Trifecta NBA Monday

[frostno98]

Miami -4.5

Hawks is horrible as a visitor. The haven't shown nothing that impresses me enough give me any reason why this game going to be any different. They don't know how to run sets or do anything right offensively. Very poor point guard play. This team is just ugly to watch, except when they're in transition and dunking from the roof.


Denver +2.5

Hornets had to use 46 minutes of CP3 just to pull out that win, despite a below average game from Chauncey. Both Chandler (ankle injury) and Posey (knee strain) will be going into game 4 bruised up. They are pivotal to New Orleans success on the defense of end, and one day of rest is just not enough time to recover.


Utah Jazz +12.5

I lost one game too many taking the Lakers as double digit favorites. Utah will play with pride unlike the Pistons. They will go out swinging against the Lakers who's expecting a walk in the park beat down and will be looking ahead to the 2nd round.

[ValHallaYoung]

i'd go with . mia under 186.
. jazz .
I'm havin second thoughts about NO but they are more favored to square denver off tonight ..HOME TOWN

[Mriswith]

ATL @ MIA
ATL is not so bad a road team, but does horrible in MIA : 3-12-1 ATS is proof of that.
I'm gonna watch the line movement here though : if it moves to say ATL +5.5 or better I'll most likely back ATL to cover. NOt because ATL has given much cause to warrant this, but MIA had 2 good games, now it's time for a let down.
UNDER and / or MIA team total UNDER looks juicy - imho no way MIA scores 100+ 3 in a row. If ATL wants a shot at the game, they'll have to limit MIA to ~ 85 or below. Need to take a deeper look at G1 to 3 though...

UTA @ LAL
LAL 1st half and UTA +12.5 is my way to go here. No doubt the Lakers will close the series tonight, and while I don't question their ability to cover - 12.5, I seriously do doubt their will to do so. UTA will go down today, but they'll do so w/ pride - they're not the Pistons.
UTA lists Williams und Boozer as probable ( eye injuries ? ) - if one of them won't play I'D only bet LAL 1st half, since 2nd half easily could turn out to sport bench vs benchand that's a no play 4 me, regardless of the teams playing.

DEN @ NOH
DEN + 2.5 und DEN ML - NOH did their thing in Game 3, but the 8-man-rotation will take it's toll. NOH put forward a huge effort in winning G3, but this isn't something you can repeat at will. And even then the Hornets barely pulled a victory vs a sub par Billups, so so Melo and Nene failing to show up in the offense.
Add to that Chandler & Posey being banged up, no rest for Paul and as Billups stated DEN will go for him on both sides of the court. Stojakovic shows no signs of getting his game together, and West & Paul is too little, to claim a 2nd win for NOH.
I expect this to be a physical game again ( 58 fouls, 3 flagrant in G3 ) and NOH w/ 8man, 2 banged up will be hurt a lot more by foul troubles. While I dont particularly like G. Karl, I think he's a good enough coach to direct the game towards driving and 1:1 in the paint. So either NOH plays defense, piling up fouls, or they don't and have to go even a higher pace to outscore DEN - imho a win - win situation for DEN, who is fully aware that now is the time to deliver the blow.

bol @ll,
Mris

[Crash]

good writeups like the picks leaning that way too

[Mac4Lyfe]

I like all but Utah. I don't think they will cover the 12. Laker's do not want this to go back to Utah. Blowout for sure.