keep betting the overs..

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  • secret007
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-09
    • 1786

    #1
    keep betting the overs..
    I think the importance of defense in a playoff series is overrated.. Public is thinking that teams are actually going to start playing tight defense and the score will be much lower and bookies are taking advantage of it..

    Therefore, I would like to keep record of how many winnings/losings i get if i keep betting OVER in all games. I will track the record starting from today until the end of the 1st round of the playoff... It it proves profitable, I might use it for 2nd round and thereafter..

    So, for today:

    1) Cleveland - Detroit over 177.5
    2) Utah Jazz - Lakers over 211
    3) Houston - Portland over 183.5

    I am NOT betting real money using this system yet and I have no any record whatsoever from the past, so BEWARE..
  • BugsySiegel
    SBR Rookie
    • 04-21-09
    • 2

    #2
    I'm taking the over in the Cavs/Pistons and Rockets/Blazers, but going with the under in the Lakers/Jazz game.
    Comment
    • secret007
      SBR MVP
      • 01-12-09
      • 1786

      #3
      personally, im taking OVER in all 3 games held today.. and i did this without referring to the system..
      Comment
      • Lunakid7
        SBR Hustler
        • 03-23-09
        • 58

        #4
        Ya im taking the overs on all 3 games today also.
        Comment
        • frostno98
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-11-07
          • 9769

          #5
          Trust me, the Public traditionally hammers the over as so with the playoffs so far. It will balance out like it always does every year with the over being 4 games in the positive column. The over is 1-9, but could of easily been 6-4 favoring the under.
          Comment
          • cito89
            SBR Rookie
            • 04-21-09
            • 6

            #6
            cavs -11?
            Comment
            • cito89
              SBR Rookie
              • 04-21-09
              • 6

              #7
              1st half.... Cavs -6
              houston +3
              easy win?
              Comment
              • Casperwaits
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-25-06
                • 5042

                #8
                I bet all 3 UNDERS tonight
                Comment
                • Portlander
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-22-08
                  • 292

                  #9
                  I took the Portland under, as I think Portland gets their number tonight and the better D will slow things down.. Then again I took Portland for the first game, so YMMV
                  Comment
                  • profitmker
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-28-09
                    • 334

                    #10
                    lakers under, bank it
                    Comment
                    • secret007
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-12-09
                      • 1786

                      #11
                      0-1 so far .. but could easily be 1-0 since they missed the last 4 open shots at the end of the game...

                      houston-portland game is going over at this moment..
                      Comment
                      • Casperwaits
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-25-06
                        • 5042

                        #12
                        Originally posted by secret007
                        0-1 so far .. but could easily be 1-0 since they missed the last 4 open shots at the end of the game...

                        houston-portland game is going over at this moment..

                        I had the UNDER and let me tell ya, that game was a classic bookend game. First quarter you think you have the UNDER easy, the second and third quarter the two teams start scoring. The fourth quarter they are on fire again. Just when you think you are screwed with the UNDER, both teams miss free throws and slow down. UNDER covers by 2. Happens all the time. Nobody will ever tell me that totals are not fixed in the NBA. they so definately are. Notice the last two night two different NBA games covered the OVERS by .5 and 1 point both in the last 20 seconds when neither shot meant a thing? Reason why I bet the UNDERS on all games tonight is just because the fix is in to have the OVER players who have been feasting since the playoffs started to get buried tonight...you will see. Oh yeah, that Portland game will begin to slow down scoring in the 2nd and 3rd quarter.
                        Comment
                        • secret007
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-12-09
                          • 1786

                          #13
                          "luckily" i bet over 1st half which as we know is losing so bad... otherwise, i would have destroyed something inside my room.. they missed all the easy shots at the end of the game when the score was 94-82 and le bron was so greedy, he kept trying all that contested long jump shot..
                          Comment
                          • secret007
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-12-09
                            • 1786

                            #14
                            2-1 with 2 "easy win" on lakers and portland games..

