(4) Atlanta (1-1 SU and ATS) at (5) Miami (1-1 SU and ATS)
After stealing home-court advantage in this best-of-7 series with a Game 2 blowout win in Atlanta, the Heat now return to American Airlines Arena for Game 3 against the Hawks.
Miami rebounded from a dismal Game 1 performance to rip Atlanta 108-93 Wednesday as a five-point road underdog. Dwyane Wade (33 points, seven assists) had a big night, but he also got plenty of support from Daequan Cook (20 points), who made 6 of 9 three-point attempts, and Jermaine O’Neal (20 points). After producing just 64 points on 36.6 percent shooting in Game 1 (4-for-23 from three-point range), Miami shot a torrid 55.6 percent from the floor Wednesday, hitting 15 of 26 from beyond the arc (57.7 percent).
The Heat have now alternated SU wins and losses over their last six games, but they are 4-1 ATS in their last five starts.
Atlanta put six players in double figures in Game 3, but none reached 20 points, with Mike Bibby leading the way at 18. Josh Smith (17 points, 10 rebounds) and Al Horford (11 points, 11 rebounds) both posted double-doubles for the Hawks, who shot 44.2 percent overall but just 30 percent (6 of 20) from long distance. Atlanta, which rolled 90-64 as a 4½-point chalk in Game 1, is now 4-9 ATS in its last 13 contests.
The Hawks are 4-2 SU (3-3 ATS) in six clashes with the Heat this season, and the ATS winner has now alternated in each of the last seven meetings. Miami is 22-9 ATS in its last 31 battles with Atlanta, including 12-3 ATS at home.
Miami went 28-13 SU (20-20-1 ATS) in South Beach this season, while Atlanta was just 16-25 SU (21-20 ATS) on the highway.
Along with their current 4-1 ATS uptick, the Heat are on positive pointspread runs of 4-1 as a favorite, 9-2 as a chalk of less than five points, 4-1 against Southeast Division foes and 6-2 at home. However, they are also carrying ATS skids of 0-4 as a playoff chalk, 17-35-1 laying points in Miami and 20-43-3 after a SU win.
The Hawks, meanwhile, are on nothing but negative ATS streaks, including 1-4 overall, 0-4 as a pup, 1-5 against winning teams, 2-7 after a double-digit home loss, 3-7 against the Eastern Conference and 3-7 going on two days’ rest.
The over for Miami is on rolls of 11-3-1 at home, 9-3-1 with the Heat a home chalk and 7-2 against the East, but the under for the Heat is on streaks of 6-1 against winning teams and 6-2 after a SU win. For Atlanta, the “under” is on tears of 5-1 against winning teams, 4-1 with the Hawks as a ‘dog and 5-2 in the Southeast Division.
Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in five of six meetings this year – with Wednesday’s contest the only one to clear the posted price – and the under is on 5-2 in the last seven battles in Miami.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER
After stealing home-court advantage in this best-of-7 series with a Game 2 blowout win in Atlanta, the Heat now return to American Airlines Arena for Game 3 against the Hawks.
Miami rebounded from a dismal Game 1 performance to rip Atlanta 108-93 Wednesday as a five-point road underdog. Dwyane Wade (33 points, seven assists) had a big night, but he also got plenty of support from Daequan Cook (20 points), who made 6 of 9 three-point attempts, and Jermaine O’Neal (20 points). After producing just 64 points on 36.6 percent shooting in Game 1 (4-for-23 from three-point range), Miami shot a torrid 55.6 percent from the floor Wednesday, hitting 15 of 26 from beyond the arc (57.7 percent).
The Heat have now alternated SU wins and losses over their last six games, but they are 4-1 ATS in their last five starts.
Atlanta put six players in double figures in Game 3, but none reached 20 points, with Mike Bibby leading the way at 18. Josh Smith (17 points, 10 rebounds) and Al Horford (11 points, 11 rebounds) both posted double-doubles for the Hawks, who shot 44.2 percent overall but just 30 percent (6 of 20) from long distance. Atlanta, which rolled 90-64 as a 4½-point chalk in Game 1, is now 4-9 ATS in its last 13 contests.
The Hawks are 4-2 SU (3-3 ATS) in six clashes with the Heat this season, and the ATS winner has now alternated in each of the last seven meetings. Miami is 22-9 ATS in its last 31 battles with Atlanta, including 12-3 ATS at home.
Miami went 28-13 SU (20-20-1 ATS) in South Beach this season, while Atlanta was just 16-25 SU (21-20 ATS) on the highway.
Along with their current 4-1 ATS uptick, the Heat are on positive pointspread runs of 4-1 as a favorite, 9-2 as a chalk of less than five points, 4-1 against Southeast Division foes and 6-2 at home. However, they are also carrying ATS skids of 0-4 as a playoff chalk, 17-35-1 laying points in Miami and 20-43-3 after a SU win.
The Hawks, meanwhile, are on nothing but negative ATS streaks, including 1-4 overall, 0-4 as a pup, 1-5 against winning teams, 2-7 after a double-digit home loss, 3-7 against the Eastern Conference and 3-7 going on two days’ rest.
The over for Miami is on rolls of 11-3-1 at home, 9-3-1 with the Heat a home chalk and 7-2 against the East, but the under for the Heat is on streaks of 6-1 against winning teams and 6-2 after a SU win. For Atlanta, the “under” is on tears of 5-1 against winning teams, 4-1 with the Hawks as a ‘dog and 5-2 in the Southeast Division.
Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in five of six meetings this year – with Wednesday’s contest the only one to clear the posted price – and the under is on 5-2 in the last seven battles in Miami.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER
