Yes, we can! NBA 2009 Playoff Leans

HoulihansTX · 04-18-09, 09:58 AM

Much like Obama, I back your campaign promise's.

sweetjones55 · 04-18-09, 10:30 AM

Is it that crazy a thought to think that the Bulls could beat the Celtics today? Derrick Rose, Hinrich, Tyrus, Noah (both been playing a lot better lately), Salmons, Gordon. These guys can play some serious ball and have been winners all their life.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-18-09, 10:36 AM

Bulls have played pretty well in the second half of the NBA season. However, playoffs aren't just an ordinary game, it's the next level up. Boston will know how to approach the pressure, expectations and all those intangibles, while I believe the inexperienced Bulls won't be up to it, well today anyway but will fight back hard and maybe even win one or two as the series proceeds.

They do have talent but doubt they'd get close at the Celt's home game tomorrow.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-19-09, 10:37 AM

Oh, how wrong I was against a Rose-led Bulls attack yesterday. 0-1 for the Playoffs.

Sunday, 19 April
LA Lakers -6.5 1H
x2 play

Miami Heat +5
D-Wade is hot at the moment and I'll ride that until the wheels fall off, he has good support from the likes of Michael Beasley and Mario Chalmers. The Heat are 4-2 ATS in their past 6 games on the road against the Hawks. In all I believe the Heat will keep this close, if not just win the first game, even though the Hawks have been decent at home & had a good handle on D-Wade this season.
regular play

New Orleans +6
regular play

Dwight Howard (Points + Rebounds) o34.5
small play

sweetjones55 · 04-19-09, 10:58 AM

D-Wade is a bad man come playoff time. I like the Heat pick. I am thinking about taking the Heat over 90.5.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-19-09, 03:09 PM

1-0 today, with 3 plays pending.

Good to get the x2 play out of the way!

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-20-09, 05:42 PM

Went 2-2, yesterday but slightly up as I the "bigger" play came up.

Overall, it's 2-3 for -1.72 units.

3-4 plays today.

Monday, 20 April
San Antonio Spurs -6
Dallas won the last game, and if the Spurs want to stay in it, they're going to have to use their home court advantage and keep Dallas in check today. There's great line movement - with more than 60% of betters with the Mavericks the line has moved with the Spurs from -5.5 to -6.5
regular play

San Antonio Spurs -3 (1H)
small play

San Antonio Spurs/Dallas Mavericks U188
x2 play

Boston Celtics -8
regular play

HoulihansTX · 04-20-09, 05:48 PM

I only concur w/ your over play. Hell I got Bulls and Mavs winning today. They are both in the same position of sending the old folks to the retirement home.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-20-09, 05:53 PM

Head to head today hey?! GL to you Houlihans!

HoulihansTX · 04-20-09, 06:06 PM

Right back, bro.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-20-09, 11:27 PM

Ouch. Missed the under by a point and there was great D early in the fourth quarter.

2-2 today.

Down 1.81 units today!

pho3nix32 · 04-21-09, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Right back, bro.

the bro is a lady

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-21-09, 08:26 PM

LOL.

Late today. But I'm 5-6 with plays and -3.53 units.

Tuesday, 21 April
Houston Rockets/Portland Trailblazers O182.5
In their past four games, all this season, the total at the end of the game finished between 189 and 200. The Blazers and Rockets have had their past 5 games go over and this line has been set a the right number considering the numbers they've been dropping. I know its playoffs, defense wins championships but Portland will be wanting to win this game to stay in the series - Houston have good defense but the likes of Roy, Aldridge and Outlaw will be stepping up the intensity in offense.
heavy play (x4)

Portland Trailblazers -5.5
regular play

Los Angeles Lakers -6 (1H)
The Lakers very easily outclass the Jazz and at home I can't see the Lakers struggling at all. They will undoubtably jump out early before resting their big names for longer periods in the second half.
regular play

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-21-09, 10:45 PM

1-0

Nice cash with the Lakers. Blazers don't look good but the over looks great at the moment!

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-21-09, 11:47 PM

Oh, finally hit back with a great day.

2-1f or +4.46 units

7-7 for the playoffs = +1.11

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-22-09, 06:03 PM

Wednesday, 22 April
Denver Nuggets/New Orleans Hornets O196.5
big play (x3)

Dwight Howard o36.5 (Points & Rebounds)
x1.5 play

New Orleans Hornets +6 (B 1/2)
regular play

Miami Heat +3 (1H)
regular play

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-23-09, 04:15 AM

A 2-2 day, but we got up as we hit the x3 play. So +1.14 units today.