                            i will actually also put the record since the beginning of playoff (last Saturday) later tonight..
                            Comment
                            • LETS GET IT
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 44

                              #15
                              nice
                              Comment
                              • BobHarvey
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-08-08
                                • 3987

                                #16
                                OVERS are now 11-2 thru the first 13 games of the post-season. Cleveland v. Detroit (Game 2) and Miami v. Atlanta (Game 1) are the only games to the low-side.
                                Comment
                                • InTheHole
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-28-08
                                  • 15243

                                  #17
                                  I like how you are doing this but I think they will quickly adjust if you find "something"..Good Luck
                                  Comment
                                  • secret007
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-12-09
                                    • 1786

                                    #18
                                    11-2 .. damn.. lets see how tomorrow goes..
                                    Comment
                                    • Vincepcion
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-07-09
                                      • 834

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by profitmker
                                      lakers under, bank it
                                      banked
                                      Comment
                                      • frostno98
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-11-07
                                        • 9769

                                        #20
                                        Like the Under on the Denver and Atlanta game. Denver game should go under this time around because I don't see Chauncey going nuts again. Chris Paul also will not commit that many turnover which means less easy buckets for the Nuggets. Atlanta's height and shot blocking is forcing Miami to take nothing but perimeter shots, and I can see another low game here again.
                                        Comment
                                        • BobHarvey
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-08-08
                                          • 3987

                                          #21
                                          I agree with you on the Atlanta and Miami game. That should stay under. The first five series meetings between the Hawks and Heat have all stayed UNDER and by a good margin. 174 twice, 160 twice and 154.

                                          If there's a play to be made on the total, I would think low would be the way to go.
                                          Comment
                                          • i.spinal
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 02-23-09
                                            • 135

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BobHarvey
                                            I agree with you on the Atlanta and Miami game. That should stay under. The first five series meetings between the Hawks and Heat have all stayed UNDER and by a good margin. 174 twice, 160 twice and 154.

                                            If there's a play to be made on the total, I would think low would be the way to go.
                                            I fired pretty hard at the under. If theres one series i'm sure of low totals, this is it.
                                            Comment
                                            • secret007
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-12-09
                                              • 1786

                                              #23
                                              i also bet BIG on under in atl-miami games.. and liking the under on denver-orleans game

                                              but let see how this "keep betting over" thing works..

                                              today:

                                              orlando-phil over 193
                                              miami-atl over 184
                                              denver over 199
                                              Comment
                                              • secret007
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-12-09
                                                • 1786

                                                #24
                                                i actually have put a small bet on orl under, big bet on miami under and I am planning to put a small bet on denver under..

                                                Comment
                                                • secret007
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                  • 1786

                                                  #25
                                                  another profitable day for those who took over in all games ... 2-1 today.. 13-3 in playoff.. will the streak continue?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48805

                                                    #26
                                                    Miami/ATL score and Denver/NO score were both identical...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • frostno98
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-07
                                                      • 9769

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by secret007
                                                      i actually have put a small bet on orl under, big bet on miami under and I am planning to put a small bet on denver under..


                                                      The Denver game was really tough. Barrages of 3's in the 4th quarter didn't help matters, and then that last sec bucket.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • secret007
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                        • 1786

                                                        #28
                                                        FINALLY 0-3 today..

                                                        probably it would be better to bet under starting from tomorrow..

                                                        NOW that the public "feels comfortable", im gonna see how under is going to do starting from tomorrow
                                                        Comment
                                                        • frostno98
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-07
                                                          • 9769

                                                          #29
                                                          I think they 3rd games going forward is going to be more defensive and shot oriented. The Under should edge the Over from here on out till the Finals. Right now it's 13-7 O/U ATS and should be within the 52% mark by the finals.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Madetowin
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-07-09
                                                            • 1373

                                                            #30
                                                            hahaha this is ridiculous. So it went to selecting unders then a 0-3 day now we hop on the overs . I would think opposite.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dennisback
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-13-09
                                                              • 650

                                                              #31
                                                              how about just capping the totals? and dont guess which streak continues..... im on under in cle game, over in houston game, under in orlando game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48805

                                                                #32
                                                                Agreed, are we going to next take teams who wear the most headbands??? Let's use a little logic here.

                                                                I like the under in Cleveland game as well Dennis but I also like the under at Houston as well.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • secret007
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 1786

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i know this is ridiculous

                                                                  lets discuss the over-under of each game here then..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • secret007
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                                    • 1786

                                                                    #34
                                                                    ok.. i just put my bet on these:
                                                                    1) Cleveland over (med)
                                                                    2) Portland over (small)
                                                                    3) Philadelphia over (small)

                                                                    I think that Portland and Philadelphia games could go either way (over/under) while I am quite confident on the over for Cleveland games
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • specialedbob
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-28-09
                                                                      • 169

                                                                      #35
                                                                      just like the utah game,they tend to miss shot's,so playofss tend to be under.now sorry for the misspelling's but i came across the border without document's.But just between you and me,will keep that a secret.Just don't tell the border patrol.

                                                                      Thank's
                                                                      Comment
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