Always Take Under in Game 1's

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  • hels
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-12-09
    • 8767

    #1
    Always Take Under in Game 1's
    Look at past series history's it is pretty obvious that game 1's in every round have a lower score compared to games 2-7


  • genero
    Restricted User
    • 04-05-09
    • 233

    #2
    thanks im already 0-1
    Comment
    • hels
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-12-09
      • 8767

      #3
      without OT chi/bos was under... sh*t happens...

      but wtf with the cavs/pistons ??????? I know it's still early but Cleveland's D hasn't shown up yet... I predicted Detroit wouldn't score over 80... so much for that right now
      Comment
      • The_Kid
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-09-08
        • 5049

        #4
        Why are you using Wikipedia as a source?
        Comment
        • hels
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-12-09
          • 8767

          #5
          just easy to have all the games of the playoffs on one page
          normally i use these 3

          http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball/fantasy/nba/streaks

          http://www.82games.com/0809/QSORT2.HTM

          http://www.sbrforum.com/

          any other recommendations
          Comment
          • The_Kid
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-09-08
            • 5049

            #6
            No, I was just wondering because I don't trust Wikipedia.
            Comment
            • peeiempee
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-09
              • 2750

              #7
              Looks like 0-2 for unders in game 1 so far
              Comment
              • hels
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-12-09
                • 8767

                #8
                Game isn't over yet, Detroit isn't going to have motivation coming out of the break.
                Comment
                • genero
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-05-09
                  • 233

                  #9
                  yeah, now i am 1-7 on unders in game 1's thanks

                  what the opinion on game 2's ??? LOL
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    Take unders in game 1...wow thanks nastradamus....fcuking idiot.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Hey don't shoot the messenger, the guy was 100% correct. Historically, the Unders have done great in Game 1s.

                      The fact that the Under went 1-7 this round doesn't change things much.
                      Comment
                      • G's pks
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-01-09
                        • 22251

                        #12
                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                        Hey don't shoot the messenger, the guy was 100% correct. Historically, the Unders have done great in Game 1s.

                        The fact that the Under went 1-7 this round doesn't change things much.


                        I just noticed this thread and have not ever tried something like this but...

                        The people who followed this thread and lost had something change! Their bankroll ouch!
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          If a 1-7 stretch wipes out your bankroll, then you are overbetting.

                          Unders are always worth a closer look in Game 1s, and that should not change in future rounds.
                          Comment
                          • pavyracer
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-12-07
                            • 82652

                            #14
                            I believe the totals will be inflated in second games. I'm hammering the unders this round.
                            Comment
                            • G's pks
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-01-09
                              • 22251

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              If a 1-7 stretch wipes out your bankroll, then you are overbetting.

                              Unders are always worth a closer look in Game 1s, and that should not change in future rounds.
                              Great point!

                              Just think...we have guys getting wiped out on a stretch of one game!
                              Comment
                              • G's pks
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-01-09
                                • 22251

                                #16
                                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                Take unders in game 1...wow thanks nastradamus....fcuking idiot.



                                Seriously>>>>I was cracking up when I read this!
                                Comment
                                • Willie Bee
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-14-06
                                  • 15726

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  If a 1-7 stretch wipes out your bankroll, then you are overbetting.
                                  Comment
                                  • genero
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-05-09
                                    • 233

                                    #18
                                    well, game 2's yesterday went OVER, i stopped listening to you guys and and now going OPPOSITE of what LT reccommends, thats 10 games played 9 OVERS!!!! and you guys say "unders are great plays"
                                    Comment
                                    • G's pks
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-01-09
                                      • 22251

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by genero
                                      well, game 2's yesterday went OVER, i stopped listening to you guys and and now going OPPOSITE of what LT reccommends, thats 10 games played 9 OVERS!!!! and you guys say "unders are great plays"
                                      aren't you the guy following machine choice and getting completely wiped out? There used to be quite a few followers...most have bailed..you are brave but your bankroll must be hurting....his slump has been 2 months!
                                      Comment
                                      • HoulihansTX
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-12-09
                                        • 30566

                                        #20
                                        Someone needs to take this thread behind the woodshed, and kill it swiftly.
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by genero
                                          well, game 2's yesterday went OVER, i stopped listening to you guys and and now going OPPOSITE of what LT reccommends, thats 10 games played 9 OVERS!!!! and you guys say "unders are great plays"
                                          Actually, I won with the Spurs OVER yesterday.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            And this thread is specifucally for Game 1s only, so we have to wait until next round for the next set of games. Last night's results are irelevant.
                                            Comment
                                            • genero
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-05-09
                                              • 233

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits

                                              Unders are always worth a closer look in Game 1s, and that should not change in future rounds.

                                              well this guys said the UNDERS would still be good bets in future rounds, and they are NOT, since switching to overs im winning again

                                              and yeah the machine choice blows
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by genero
                                                well this guys said the UNDERS would still be good bets in future rounds, and they are NOT, since switching to overs im winning again

                                                and yeah the machine choice blows
                                                Well of course it depends on what the totals are. If the Overs keep scorching, the books will increase the totals and the Unders will gain value. Everything is cyclical in this game.
                                                Comment
                                                • genero
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                  • 233

                                                  #25
                                                  bet all overs again last nite and 2-1 the profits keep coming you guys keep spouting unders and i will keep taking overs, only 3 games under so far, and no sign it will stop now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    But again, you have to consider the totals. If the books inflate a total to, say, 199 in a game that should be 196, you can't just automatically bet the Over just because it has been winning.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mr KLC
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-19-07
                                                      • 31100

                                                      #27
                                                      The Rangers have been an "over machine" this year. I think they've only been under only once or twice.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • genero
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-05-09
                                                        • 233

                                                        #28
                                                        yeah like last night!! thanks for that,

                                                        the overs finnally lost in nba last night but they will come back big tonite
                                                        Comment
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