9-9 for the playoffs for +2.27

Early leans for later today are Chicago ML and Jazz ML. Although I think I should stick to totals, that's where I've been getting the +units during the playoffs.

JGILL50 · 04-23-09, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA

A 2-2 day, but we got up as we hit the x3 play. So +1.14 units today.

9-9 for the playoffs for +2.27

Early leans for later today are Chicago ML and Jazz ML. Although I think I should stick to totals, that's where I've been getting the +units during the playoffs.

Jazz ML looks easy GL obama

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-23-09, 09:44 AM

Tuesday, 23 April
Chicago Bulls ML @ -135
big play (x3)

I will probably be adding a play on the Utah/LA game but will watch linemovement and find out who's starting.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-24-09, 09:14 AM

Didnt get back on here at all yesterday after the post but did end up playing Utah (yes, I have my card) for the same amount as the Bulls. And slightly up +0.05 today

10-10 during the playoffs for +2.32 Units

Early thoughts for tonight are Houston/Portland Under.. will def be back with my post! Cheers.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-24-09, 10:25 AM

Prop bet: Paralaying these two Cleveland -172 (Team with highest scoring quarter) and Orlando -156 for +159
x1.5 play

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-24-09, 01:40 PM

Okay, confirmed plays todays, I might add one more play today.

Saturday, 18 April
Houston Rockets/Portland Trailblazers U184.5
The totals in their playoff games have gone way past the set totals and in their previous four games it went over as well. Defense wins NBA championships and after seeing each other the past two games, I believe they will be stepping up thier defences and marking their players.
big play (x3)

Paralay - a) team with highest quarter (Cleveland over Pistons), b) team with highest quarter (Orlando over Philly)
(downgraded to) regular play

Leaning Cleveland/Detriot UNDER, but still watching line movement.

dennisback · 04-24-09, 04:10 PM

why u take those bets parlay? the bad team could easy go for most points in 4q after gettin blown out, id take 1h ml on the fav

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-24-09, 05:46 PM

Yeah, probably a not good idea considering its still 'early' playoffs and players will be rested towards the end. But generally worked well during the season.

I'm upping the under play to x4 play (so x3 play U184.5 & x1 play U184), because of the good line movement. Also adding two plays.

Saturday, 18 April
Houston Rockets/Portland Trailblazers U184.5
The totals in their playoff games have gone way past the set totals and in their previous four games it went over as well. Defense wins NBA championships and after seeing each other the past two games, I believe they will be stepping up thier defences and marking their players.
heavy play (x4) [x3 u184.5, x1 u184]

Paralay - a) team with highest quarter (Cleveland over Pistons), b) team with highest quarter (Orlando over Philly)
regular play

Cleveland/Detriot U178.5
Cleveland coach wasn't too happy with how the Cavs let Pistons back into the game, after bringing a 29 point lead to 9 points at one stage. There won't be as much free flowing basketball and that should help keep the total on the under side more so than the last game.
regular play

Detroit Pistons +6.5 (B1)
I expect the Cavs to win but in a close on. Pistons have it up at the home crowd and pretty much their second last chance to extend their playoff series.
small play

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-24-09, 08:34 PM

1-1 so far, but we're up +0.41 units!

Still two to go, but the paralay looks bust unless Orlando micraculously score more than 33 in a quarter!

brooks85 · 04-24-09, 08:43 PM

a lot of "earmarks" in this thread.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-24-09, 11:23 PM

Haha fair enough, I'll try make it not such in the future.

2-2 today for +2.55 units

So, 12-12 for playoffs and +4.82 units

HoulihansTX · 04-25-09, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA

Haha fair enough, I'll try make it not such in the future.

2-2 today for +2.55 units

So, 12-12 for playoffs and +4.82 units

Congrats on your profitable Payoffs. Slide some of that $$$ my way, cuz im down $200. HAHA

Devon · 04-27-09, 06:01 PM

nice

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-27-09, 06:06 PM

Monday, 27 April
Atlanta Hawks +6 @ -130 (B1)
I think Atlanta will bounce back this game. I know they aren't the best road team but they should keep this one close after their coach was annoyed with their past two losses. Atlanta have to stay in the series and this game is a must win. I doubt they will be shooting at 37% as they have in their last game against Miami. I'll take the points to keep this series in check.
regular

LA Lakers/Utah Jazz Over 211
High scoring game, with Utah needing to stay the series. I think LAL will win but it'll be more of a shoot out than defence from the Lakers.
x2 play

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-27-09, 07:40 PM

Quick game time bets.

New Orleans ML (x1)
LA Lakers -5 (1h) (x1)