadComment -
my live transmission is behind aprox 2 minutes
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something like that. I guess the pigeon may be faster
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If indy blows this.... 15-2 4q right now wowComment -
WTF are the pacers doing!!!Comment -
Wow indy is choking.Comment -
i see everyone on the hawks.. i like it. I think people are in for a surprise tonightComment -
celts game going perfect.. 12-9 thru 7 min..
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Boston +7
Bos/Atl u199.5
Bos/Atl 1h u95.5
Bos/Atl 1Q u48
Hawks TT u102.5
Millsap Points u18 -110
Largest Lead u16.5
Bos ML +260
Bos -3.5 +350
Raps/Ind u192
Ind +7Comment -
1q under EASY
1h under should also be easy.Comment -
Millsap with 0 in the 1Q so far
This game couldnt be going any more perfect... EXACTLY what i was expecting so farComment -
dumbComment -
oook this game is going perfeect for your picks. any live unders on the quarters what do you think?Comment
Ok bud. Thanks for the input.
