Taking Future bet for either Cavs or Warriors to win NBA championship for -350.

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  • sballen
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-26-14
    • 815

    #1
    Taking Future bet for either Cavs or Warriors to win NBA championship for -350.
    Accomplishing this by placing bets on both warriors -125 and cavs +350 to win the nba championship. Structuring the bet so the profit is the same for either outcome which ultimately equates to a -350 payout. Ex: bet $500 on warriors to win $400 and $200 on Cavs to win $700. Either outcome results in a $200 profit and my total risk is $700.

    i think warriors most likely win but one of these two surely win barring catastrophic injuries to both of these teams. Spurs are too old, clips will fold like always, and the thunder are fraud. At -350 the odds means this bet should hit 77.7% of the time Whereas the chances of either of these winning is closer to 90% imo. Cheers.
  • POOLSIDE
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-14
    • 2839

    #2
    Pretty solid. How much do you imagine the odds will move by the end of the regular season? I'm imagining they'll stay somewhat stable? If so, wait to make the bet and get the benefit of knowing the injury forecast.
    Comment
    • sballen
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-26-14
      • 815

      #3
      Originally posted by POOLSIDE
      Pretty solid. How much do you imagine the odds will move by the end of the regular season? I'm imagining they'll stay somewhat stable? If so, wait to make the bet and get the benefit of knowing the injury forecast.
      You make a valid point, although i think both teams will most likely have lower payouts if they're healthy heading into playoffs. With that said, I agree they probably don't change too much so there's probably merit in taking a wait and see approach. I was comfortable with -350 at the time so went for it. If I had to guess, and assuming both teams are healthy heading into the playoffs, I'd say warriors end up being -150 and cavs +250ish since they're almost guaranteed to be in the championship.
      Comment
      • sballen
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-26-14
        • 815

        #4
        Just checked and warriors have crept up to -140 to win it all at my book. They could be closer to -200 going into the playoffs if they continue to dominate....which is insane to even think about.
        Comment
        • Don_Omarion
          SBR MVP
          • 10-23-15
          • 2635

          #5
          good one and good position . I can not see any team make it .. GSW is the nearest and maybe Cavs . so good bet ..

          I may throw on GSW at the end of Regular season to win it all as line is higher .. good luck sballen
          Comment
          • sballen
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-26-14
            • 815

            #6
            Originally posted by Don_Omarion
            good one and good position . I can not see any team make it .. GSW is the nearest and maybe Cavs . so good bet ..

            I may throw on GSW at the end of Regular season to win it all as line is higher .. good luck sballen
            cheers and BOL.
            Comment
            • garygroundwork
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-12-12
              • 729

              #7
              Agreed right now its impossible to not see cavs win east and gsw west

              As stated above injuries are the only problem.
              Comment
              • sballen
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-26-14
                • 815

                #8
                Took a while but easy money is easy money.
                Comment
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