miami/atlanta write up
(4) Atlanta (1-2 SU and ATS) at (5) Miami (2-1 SU and ATS)
The surging Heat look to push the Hawks to the brink of elimination when these divisional rivals resume their best-of-7 series with Game 4 at American Airlines Arena.
Miami pounded Atlanta 107-78 Saturday as a four-point home chalk, the third blowout in as many games in this series – the Hawks rolled 90-64 in Game 1 at home, and the Heat posted a 108-93 Game 2 win on the road. On Saturday, Dwyane Wade had 29 points, eight assists and seven rebounds, and Jermaine O’Neal (22 points, 10 rebounds) and Udonis Haslem (12 points, 13 rebounds) each had double-doubles. Miami is now 5-1 ATS (4-2 SU) in its last six starts.
Atlanta couldn’t get any of its scorers going Saturday, with Mike Bibby, Josh Smith and Al Horford all topping out at 13 points, and Joe Johnson – who led the team in the regular season at 21.4 ppg – managing just 10. The Hawks got outshot 46.9 percent to 36.9 percent and were outrebounded 48-35. Atlanta is now 4-10 ATS in its last 14 outings.
The Hawks continue to hold a slim 4-3 SU edge against Miami for the season, but the Heat are 4-3 ATS. Going back further, Miami is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 battles with Atlanta, including 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Florida.
Miami is 29-13 SU (21-20-1 ATS) in South Beach this season, while Atlanta is a dismal 16-26 SU (21-21 ATS) on the highway.
Along with their current 5-1 ATS uptick overall, the Heat are on positive pointspread runs of 7-2 at home, 4-0 on one day of rest, 5-1 as a favorite, 10-2 as a chalk of less than five points and 5-1 against Southeast Division foes. However, they are also carrying ATS skids of 1-4 as a playoff chalk and 21-43-3 following a SU win.
The Hawks, meanwhile, are on nothing but negative ATS streaks, including 1-5 overall, 0-5 as a pup, 0-4 as a road ‘dog, 1-6 against winning teams, 3-8 against the Eastern Conference, 2-5 after a non-cover and 1-4 after a day off.
The over for Miami is on rolls of 14-5-1 at home and 7-3 against the East, but the under for the Heat is on streaks of 7-1 against winning teams, 7-2 after a SU win (including the last four in a row) and 13-3-1 with the Heat laying less than five points in the playoffs. For Atlanta, the under is on tears of 4-1 overall, 6-1 against winning teams, 5-1 with the Hawks as a ‘dog and 6-2 in the Southeast Division.
Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in six of seven meetings this year – with Saturday’s contest barely staying under the 186½-point posted price – and the under is 6-2 in the last eight battles in Miami.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER
The surging Heat look to push the Hawks to the brink of elimination when these divisional rivals resume their best-of-7 series with Game 4 at American Airlines Arena.
Miami pounded Atlanta 107-78 Saturday as a four-point home chalk, the third blowout in as many games in this series – the Hawks rolled 90-64 in Game 1 at home, and the Heat posted a 108-93 Game 2 win on the road. On Saturday, Dwyane Wade had 29 points, eight assists and seven rebounds, and Jermaine O’Neal (22 points, 10 rebounds) and Udonis Haslem (12 points, 13 rebounds) each had double-doubles. Miami is now 5-1 ATS (4-2 SU) in its last six starts.
Atlanta couldn’t get any of its scorers going Saturday, with Mike Bibby, Josh Smith and Al Horford all topping out at 13 points, and Joe Johnson – who led the team in the regular season at 21.4 ppg – managing just 10. The Hawks got outshot 46.9 percent to 36.9 percent and were outrebounded 48-35. Atlanta is now 4-10 ATS in its last 14 outings.
The Hawks continue to hold a slim 4-3 SU edge against Miami for the season, but the Heat are 4-3 ATS. Going back further, Miami is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 battles with Atlanta, including 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Florida.
Miami is 29-13 SU (21-20-1 ATS) in South Beach this season, while Atlanta is a dismal 16-26 SU (21-21 ATS) on the highway.
Along with their current 5-1 ATS uptick overall, the Heat are on positive pointspread runs of 7-2 at home, 4-0 on one day of rest, 5-1 as a favorite, 10-2 as a chalk of less than five points and 5-1 against Southeast Division foes. However, they are also carrying ATS skids of 1-4 as a playoff chalk and 21-43-3 following a SU win.
The Hawks, meanwhile, are on nothing but negative ATS streaks, including 1-5 overall, 0-5 as a pup, 0-4 as a road ‘dog, 1-6 against winning teams, 3-8 against the Eastern Conference, 2-5 after a non-cover and 1-4 after a day off.
The over for Miami is on rolls of 14-5-1 at home and 7-3 against the East, but the under for the Heat is on streaks of 7-1 against winning teams, 7-2 after a SU win (including the last four in a row) and 13-3-1 with the Heat laying less than five points in the playoffs. For Atlanta, the under is on tears of 4-1 overall, 6-1 against winning teams, 5-1 with the Hawks as a ‘dog and 6-2 in the Southeast Division.
Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in six of seven meetings this year – with Saturday’s contest barely staying under the 186½-point posted price – and the under is 6-2 in the last eight battles in Miami.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER